Bundesliga·Regular Season - 9·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 9·Predicted match statistics
Goals
35%
25%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.391.482.88safe0.42–2.360.63–2.341.05–4.70safer0.17–2.610.40–2.570.57–5.18
Shots on target
39%
13%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction4.424.729.14safe2.55–6.282.98–6.475.54–12.75safer2.06–6.772.52–6.934.58–13.70
Total shots
50%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction14.2613.7828.04safe10.34–18.1910.22–17.3420.56–35.53safer9.25–19.289.26–18.3018.51–37.58
Shots in box
45%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction8.728.7117.43safe5.78–11.666.03–11.3911.80–23.05safer4.95–12.495.29–12.1310.24–24.62
Blocked shots
42%
15%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction3.683.737.42safe1.80–5.572.08–5.383.88–10.95safer1.26–6.111.59–5.882.84–11.99
Corners
44%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction5.085.0510.13safe2.87–7.293.05–7.055.92–14.35safer2.29–7.872.52–7.594.81–15.45
Possession %
35%
60%
homeawayprediction47.6252.92safe40.83–54.4146.13–59.70safer39.16–56.0844.46–61.37
Passes
38%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction409444853safe342–476377–510719–986safer323–494360–528683–1022
Pass accuracy %
23%
73%
homeawayprediction64.6869.93safe60.65–68.7165.61–74.26safer59.36–70.0064.30–75.57
Fouls
54%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction12.4611.4323.89safe9.62–15.308.49–14.3818.11–29.67safer8.86–16.057.74–15.1316.60–31.18
Offsides
44%
21%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.971.733.70safe0.81–3.130.64–2.821.45–5.95safer0.51–3.430.35–3.110.86–6.54
Yellow cards
35%
21%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.802.063.86safe0.75–2.850.93–3.191.69–6.04safer0.49–3.120.64–3.481.13–6.60
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.130.22safe0.00–0.250.00–0.320.00–0.57safer0.00–0.400.00–0.450.00–0.85
GK saves
41%
16%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction3.103.156.25safe1.66–4.531.60–4.713.26–9.24safer1.27–4.921.17–5.132.45–10.05
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.39 0.42–2.36 0.17–2.61 | 1.48 0.63–2.34 0.40–2.57 | 2.88 1.05–4.70 0.57–5.18 | 35% 25% 40% |
| Shots on target | 4.42 2.55–6.28 2.06–6.77 | 4.72 2.98–6.47 2.52–6.93 | 9.14 5.54–12.75 4.58–13.70 | 39% 13% 47% |
| Total shots | 14.26 10.34–18.19 9.25–19.28 | 13.78 10.22–17.34 9.26–18.30 | 28.04 20.56–35.53 18.51–37.58 | 50% 43% |
| Shots in box | 8.72 5.78–11.66 4.95–12.49 | 8.71 6.03–11.39 5.29–12.13 | 17.43 11.80–23.05 10.24–24.62 | 45% 45% |
| Blocked shots | 3.68 1.80–5.57 1.26–6.11 | 3.73 2.08–5.38 1.59–5.88 | 7.42 3.88–10.95 2.84–11.99 | 42% 15% 43% |
| Corners | 5.08 2.87–7.29 2.29–7.87 | 5.05 3.05–7.05 2.52–7.59 | 10.13 5.92–14.35 4.81–15.45 | 44% 43% |
| Possession % | 47.62 40.83–54.41 39.16–56.08 | 52.92 46.13–59.70 44.46–61.37 | — | 35% 60% |
| Passes | 409 342–476 323–494 | 444 377–510 360–528 | 853 719–986 683–1022 | 38% 61% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.68 60.65–68.71 59.36–70.00 | 69.93 65.61–74.26 64.30–75.57 | — | 23% 73% |
| Fouls | 12.46 9.62–15.30 8.86–16.05 | 11.43 8.49–14.38 7.74–15.13 | 23.89 18.11–29.67 16.60–31.18 | 54% 38% |
| Offsides | 1.97 0.81–3.13 0.51–3.43 | 1.73 0.64–2.82 0.35–3.11 | 3.70 1.45–5.95 0.86–6.54 | 44% 21% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 1.80 0.75–2.85 0.49–3.12 | 2.06 0.93–3.19 0.64–3.48 | 3.86 1.69–6.04 1.13–6.60 | 35% 21% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.22 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 3.10 1.66–4.53 1.27–4.92 | 3.15 1.60–4.71 1.17–5.13 | 6.25 3.26–9.24 2.45–10.05 | 41% 16% 43% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.