Bundesliga·Regular Season - 9·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 9·Predicted match statistics
Goals
16%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction0.962.643.60safe0.00–1.931.79–3.491.78–5.43safer0.00–2.181.56–3.721.30–5.91
Shots on target
16%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction3.706.249.94safe1.84–5.564.50–7.986.34–13.55safer1.35–6.054.03–8.455.38–14.50
Total shots
14%
81%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4216.5928.02safe7.50–15.3513.03–20.1620.53–35.50safer6.41–16.4412.07–21.1118.48–37.55
Shots in box
88%
homeawaytotalprediction6.2411.7217.97safe3.30–9.199.04–14.4012.34–23.59safer2.47–10.028.30–15.1410.78–25.16
Blocked shots
23%
13%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction2.734.186.91safe0.85–4.622.53–5.833.38–10.45safer0.31–5.162.03–6.322.34–11.49
Corners
17%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction3.816.3110.12safe1.59–6.024.31–8.315.91–14.33safer1.02–6.603.78–8.854.80–15.44
Possession %
86%
homeawayprediction40.6060.23safe33.80–47.3953.45–67.02safer32.14–49.0651.78–68.69
Passes
91%
homeawaytotalprediction353512865safe285–420446–579731–998safer267–438428–596695–1034
Pass accuracy %
96%
homeawayprediction63.1077.05safe59.07–67.1372.73–81.38safer57.78–68.4271.42–82.68
Fouls
43%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0711.3522.42safe8.24–13.918.40–14.2916.64–28.20safer7.48–14.677.66–15.0415.13–29.71
Offsides
22%
17%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction1.832.984.80safe0.67–2.991.88–4.072.55–7.06safer0.36–3.291.60–4.361.96–7.65
Yellow cards
41%
22%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.811.703.51safe0.76–2.860.57–2.831.33–5.69safer0.49–3.120.28–3.120.77–6.24
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.130.090.22safe0.00–0.290.00–0.280.00–0.56safer0.00–0.440.00–0.410.00–0.85
GK saves
66%
13%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction4.122.546.65safe2.68–5.550.98–4.093.66–9.65safer2.29–5.940.56–4.522.85–10.46
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.96 0.00–1.93 0.00–2.18 | 2.64 1.79–3.49 1.56–3.72 | 3.60 1.78–5.43 1.30–5.91 | 16% 73% |
| Shots on target | 3.70 1.84–5.56 1.35–6.05 | 6.24 4.50–7.98 4.03–8.45 | 9.94 6.34–13.55 5.38–14.50 | 16% 74% |
| Total shots | 11.42 7.50–15.35 6.41–16.44 | 16.59 13.03–20.16 12.07–21.11 | 28.02 20.53–35.50 18.48–37.55 | 14% 81% |
| Shots in box | 6.24 3.30–9.19 2.47–10.02 | 11.72 9.04–14.40 8.30–15.14 | 17.97 12.34–23.59 10.78–25.16 | 88% |
| Blocked shots | 2.73 0.85–4.62 0.31–5.16 | 4.18 2.53–5.83 2.03–6.32 | 6.91 3.38–10.45 2.34–11.49 | 23% 13% 64% |
| Corners | 3.81 1.59–6.02 1.02–6.60 | 6.31 4.31–8.31 3.78–8.85 | 10.12 5.91–14.33 4.80–15.44 | 17% 74% |
| Possession % | 40.60 33.80–47.39 32.14–49.06 | 60.23 53.45–67.02 51.78–68.69 | — | 86% |
| Passes | 353 285–420 267–438 | 512 446–579 428–596 | 865 731–998 695–1034 | 91% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.10 59.07–67.13 57.78–68.42 | 77.05 72.73–81.38 71.42–82.68 | — | 96% |
| Fouls | 11.07 8.24–13.91 7.48–14.67 | 11.35 8.40–14.29 7.66–15.04 | 22.42 16.64–28.20 15.13–29.71 | 43% 48% |
| Offsides | 1.83 0.67–2.99 0.36–3.29 | 2.98 1.88–4.07 1.60–4.36 | 4.80 2.55–7.06 1.96–7.65 | 22% 17% 61% |
| Yellow cards | 1.81 0.76–2.86 0.49–3.12 | 1.70 0.57–2.83 0.28–3.12 | 3.51 1.33–5.69 0.77–6.24 | 41% 22% 37% |
| Red cards | 0.13 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.44 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.22 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 4.12 2.68–5.55 2.29–5.94 | 2.54 0.98–4.09 0.56–4.52 | 6.65 3.66–9.65 2.85–10.46 | 66% 13% 21% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.