Bundesliga·Regular Season - 15·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 15·Predicted match statistics
Goals
25%
24%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.161.752.91safe0.19–2.120.90–2.611.08–4.73safer0.00–2.380.67–2.830.60–5.21
Shots on target
25%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction3.705.228.92safe1.84–5.563.48–6.965.31–12.52safer1.35–6.053.01–7.434.36–13.48
Total shots
29%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction12.4414.7527.20safe8.52–16.3711.19–18.3219.71–34.68safer7.43–17.4610.23–19.2817.66–36.73
Shots in box
27%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction7.729.7217.43safe4.78–10.667.03–12.4011.81–23.06safer3.95–11.496.30–13.1310.24–24.62
Blocked shots
32%
14%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction3.564.327.88safe1.68–5.442.67–5.974.34–11.41safer1.13–5.982.18–6.473.31–12.45
Corners
43%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction5.105.1610.27safe2.89–7.323.16–7.166.05–14.48safer2.32–7.892.63–7.694.95–15.59
Possession %
14%
83%
homeawayprediction41.7658.89safe34.97–48.5552.10–65.67safer33.30–50.2250.43–67.35
Passes
89%
homeawaytotalprediction376523899safe309–443456–589765–1033safer291–461439–607730–1068
Pass accuracy %
89%
homeawayprediction66.0176.07safe61.98–70.0471.74–80.39safer60.69–71.3370.43–81.70
Fouls
28%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction10.3112.5822.88safe7.47–13.149.63–15.5217.10–28.67safer6.71–13.908.88–16.2715.60–30.17
Offsides
41%
24%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.581.463.04safe0.42–2.740.37–2.550.78–5.29safer0.12–3.040.08–2.840.19–5.88
Yellow cards
37%
21%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.922.063.98safe0.87–2.970.94–3.191.81–6.16safer0.60–3.230.64–3.481.25–6.72
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.090.20safe0.00–0.260.00–0.280.00–0.54safer0.00–0.410.00–0.410.00–0.83
GK saves
55%
16%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction3.432.586.00safe1.99–4.861.02–4.143.01–9.00safer1.60–5.250.60–4.562.20–9.81
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.16 0.19–2.12 0.00–2.38 | 1.75 0.90–2.61 0.67–2.83 | 2.91 1.08–4.73 0.60–5.21 | 25% 24% 51% |
| Shots on target | 3.70 1.84–5.56 1.35–6.05 | 5.22 3.48–6.96 3.01–7.43 | 8.92 5.31–12.52 4.36–13.48 | 25% 63% |
| Total shots | 12.44 8.52–16.37 7.43–17.46 | 14.75 11.19–18.32 10.23–19.28 | 27.20 19.71–34.68 17.66–36.73 | 29% 64% |
| Shots in box | 7.72 4.78–10.66 3.95–11.49 | 9.72 7.03–12.40 6.30–13.13 | 17.43 11.81–23.06 10.24–24.62 | 27% 64% |
| Blocked shots | 3.56 1.68–5.44 1.13–5.98 | 4.32 2.67–5.97 2.18–6.47 | 7.88 4.34–11.41 3.31–12.45 | 32% 14% 54% |
| Corners | 5.10 2.89–7.32 2.32–7.89 | 5.16 3.16–7.16 2.63–7.69 | 10.27 6.05–14.48 4.95–15.59 | 43% 44% |
| Possession % | 41.76 34.97–48.55 33.30–50.22 | 58.89 52.10–65.67 50.43–67.35 | — | 14% 83% |
| Passes | 376 309–443 291–461 | 523 456–589 439–607 | 899 765–1033 730–1068 | 89% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.01 61.98–70.04 60.69–71.33 | 76.07 71.74–80.39 70.43–81.70 | — | 89% |
| Fouls | 10.31 7.47–13.14 6.71–13.90 | 12.58 9.63–15.52 8.88–16.27 | 22.88 17.10–28.67 15.60–30.17 | 28% 64% |
| Offsides | 1.58 0.42–2.74 0.12–3.04 | 1.46 0.37–2.55 0.08–2.84 | 3.04 0.78–5.29 0.19–5.88 | 41% 24% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 1.92 0.87–2.97 0.60–3.23 | 2.06 0.94–3.19 0.64–3.48 | 3.98 1.81–6.16 1.25–6.72 | 37% 21% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.20 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.43 1.99–4.86 1.60–5.25 | 2.58 1.02–4.14 0.60–4.56 | 6.00 3.01–9.00 2.20–9.81 | 55% 16% 29% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+