Bundesliga·Regular Season - 22·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 22·Predicted match statistics
Goals
81%
homeawaytotalprediction3.010.823.83safe2.05–3.980.00–1.672.01–5.65safer1.79–4.230.00–1.901.53–6.13
Shots on target
88%
homeawaytotalprediction7.203.0210.22safe5.34–9.061.27–4.766.61–13.82safer4.85–9.550.81–5.235.66–14.78
Total shots
98%
homeawaytotalprediction20.398.6729.06safe16.47–24.315.11–12.2321.57–36.55safer15.37–25.414.15–13.1919.52–38.60
Shots in box
97%
homeawaytotalprediction13.475.0118.48safe10.53–16.412.33–7.6912.86–24.10safer9.70–17.241.59–8.4311.29–25.67
Blocked shots
77%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction4.762.347.10safe2.88–6.650.68–3.993.57–10.64safer2.34–7.190.19–4.482.53–11.67
Corners
88%
homeawaytotalprediction7.463.1410.60safe5.25–9.681.14–5.146.39–14.81safer4.68–10.250.60–5.675.28–15.92
Possession %
92%
homeawayprediction62.1137.52safe55.32–68.9030.73–44.30safer53.65–70.5729.06–45.98
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction566335901safe499–633268–401767–1035safer481–652251–419732–1070
Pass accuracy %
87%
homeawayprediction77.9268.67safe73.89–81.9564.35–73.00safer72.59–83.2463.04–74.31
Fouls
46%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction10.7910.7821.57safe7.95–13.637.84–13.7315.79–27.36safer7.20–14.387.09–14.4814.29–28.86
Offsides
58%
18%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction2.641.704.34safe1.48–3.800.61–2.802.09–6.60safer1.18–4.100.32–3.081.50–7.19
Yellow cards
29%
23%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.311.753.05safe0.26–2.360.62–2.880.88–5.23safer0.00–2.620.33–3.170.32–5.79
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.110.17safe0.00–0.220.00–0.300.00–0.51safer0.00–0.370.00–0.430.00–0.80
GK saves
76%
homeawaytotalprediction2.084.386.46safe0.64–3.512.82–5.933.46–9.45safer0.25–3.902.40–6.362.65–10.26
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3.01 2.05–3.98 1.79–4.23 | 0.82 0.00–1.67 0.00–1.90 | 3.83 2.01–5.65 1.53–6.13 | 81% |
| Shots on target | 7.20 5.34–9.06 4.85–9.55 | 3.02 1.27–4.76 0.81–5.23 | 10.22 6.61–13.82 5.66–14.78 | 88% |
| Total shots | 20.39 16.47–24.31 15.37–25.41 | 8.67 5.11–12.23 4.15–13.19 | 29.06 21.57–36.55 19.52–38.60 | 98% |
| Shots in box | 13.47 10.53–16.41 9.70–17.24 | 5.01 2.33–7.69 1.59–8.43 | 18.48 12.86–24.10 11.29–25.67 | 97% |
| Blocked shots | 4.76 2.88–6.65 2.34–7.19 | 2.34 0.68–3.99 0.19–4.48 | 7.10 3.57–10.64 2.53–11.67 | 77% 13% |
| Corners | 7.46 5.25–9.68 4.68–10.25 | 3.14 1.14–5.14 0.60–5.67 | 10.60 6.39–14.81 5.28–15.92 | 88% |
| Possession % | 62.11 55.32–68.90 53.65–70.57 | 37.52 30.73–44.30 29.06–45.98 | — | 92% |
| Passes | 566 499–633 481–652 | 335 268–401 251–419 | 901 767–1035 732–1070 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 77.92 73.89–81.95 72.59–83.24 | 68.67 64.35–73.00 63.04–74.31 | — | 87% |
| Fouls | 10.79 7.95–13.63 7.20–14.38 | 10.78 7.84–13.73 7.09–14.48 | 21.57 15.79–27.36 14.29–28.86 | 46% 46% |
| Offsides | 2.64 1.48–3.80 1.18–4.10 | 1.70 0.61–2.80 0.32–3.08 | 4.34 2.09–6.60 1.50–7.19 | 58% 18% 24% |
| Yellow cards | 1.31 0.26–2.36 0.00–2.62 | 1.75 0.62–2.88 0.33–3.17 | 3.05 0.88–5.23 0.32–5.79 | 29% 23% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.08 0.64–3.51 0.25–3.90 | 4.38 2.82–5.93 2.40–6.36 | 6.46 3.46–9.45 2.65–10.26 | 76% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+