Bundesliga·Regular Season - 9·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 9·Predicted match statistics
Goals
63%
21%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction2.010.932.94safe1.04–2.980.07–1.781.11–4.76safer0.79–3.230.00–2.010.63–5.24
Shots on target
82%
homeawaytotalprediction6.182.949.12safe4.32–8.041.20–4.685.52–12.73safer3.83–8.530.73–5.154.56–13.68
Total shots
94%
homeawaytotalprediction18.399.5527.95safe14.47–22.325.99–13.1120.46–35.43safer13.38–23.415.03–14.0718.41–37.48
Shots in box
88%
homeawaytotalprediction11.676.3217.99safe8.72–14.613.64–9.0012.37–23.61safer7.90–15.442.90–9.7410.80–25.18
Blocked shots
74%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction5.012.737.74safe3.13–6.891.08–4.394.21–11.28safer2.59–7.440.59–4.883.17–12.32
Corners
75%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction6.674.0110.68safe4.46–8.882.01–6.016.47–14.89safer3.88–9.461.48–6.545.36–16.00
Possession %
88%
homeawayprediction60.9439.94safe54.15–67.7333.16–46.73safer52.48–69.4031.48–48.40
Passes
96%
homeawaytotalprediction566359925safe499–634292–425791–1059safer481–652275–443756–1094
Pass accuracy %
72%
24%
homeawayprediction74.1369.17safe70.10–78.1664.85–73.49safer68.81–79.4563.54–74.80
Fouls
47%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2411.1122.36safe8.41–14.088.17–14.0616.58–28.14safer7.65–14.847.42–14.8115.07–29.64
Offsides
39%
25%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.501.462.95safe0.34–2.660.36–2.550.70–5.21safer0.04–2.960.08–2.840.11–5.80
Yellow cards
29%
21%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.512.043.55safe0.46–2.560.91–3.171.38–5.73safer0.20–2.830.62–3.460.82–6.29
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
15%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction2.104.126.22safe0.66–3.532.56–5.673.22–9.21safer0.28–3.922.14–6.102.41–10.02
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.01 1.04–2.98 0.79–3.23 | 0.93 0.07–1.78 0.00–2.01 | 2.94 1.11–4.76 0.63–5.24 | 63% 21% 17% |
| Shots on target | 6.18 4.32–8.04 3.83–8.53 | 2.94 1.20–4.68 0.73–5.15 | 9.12 5.52–12.73 4.56–13.68 | 82% |
| Total shots | 18.39 14.47–22.32 13.38–23.41 | 9.55 5.99–13.11 5.03–14.07 | 27.95 20.46–35.43 18.41–37.48 | 94% |
| Shots in box | 11.67 8.72–14.61 7.90–15.44 | 6.32 3.64–9.00 2.90–9.74 | 17.99 12.37–23.61 10.80–25.18 | 88% |
| Blocked shots | 5.01 3.13–6.89 2.59–7.44 | 2.73 1.08–4.39 0.59–4.88 | 7.74 4.21–11.28 3.17–12.32 | 74% 15% |
| Corners | 6.67 4.46–8.88 3.88–9.46 | 4.01 2.01–6.01 1.48–6.54 | 10.68 6.47–14.89 5.36–16.00 | 75% 16% |
| Possession % | 60.94 54.15–67.73 52.48–69.40 | 39.94 33.16–46.73 31.48–48.40 | — | 88% |
| Passes | 566 499–634 481–652 | 359 292–425 275–443 | 925 791–1059 756–1094 | 96% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.13 70.10–78.16 68.81–79.45 | 69.17 64.85–73.49 63.54–74.80 | — | 72% 24% |
| Fouls | 11.24 8.41–14.08 7.65–14.84 | 11.11 8.17–14.06 7.42–14.81 | 22.36 16.58–28.14 15.07–29.64 | 47% 45% |
| Offsides | 1.50 0.34–2.66 0.04–2.96 | 1.46 0.36–2.55 0.08–2.84 | 2.95 0.70–5.21 0.11–5.80 | 39% 25% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 1.51 0.46–2.56 0.20–2.83 | 2.04 0.91–3.17 0.62–3.46 | 3.55 1.38–5.73 0.82–6.29 | 29% 21% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.10 0.66–3.53 0.28–3.92 | 4.12 2.56–5.67 2.14–6.10 | 6.22 3.22–9.21 2.41–10.02 | 15% 73% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.