Bundesliga·Regular Season - 16·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 16·Predicted match statistics
Goals
36%
27%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.251.292.54safe0.29–2.220.43–2.140.72–4.36safer0.03–2.470.21–2.370.24–4.84
Shots on target
40%
14%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction4.314.548.86safe2.45–6.182.80–6.295.25–12.46safer1.96–6.672.34–6.754.30–13.42
Total shots
41%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction13.1713.9127.08safe9.24–17.0910.35–17.4819.59–34.57safer8.15–18.189.39–18.4417.54–36.62
Shots in box
42%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction8.398.7617.14safe5.44–11.336.07–11.4411.52–22.77safer4.62–12.165.34–12.179.95–24.33
Blocked shots
37%
15%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction3.453.837.28safe1.57–5.332.18–5.493.75–10.82safer1.03–5.881.69–5.982.71–11.85
Corners
34%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction4.775.6010.37safe2.56–6.983.60–7.606.15–14.58safer1.98–7.563.07–8.135.05–15.69
Possession %
32%
64%
homeawayprediction46.7553.70safe39.96–53.5446.91–60.48safer38.29–55.2145.24–62.15
Passes
35%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction364409773safe297–431342–475639–906safer279–449325–493603–942
Pass accuracy %
15%
82%
homeawayprediction62.2169.70safe58.18–66.2465.37–74.02safer56.89–67.5364.06–75.33
Fouls
37%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9413.1425.08safe9.11–14.7810.19–16.0819.30–30.86safer8.35–15.549.44–16.8317.79–32.37
Offsides
44%
23%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.701.433.13safe0.54–2.860.34–2.520.87–5.38safer0.24–3.160.05–2.810.29–5.97
Yellow cards
39%
20%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction2.132.174.30safe1.08–3.181.04–3.302.12–6.48safer0.81–3.440.75–3.591.56–7.04
Red cards
78%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.140.26safe0.00–0.280.00–0.330.00–0.61safer0.00–0.430.00–0.460.00–0.89
GK saves
47%
16%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction3.343.026.37safe1.90–4.781.47–4.583.37–9.36safer1.52–5.161.04–5.012.56–10.17
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.25 0.29–2.22 0.03–2.47 | 1.29 0.43–2.14 0.21–2.37 | 2.54 0.72–4.36 0.24–4.84 | 36% 27% 37% |
| Shots on target | 4.31 2.45–6.18 1.96–6.67 | 4.54 2.80–6.29 2.34–6.75 | 8.86 5.25–12.46 4.30–13.42 | 40% 14% 46% |
| Total shots | 13.17 9.24–17.09 8.15–18.18 | 13.91 10.35–17.48 9.39–18.44 | 27.08 19.59–34.57 17.54–36.62 | 41% 52% |
| Shots in box | 8.39 5.44–11.33 4.62–12.16 | 8.76 6.07–11.44 5.34–12.17 | 17.14 11.52–22.77 9.95–24.33 | 42% 49% |
| Blocked shots | 3.45 1.57–5.33 1.03–5.88 | 3.83 2.18–5.49 1.69–5.98 | 7.28 3.75–10.82 2.71–11.85 | 37% 15% 48% |
| Corners | 4.77 2.56–6.98 1.98–7.56 | 5.60 3.60–7.60 3.07–8.13 | 10.37 6.15–14.58 5.05–15.69 | 34% 54% |
| Possession % | 46.75 39.96–53.54 38.29–55.21 | 53.70 46.91–60.48 45.24–62.15 | — | 32% 64% |
| Passes | 364 297–431 279–449 | 409 342–475 325–493 | 773 639–906 603–942 | 35% 64% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.21 58.18–66.24 56.89–67.53 | 69.70 65.37–74.02 64.06–75.33 | — | 15% 82% |
| Fouls | 11.94 9.11–14.78 8.35–15.54 | 13.14 10.19–16.08 9.44–16.83 | 25.08 19.30–30.86 17.79–32.37 | 37% 55% |
| Offsides | 1.70 0.54–2.86 0.24–3.16 | 1.43 0.34–2.52 0.05–2.81 | 3.13 0.87–5.38 0.29–5.97 | 44% 23% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 2.13 1.08–3.18 0.81–3.44 | 2.17 1.04–3.30 0.75–3.59 | 4.30 2.12–6.48 1.56–7.04 | 39% 20% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.14 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.46 | 0.26 0.00–0.61 0.00–0.89 | 78% |
| GK saves | 3.34 1.90–4.78 1.52–5.16 | 3.02 1.47–4.58 1.04–5.01 | 6.37 3.37–9.36 2.56–10.17 | 47% 16% 37% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.