Bundesliga·Regular Season - 22·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 22·Predicted match statistics
Goals
54%
24%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction1.680.992.67safe0.72–2.650.13–1.840.85–4.50safer0.46–2.900.00–2.070.37–4.98
Shots on target
66%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction5.373.669.03safe3.51–7.231.92–5.405.42–12.63safer3.02–7.721.45–5.874.47–13.59
Total shots
78%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction15.1810.8125.99safe11.26–19.107.25–14.3818.51–33.48safer10.16–20.206.29–15.3316.45–35.53
Shots in box
76%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction10.106.7316.83safe7.15–13.044.05–9.4111.20–22.45safer6.32–13.873.31–10.159.64–24.02
Blocked shots
57%
14%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction4.023.037.05safe2.14–5.901.38–4.693.52–10.59safer1.59–6.440.89–5.182.48–11.62
Corners
71%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction6.123.8910.01safe3.91–8.341.89–5.895.80–14.22safer3.33–8.911.36–6.424.69–15.33
Possession %
65%
31%
homeawayprediction53.8846.46safe47.09–60.6739.67–53.24safer45.42–62.3438.00–54.91
Passes
72%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction489420910safe422–557354–487776–1043safer404–575337–504740–1079
Pass accuracy %
41%
54%
homeawayprediction69.2370.52safe65.20–73.2666.19–74.84safer63.91–74.5564.88–76.15
Fouls
45%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction10.2110.3220.53safe7.37–13.057.38–13.2714.75–26.32safer6.62–13.806.63–14.0213.25–27.82
Offsides
46%
23%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.811.443.26safe0.65–2.980.35–2.541.00–5.51safer0.35–3.280.06–2.820.41–6.10
Yellow cards
42%
21%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.941.823.76safe0.89–2.990.69–2.951.58–5.94safer0.62–3.250.40–3.241.02–6.50
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.100.18safe0.00–0.240.00–0.290.00–0.53safer0.00–0.390.00–0.420.00–0.82
GK saves
29%
16%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction2.663.506.16safe1.22–4.091.94–5.063.17–9.15safer0.83–4.481.52–5.482.35–9.96
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.68 0.72–2.65 0.46–2.90 | 0.99 0.13–1.84 0.00–2.07 | 2.67 0.85–4.50 0.37–4.98 | 54% 24% 22% |
| Shots on target | 5.37 3.51–7.23 3.02–7.72 | 3.66 1.92–5.40 1.45–5.87 | 9.03 5.42–12.63 4.47–13.59 | 66% 23% |
| Total shots | 15.18 11.26–19.10 10.16–20.20 | 10.81 7.25–14.38 6.29–15.33 | 25.99 18.51–33.48 16.45–35.53 | 78% 17% |
| Shots in box | 10.10 7.15–13.04 6.32–13.87 | 6.73 4.05–9.41 3.31–10.15 | 16.83 11.20–22.45 9.64–24.02 | 76% 17% |
| Blocked shots | 4.02 2.14–5.90 1.59–6.44 | 3.03 1.38–4.69 0.89–5.18 | 7.05 3.52–10.59 2.48–11.62 | 57% 14% 29% |
| Corners | 6.12 3.91–8.34 3.33–8.91 | 3.89 1.89–5.89 1.36–6.42 | 10.01 5.80–14.22 4.69–15.33 | 71% 19% |
| Possession % | 53.88 47.09–60.67 45.42–62.34 | 46.46 39.67–53.24 38.00–54.91 | — | 65% 31% |
| Passes | 489 422–557 404–575 | 420 354–487 337–504 | 910 776–1043 740–1079 | 72% 28% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.23 65.20–73.26 63.91–74.55 | 70.52 66.19–74.84 64.88–76.15 | — | 41% 54% |
| Fouls | 10.21 7.37–13.05 6.62–13.80 | 10.32 7.38–13.27 6.63–14.02 | 20.53 14.75–26.32 13.25–27.82 | 45% 47% |
| Offsides | 1.81 0.65–2.98 0.35–3.28 | 1.44 0.35–2.54 0.06–2.82 | 3.26 1.00–5.51 0.41–6.10 | 46% 23% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 1.94 0.89–2.99 0.62–3.25 | 1.82 0.69–2.95 0.40–3.24 | 3.76 1.58–5.94 1.02–6.50 | 42% 21% 37% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.66 1.22–4.09 0.83–4.48 | 3.50 1.94–5.06 1.52–5.48 | 6.16 3.17–9.15 2.35–9.96 | 29% 16% 55% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+