Bundesliga·Regular Season - 10·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 10·Predicted match statistics
Goals
33%
27%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.181.362.54safe0.22–2.150.50–2.210.72–4.36safer0.00–2.400.27–2.440.24–4.84
Shots on target
42%
15%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction3.853.887.74safe1.99–5.712.14–5.634.13–11.34safer1.50–6.201.68–6.093.18–12.30
Total shots
51%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7911.2022.99safe7.87–15.717.63–14.7615.50–30.47safer6.77–16.816.67–15.7213.45–32.52
Shots in box
39%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction7.458.0215.47safe4.51–10.405.34–10.709.85–21.09safer3.68–11.224.60–11.438.28–22.66
Blocked shots
41%
16%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction3.253.336.58safe1.36–5.131.68–4.993.04–10.11safer0.82–5.671.19–5.482.01–11.15
Corners
45%
13%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction4.874.799.66safe2.66–7.092.79–6.795.45–13.88safer2.09–7.662.26–7.324.34–14.99
Possession %
43%
52%
homeawayprediction49.2951.16safe42.50–56.0844.38–57.95safer40.83–57.7542.71–59.62
Passes
51%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction435431866safe368–502365–498732–1000safer350–520347–515697–1035
Pass accuracy %
28%
68%
homeawayprediction67.9471.96safe63.91–71.9767.64–76.28safer62.61–73.2666.33–77.59
Fouls
28%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction10.2412.5722.80safe7.40–13.079.62–15.5117.02–28.58safer6.64–13.838.87–16.2615.52–30.09
Offsides
42%
24%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.631.473.10safe0.47–2.790.38–2.560.84–5.35safer0.17–3.090.09–2.850.26–5.94
Yellow cards
33%
20%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.882.234.11safe0.83–2.931.10–3.361.93–6.28safer0.56–3.190.81–3.651.37–6.84
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.120.23safe0.00–0.270.00–0.310.00–0.58safer0.00–0.420.00–0.440.00–0.86
GK saves
38%
18%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.532.695.22safe1.10–3.971.13–4.242.23–8.21safer0.71–4.360.70–4.671.41–9.02
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.18 0.22–2.15 0.00–2.40 | 1.36 0.50–2.21 0.27–2.44 | 2.54 0.72–4.36 0.24–4.84 | 33% 27% 41% |
| Shots on target | 3.85 1.99–5.71 1.50–6.20 | 3.88 2.14–5.63 1.68–6.09 | 7.74 4.13–11.34 3.18–12.30 | 42% 15% 43% |
| Total shots | 11.79 7.87–15.71 6.77–16.81 | 11.20 7.63–14.76 6.67–15.72 | 22.99 15.50–30.47 13.45–32.52 | 51% 41% |
| Shots in box | 7.45 4.51–10.40 3.68–11.22 | 8.02 5.34–10.70 4.60–11.43 | 15.47 9.85–21.09 8.28–22.66 | 39% 51% |
| Blocked shots | 3.25 1.36–5.13 0.82–5.67 | 3.33 1.68–4.99 1.19–5.48 | 6.58 3.04–10.11 2.01–11.15 | 41% 16% 43% |
| Corners | 4.87 2.66–7.09 2.09–7.66 | 4.79 2.79–6.79 2.26–7.32 | 9.66 5.45–13.88 4.34–14.99 | 45% 13% 42% |
| Possession % | 49.29 42.50–56.08 40.83–57.75 | 51.16 44.38–57.95 42.71–59.62 | — | 43% 52% |
| Passes | 435 368–502 350–520 | 431 365–498 347–515 | 866 732–1000 697–1035 | 51% 49% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.94 63.91–71.97 62.61–73.26 | 71.96 67.64–76.28 66.33–77.59 | — | 28% 68% |
| Fouls | 10.24 7.40–13.07 6.64–13.83 | 12.57 9.62–15.51 8.87–16.26 | 22.80 17.02–28.58 15.52–30.09 | 28% 65% |
| Offsides | 1.63 0.47–2.79 0.17–3.09 | 1.47 0.38–2.56 0.09–2.85 | 3.10 0.84–5.35 0.26–5.94 | 42% 24% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 1.88 0.83–2.93 0.56–3.19 | 2.23 1.10–3.36 0.81–3.65 | 4.11 1.93–6.28 1.37–6.84 | 33% 20% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.23 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.86 | 80% |
| GK saves | 2.53 1.10–3.97 0.71–4.36 | 2.69 1.13–4.24 0.70–4.67 | 5.22 2.23–8.21 1.41–9.02 | 38% 18% 44% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+