Bundesliga·Regular Season - 17·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 17·Predicted match statistics
Goals
25%
23%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.211.863.07safe0.24–2.181.01–2.721.24–4.89safer0.00–2.430.78–2.940.77–5.37
Shots on target
22%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction4.166.0610.22safe2.29–6.024.32–7.806.61–13.82safer1.80–6.513.85–8.275.66–14.78
Total shots
18%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2015.4926.68safe7.27–15.1211.93–19.0519.20–34.17safer6.18–16.2110.97–20.0117.15–36.22
Shots in box
26%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction7.699.8817.57safe4.75–10.647.20–12.5611.95–23.19safer3.92–11.466.46–13.3010.38–24.76
Blocked shots
26%
14%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction3.064.327.39safe1.18–4.952.67–5.973.85–10.92safer0.64–5.492.18–6.472.81–11.96
Corners
23%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction4.466.3710.84safe2.25–6.684.37–8.376.62–15.05safer1.67–7.253.84–8.915.52–16.16
Possession %
88%
homeawayprediction40.3461.20safe33.55–47.1354.41–67.98safer31.88–48.8052.74–69.65
Passes
93%
homeawaytotalprediction394572966safe327–461506–639833–1100safer309–479488–656797–1136
Pass accuracy %
91%
homeawayprediction67.4578.16safe63.42–71.4873.84–82.49safer62.13–72.7872.53–83.80
Fouls
72%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction12.759.4722.23safe9.91–15.596.53–12.4216.44–28.01safer9.16–16.345.78–13.1714.94–29.51
Offsides
51%
21%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction2.071.483.54safe0.91–3.230.38–2.571.29–5.80safer0.61–3.530.09–2.860.70–6.39
Yellow cards
45%
22%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.931.663.58safe0.88–2.980.53–2.791.41–5.76safer0.61–3.240.24–3.080.85–6.32
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.080.18safe0.00–0.260.00–0.270.00–0.53safer0.00–0.410.00–0.400.00–0.81
GK saves
56%
15%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction3.822.946.76safe2.39–5.261.38–4.493.77–9.75safer2.00–5.650.96–4.922.95–10.56
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.21 0.24–2.18 0.00–2.43 | 1.86 1.01–2.72 0.78–2.94 | 3.07 1.24–4.89 0.77–5.37 | 25% 23% 53% |
| Shots on target | 4.16 2.29–6.02 1.80–6.51 | 6.06 4.32–7.80 3.85–8.27 | 10.22 6.61–13.82 5.66–14.78 | 22% 67% |
| Total shots | 11.20 7.27–15.12 6.18–16.21 | 15.49 11.93–19.05 10.97–20.01 | 26.68 19.20–34.17 17.15–36.22 | 18% 77% |
| Shots in box | 7.69 4.75–10.64 3.92–11.46 | 9.88 7.20–12.56 6.46–13.30 | 17.57 11.95–23.19 10.38–24.76 | 26% 66% |
| Blocked shots | 3.06 1.18–4.95 0.64–5.49 | 4.32 2.67–5.97 2.18–6.47 | 7.39 3.85–10.92 2.81–11.96 | 26% 14% 61% |
| Corners | 4.46 2.25–6.68 1.67–7.25 | 6.37 4.37–8.37 3.84–8.91 | 10.84 6.62–15.05 5.52–16.16 | 23% 67% |
| Possession % | 40.34 33.55–47.13 31.88–48.80 | 61.20 54.41–67.98 52.74–69.65 | — | 88% |
| Passes | 394 327–461 309–479 | 572 506–639 488–656 | 966 833–1100 797–1136 | 93% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.45 63.42–71.48 62.13–72.78 | 78.16 73.84–82.49 72.53–83.80 | — | 91% |
| Fouls | 12.75 9.91–15.59 9.16–16.34 | 9.47 6.53–12.42 5.78–13.17 | 22.23 16.44–28.01 14.94–29.51 | 72% 21% |
| Offsides | 2.07 0.91–3.23 0.61–3.53 | 1.48 0.38–2.57 0.09–2.86 | 3.54 1.29–5.80 0.70–6.39 | 51% 21% 27% |
| Yellow cards | 1.93 0.88–2.98 0.61–3.24 | 1.66 0.53–2.79 0.24–3.08 | 3.58 1.41–5.76 0.85–6.32 | 45% 22% 34% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.82 2.39–5.26 2.00–5.65 | 2.94 1.38–4.49 0.96–4.92 | 6.76 3.77–9.75 2.95–10.56 | 56% 15% 29% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+