Bundesliga·Regular Season - 19·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 19·Predicted match statistics
Goals
49%
25%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.561.042.60safe0.59–2.530.19–1.900.78–4.43safer0.34–2.780.00–2.130.30–4.91
Shots on target
62%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction4.643.287.92safe2.77–6.501.54–5.024.31–11.52safer2.28–6.991.07–5.493.36–12.48
Total shots
70%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction13.0510.0823.13safe9.13–16.986.51–13.6415.64–30.62safer8.04–18.075.56–14.6013.59–32.67
Shots in box
72%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction9.276.5015.77safe6.33–12.213.82–9.1810.15–21.40safer5.50–13.043.08–9.928.58–22.96
Blocked shots
60%
14%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction3.922.756.67safe2.04–5.801.10–4.413.14–10.21safer1.49–6.340.61–4.902.10–11.24
Corners
62%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction5.624.139.75safe3.41–7.842.13–6.135.54–13.97safer2.84–8.411.60–6.674.43–15.08
Possession %
57%
38%
homeawayprediction52.4848.41safe45.69–59.2741.62–55.19safer44.02–60.9439.95–56.86
Passes
63%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction460420880safe393–527354–487746–1014safer375–545336–504711–1049
Pass accuracy %
31%
64%
homeawayprediction68.0171.27safe63.98–72.0466.94–75.59safer62.69–73.3365.63–76.90
Fouls
50%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7611.2723.03safe8.92–14.598.32–14.2117.24–28.81safer8.16–15.357.58–14.9615.74–30.31
Offsides
36%
24%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.511.603.10safe0.35–2.670.50–2.690.85–5.36safer0.05–2.970.22–2.980.26–5.95
Yellow cards
37%
21%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.851.983.84safe0.80–2.900.85–3.111.66–6.01safer0.54–3.170.56–3.401.10–6.57
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.090.17safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.52safer0.00–0.390.00–0.410.00–0.80
GK saves
28%
17%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction2.333.165.49safe0.89–3.771.60–4.712.50–8.48safer0.51–4.151.18–5.141.68–9.29
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.56 0.59–2.53 0.34–2.78 | 1.04 0.19–1.90 0.00–2.13 | 2.60 0.78–4.43 0.30–4.91 | 49% 25% 25% |
| Shots on target | 4.64 2.77–6.50 2.28–6.99 | 3.28 1.54–5.02 1.07–5.49 | 7.92 4.31–11.52 3.36–12.48 | 62% 25% |
| Total shots | 13.05 9.13–16.98 8.04–18.07 | 10.08 6.51–13.64 5.56–14.60 | 23.13 15.64–30.62 13.59–32.67 | 70% 23% |
| Shots in box | 9.27 6.33–12.21 5.50–13.04 | 6.50 3.82–9.18 3.08–9.92 | 15.77 10.15–21.40 8.58–22.96 | 72% 20% |
| Blocked shots | 3.92 2.04–5.80 1.49–6.34 | 2.75 1.10–4.41 0.61–4.90 | 6.67 3.14–10.21 2.10–11.24 | 60% 14% 26% |
| Corners | 5.62 3.41–7.84 2.84–8.41 | 4.13 2.13–6.13 1.60–6.67 | 9.75 5.54–13.97 4.43–15.08 | 62% 26% |
| Possession % | 52.48 45.69–59.27 44.02–60.94 | 48.41 41.62–55.19 39.95–56.86 | — | 57% 38% |
| Passes | 460 393–527 375–545 | 420 354–487 336–504 | 880 746–1014 711–1049 | 63% 37% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.01 63.98–72.04 62.69–73.33 | 71.27 66.94–75.59 65.63–76.90 | — | 31% 64% |
| Fouls | 11.76 8.92–14.59 8.16–15.35 | 11.27 8.32–14.21 7.58–14.96 | 23.03 17.24–28.81 15.74–30.31 | 50% 42% |
| Offsides | 1.51 0.35–2.67 0.05–2.97 | 1.60 0.50–2.69 0.22–2.98 | 3.10 0.85–5.36 0.26–5.95 | 36% 24% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 1.85 0.80–2.90 0.54–3.17 | 1.98 0.85–3.11 0.56–3.40 | 3.84 1.66–6.01 1.10–6.57 | 37% 21% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.33 0.89–3.77 0.51–4.15 | 3.16 1.60–4.71 1.18–5.14 | 5.49 2.50–8.48 1.68–9.29 | 28% 17% 55% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.