Bundesliga·Regular Season - 9·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 9·Predicted match statistics
Goals
34%
26%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.261.412.67safe0.29–2.230.56–2.270.85–4.50safer0.04–2.480.33–2.490.37–4.98
Shots on target
40%
14%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction4.144.338.47safe2.28–6.002.59–6.074.86–12.07safer1.79–6.492.12–6.543.91–13.03
Total shots
40%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8413.6626.50safe8.91–16.7610.10–17.2219.01–33.99safer7.82–17.859.14–18.1816.96–36.04
Shots in box
37%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction7.978.7916.76safe5.02–10.916.11–11.4711.13–22.38safer4.19–11.745.37–12.219.56–23.95
Blocked shots
37%
15%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction3.403.767.16safe1.52–5.282.11–5.413.63–10.70safer0.98–5.831.61–5.902.59–11.73
Corners
34%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction4.705.5210.22safe2.49–6.913.52–7.526.01–14.43safer1.91–7.492.98–8.054.90–15.54
Possession %
37%
58%
homeawayprediction48.2752.75safe41.48–55.0645.96–59.53safer39.81–56.7344.29–61.20
Passes
51%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction447442889safe379–514376–509755–1022safer361–532358–526719–1058
Pass accuracy %
26%
70%
homeawayprediction65.9070.40safe61.87–69.9366.07–74.72safer60.58–71.2364.76–76.03
Fouls
41%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9511.5722.53safe8.11–13.798.63–14.5216.74–28.31safer7.36–14.547.88–15.2715.24–29.81
Offsides
32%
22%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.561.893.45safe0.40–2.720.80–2.991.20–5.71safer0.10–3.020.51–3.280.61–6.30
Yellow cards
33%
20%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.862.234.09safe0.81–2.911.10–3.351.91–6.27safer0.55–3.180.81–3.651.35–6.82
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.110.21safe0.00–0.260.00–0.300.00–0.56safer0.00–0.410.00–0.430.00–0.84
GK saves
40%
17%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction2.893.005.89safe1.46–4.331.44–4.562.90–8.89safer1.07–4.721.02–4.982.09–9.70
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.26 0.29–2.23 0.04–2.48 | 1.41 0.56–2.27 0.33–2.49 | 2.67 0.85–4.50 0.37–4.98 | 34% 26% 41% |
| Shots on target | 4.14 2.28–6.00 1.79–6.49 | 4.33 2.59–6.07 2.12–6.54 | 8.47 4.86–12.07 3.91–13.03 | 40% 14% 46% |
| Total shots | 12.84 8.91–16.76 7.82–17.85 | 13.66 10.10–17.22 9.14–18.18 | 26.50 19.01–33.99 16.96–36.04 | 40% 52% |
| Shots in box | 7.97 5.02–10.91 4.19–11.74 | 8.79 6.11–11.47 5.37–12.21 | 16.76 11.13–22.38 9.56–23.95 | 37% 53% |
| Blocked shots | 3.40 1.52–5.28 0.98–5.83 | 3.76 2.11–5.41 1.61–5.90 | 7.16 3.63–10.70 2.59–11.73 | 37% 15% 48% |
| Corners | 4.70 2.49–6.91 1.91–7.49 | 5.52 3.52–7.52 2.98–8.05 | 10.22 6.01–14.43 4.90–15.54 | 34% 54% |
| Possession % | 48.27 41.48–55.06 39.81–56.73 | 52.75 45.96–59.53 44.29–61.20 | — | 37% 58% |
| Passes | 447 379–514 361–532 | 442 376–509 358–526 | 889 755–1022 719–1058 | 51% 48% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.90 61.87–69.93 60.58–71.23 | 70.40 66.07–74.72 64.76–76.03 | — | 26% 70% |
| Fouls | 10.95 8.11–13.79 7.36–14.54 | 11.57 8.63–14.52 7.88–15.27 | 22.53 16.74–28.31 15.24–29.81 | 41% 51% |
| Offsides | 1.56 0.40–2.72 0.10–3.02 | 1.89 0.80–2.99 0.51–3.28 | 3.45 1.20–5.71 0.61–6.30 | 32% 22% 46% |
| Yellow cards | 1.86 0.81–2.91 0.55–3.18 | 2.23 1.10–3.35 0.81–3.65 | 4.09 1.91–6.27 1.35–6.82 | 33% 20% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.89 1.46–4.33 1.07–4.72 | 3.00 1.44–4.56 1.02–4.98 | 5.89 2.90–8.89 2.09–9.70 | 40% 17% 43% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+