Bundesliga·Regular Season - 9·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 9·Predicted match statistics
Goals
63%
20%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction2.151.033.17safe1.18–3.120.17–1.881.35–5.00safer0.93–3.370.00–2.110.87–5.48
Shots on target
82%
homeawaytotalprediction6.643.339.97safe4.77–8.501.59–5.076.36–13.57safer4.29–8.991.12–5.545.41–14.53
Total shots
95%
homeawaytotalprediction19.329.9129.23safe15.40–23.256.34–13.4721.74–36.72safer14.31–24.345.38–14.4319.69–38.77
Shots in box
91%
homeawaytotalprediction11.915.9017.81safe8.97–14.853.22–8.5812.18–23.43safer8.14–15.682.48–9.3210.62–25.00
Blocked shots
78%
homeawaytotalprediction5.312.697.99safe3.43–7.191.03–4.344.46–11.53safer2.88–7.730.54–4.833.42–12.57
Corners
87%
homeawaytotalprediction7.493.2910.78safe5.27–9.701.29–5.296.57–14.99safer4.70–10.270.76–5.835.46–16.10
Possession %
87%
homeawayprediction60.0439.99safe53.25–66.8333.21–46.78safer51.58–68.5031.54–48.45
Passes
96%
homeawaytotalprediction591380971safe524–659313–446837–1105safer506–677296–464802–1140
Pass accuracy %
78%
18%
homeawayprediction76.5370.07safe72.50–80.5665.75–74.40safer71.21–81.8564.44–75.71
Fouls
23%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction9.9913.0723.05safe7.15–12.8210.12–16.0117.27–28.83safer6.39–13.589.37–16.7615.77–30.34
Offsides
33%
22%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.591.853.43safe0.43–2.750.75–2.941.18–5.69safer0.13–3.050.46–3.230.59–6.28
Yellow cards
30%
21%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.582.083.66safe0.53–2.630.95–3.201.48–5.84safer0.27–2.900.66–3.500.92–6.39
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
15%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction2.304.456.75safe0.86–3.732.90–6.013.76–9.74safer0.47–4.122.47–6.432.94–10.55
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.15 1.18–3.12 0.93–3.37 | 1.03 0.17–1.88 0.00–2.11 | 3.17 1.35–5.00 0.87–5.48 | 63% 20% 17% |
| Shots on target | 6.64 4.77–8.50 4.29–8.99 | 3.33 1.59–5.07 1.12–5.54 | 9.97 6.36–13.57 5.41–14.53 | 82% |
| Total shots | 19.32 15.40–23.25 14.31–24.34 | 9.91 6.34–13.47 5.38–14.43 | 29.23 21.74–36.72 19.69–38.77 | 95% |
| Shots in box | 11.91 8.97–14.85 8.14–15.68 | 5.90 3.22–8.58 2.48–9.32 | 17.81 12.18–23.43 10.62–25.00 | 91% |
| Blocked shots | 5.31 3.43–7.19 2.88–7.73 | 2.69 1.03–4.34 0.54–4.83 | 7.99 4.46–11.53 3.42–12.57 | 78% |
| Corners | 7.49 5.27–9.70 4.70–10.27 | 3.29 1.29–5.29 0.76–5.83 | 10.78 6.57–14.99 5.46–16.10 | 87% |
| Possession % | 60.04 53.25–66.83 51.58–68.50 | 39.99 33.21–46.78 31.54–48.45 | — | 87% |
| Passes | 591 524–659 506–677 | 380 313–446 296–464 | 971 837–1105 802–1140 | 96% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.53 72.50–80.56 71.21–81.85 | 70.07 65.75–74.40 64.44–75.71 | — | 78% 18% |
| Fouls | 9.99 7.15–12.82 6.39–13.58 | 13.07 10.12–16.01 9.37–16.76 | 23.05 17.27–28.83 15.77–30.34 | 23% 70% |
| Offsides | 1.59 0.43–2.75 0.13–3.05 | 1.85 0.75–2.94 0.46–3.23 | 3.43 1.18–5.69 0.59–6.28 | 33% 22% 44% |
| Yellow cards | 1.58 0.53–2.63 0.27–2.90 | 2.08 0.95–3.20 0.66–3.50 | 3.66 1.48–5.84 0.92–6.39 | 30% 21% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.30 0.86–3.73 0.47–4.12 | 4.45 2.90–6.01 2.47–6.43 | 6.75 3.76–9.74 2.94–10.55 | 15% 74% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.