Bundesliga·Regular Season - 9·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 9·Predicted match statistics
Goals
49%
25%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.621.132.76safe0.65–2.590.28–1.990.93–4.58safer0.40–2.840.05–2.220.45–5.06
Shots on target
64%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction5.593.979.56safe3.73–7.462.23–5.715.96–13.17safer3.24–7.951.76–6.185.00–14.12
Total shots
82%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction16.6511.2727.92safe12.72–20.577.71–14.8420.43–35.41safer11.63–21.666.75–15.8018.38–37.46
Shots in box
73%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction10.347.2517.59safe7.40–13.294.57–9.9311.97–23.22safer6.57–14.113.83–10.6710.40–24.78
Blocked shots
67%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction4.622.897.51safe2.74–6.501.24–4.543.98–11.05safer2.19–7.050.75–5.042.94–12.08
Corners
70%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction6.274.0710.34safe4.06–8.492.07–6.076.13–14.56safer3.49–9.061.54–6.605.02–15.66
Possession %
75%
21%
homeawayprediction56.2743.87safe49.48–63.0637.09–50.66safer47.81–64.7335.41–52.33
Passes
84%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction446325771safe379–513259–392637–905safer360–531241–409601–940
Pass accuracy %
70%
26%
homeawayprediction68.3363.75safe64.30–72.3659.43–68.08safer63.01–73.6558.12–69.39
Fouls
43%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8212.1924.00safe8.98–14.659.24–15.1318.22–29.78safer8.22–15.418.49–15.8816.72–31.29
Offsides
37%
23%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.611.693.30safe0.45–2.770.60–2.781.04–5.55safer0.15–3.070.31–3.070.45–6.14
Yellow cards
34%
19%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction2.042.404.43safe0.99–3.091.27–3.532.26–6.61safer0.72–3.350.98–3.821.70–7.17
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.130.21safe0.00–0.250.00–0.310.00–0.56safer0.00–0.400.00–0.450.00–0.84
GK saves
24%
15%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction2.513.736.24safe1.07–3.942.18–5.293.25–9.23safer0.68–4.331.75–5.712.44–10.04
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.62 0.65–2.59 0.40–2.84 | 1.13 0.28–1.99 0.05–2.22 | 2.76 0.93–4.58 0.45–5.06 | 49% 25% 27% |
| Shots on target | 5.59 3.73–7.46 3.24–7.95 | 3.97 2.23–5.71 1.76–6.18 | 9.56 5.96–13.17 5.00–14.12 | 64% 24% |
| Total shots | 16.65 12.72–20.57 11.63–21.66 | 11.27 7.71–14.84 6.75–15.80 | 27.92 20.43–35.41 18.38–37.46 | 82% 13% |
| Shots in box | 10.34 7.40–13.29 6.57–14.11 | 7.25 4.57–9.93 3.83–10.67 | 17.59 11.97–23.22 10.40–24.78 | 73% 19% |
| Blocked shots | 4.62 2.74–6.50 2.19–7.05 | 2.89 1.24–4.54 0.75–5.04 | 7.51 3.98–11.05 2.94–12.08 | 67% 20% |
| Corners | 6.27 4.06–8.49 3.49–9.06 | 4.07 2.07–6.07 1.54–6.60 | 10.34 6.13–14.56 5.02–15.66 | 70% 20% |
| Possession % | 56.27 49.48–63.06 47.81–64.73 | 43.87 37.09–50.66 35.41–52.33 | — | 75% 21% |
| Passes | 446 379–513 360–531 | 325 259–392 241–409 | 771 637–905 601–940 | 84% 16% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.33 64.30–72.36 63.01–73.65 | 63.75 59.43–68.08 58.12–69.39 | — | 70% 26% |
| Fouls | 11.82 8.98–14.65 8.22–15.41 | 12.19 9.24–15.13 8.49–15.88 | 24.00 18.22–29.78 16.72–31.29 | 43% 49% |
| Offsides | 1.61 0.45–2.77 0.15–3.07 | 1.69 0.60–2.78 0.31–3.07 | 3.30 1.04–5.55 0.45–6.14 | 37% 23% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 2.04 0.99–3.09 0.72–3.35 | 2.40 1.27–3.53 0.98–3.82 | 4.43 2.26–6.61 1.70–7.17 | 34% 19% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.13 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.45 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.51 1.07–3.94 0.68–4.33 | 3.73 2.18–5.29 1.75–5.71 | 6.24 3.25–9.23 2.44–10.04 | 24% 15% 61% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+