Bundesliga·Regular Season - 22·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 22·Predicted match statistics
Goals
49%
24%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.651.172.82safe0.68–2.620.32–2.021.00–4.64safer0.43–2.870.09–2.250.52–5.12
Shots on target
59%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction5.033.868.88safe3.16–6.892.11–5.605.28–12.49safer2.67–7.381.65–6.064.32–13.44
Total shots
72%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction15.5512.0227.57safe11.63–19.478.46–15.5820.08–35.06safer10.53–20.577.50–16.5418.03–37.11
Shots in box
66%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction9.497.3116.80safe6.55–12.444.63–9.9911.18–22.42safer5.72–13.263.89–10.739.61–23.99
Blocked shots
51%
15%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction3.983.437.41safe2.10–5.871.77–5.083.87–10.95safer1.56–6.411.28–5.572.84–11.98
Corners
58%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction5.654.5010.15safe3.44–7.872.50–6.505.94–14.37safer2.86–8.441.97–7.044.83–15.47
Possession %
66%
30%
homeawayprediction54.4246.33safe47.63–61.2139.54–53.11safer45.96–62.8837.87–54.79
Passes
79%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction477381858safe410–545314–447725–992safer392–563297–465689–1028
Pass accuracy %
44%
51%
homeawayprediction67.8368.50safe63.80–71.8664.18–72.82safer62.51–73.1562.87–74.13
Fouls
31%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction10.4912.3322.82safe7.66–13.339.38–15.2717.04–28.60safer6.90–14.098.63–16.0215.54–30.11
Offsides
35%
22%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.711.893.60safe0.55–2.870.80–2.991.35–5.85safer0.25–3.170.51–3.270.76–6.44
Yellow cards
38%
22%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.761.793.55safe0.71–2.810.67–2.921.37–5.73safer0.44–3.070.37–3.210.82–6.29
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.120.22safe0.00–0.260.00–0.310.00–0.57safer0.00–0.410.00–0.440.00–0.85
GK saves
29%
16%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction2.613.446.06safe1.18–4.051.89–5.003.06–9.05safer0.79–4.441.46–5.432.25–9.86
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.65 0.68–2.62 0.43–2.87 | 1.17 0.32–2.02 0.09–2.25 | 2.82 1.00–4.64 0.52–5.12 | 49% 24% 27% |
| Shots on target | 5.03 3.16–6.89 2.67–7.38 | 3.86 2.11–5.60 1.65–6.06 | 8.88 5.28–12.49 4.32–13.44 | 59% 29% |
| Total shots | 15.55 11.63–19.47 10.53–20.57 | 12.02 8.46–15.58 7.50–16.54 | 27.57 20.08–35.06 18.03–37.11 | 72% 22% |
| Shots in box | 9.49 6.55–12.44 5.72–13.26 | 7.31 4.63–9.99 3.89–10.73 | 16.80 11.18–22.42 9.61–23.99 | 66% 26% |
| Blocked shots | 3.98 2.10–5.87 1.56–6.41 | 3.43 1.77–5.08 1.28–5.57 | 7.41 3.87–10.95 2.84–11.98 | 51% 15% 35% |
| Corners | 5.65 3.44–7.87 2.86–8.44 | 4.50 2.50–6.50 1.97–7.04 | 10.15 5.94–14.37 4.83–15.47 | 58% 30% |
| Possession % | 54.42 47.63–61.21 45.96–62.88 | 46.33 39.54–53.11 37.87–54.79 | — | 66% 30% |
| Passes | 477 410–545 392–563 | 381 314–447 297–465 | 858 725–992 689–1028 | 79% 21% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.83 63.80–71.86 62.51–73.15 | 68.50 64.18–72.82 62.87–74.13 | — | 44% 51% |
| Fouls | 10.49 7.66–13.33 6.90–14.09 | 12.33 9.38–15.27 8.63–16.02 | 22.82 17.04–28.60 15.54–30.11 | 31% 61% |
| Offsides | 1.71 0.55–2.87 0.25–3.17 | 1.89 0.80–2.99 0.51–3.27 | 3.60 1.35–5.85 0.76–6.44 | 35% 22% 43% |
| Yellow cards | 1.76 0.71–2.81 0.44–3.07 | 1.79 0.67–2.92 0.37–3.21 | 3.55 1.37–5.73 0.82–6.29 | 38% 22% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.22 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.61 1.18–4.05 0.79–4.44 | 3.44 1.89–5.00 1.46–5.43 | 6.06 3.06–9.05 2.25–9.86 | 29% 16% 55% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.