Bundesliga·Regular Season - 10·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 10·Predicted match statistics
Goals
50%
25%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.611.082.69safe0.64–2.580.23–1.930.87–4.51safer0.39–2.830.00–2.160.39–4.99
Shots on target
61%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction5.133.798.92safe3.27–6.992.05–5.545.32–12.53safer2.78–7.481.58–6.004.36–13.48
Total shots
65%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction14.8412.2627.10safe10.91–18.768.70–15.8319.61–34.59safer9.82–19.857.74–16.7917.56–36.64
Shots in box
69%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction9.767.2517.01safe6.81–12.704.57–9.9311.38–22.63safer5.99–13.533.83–10.679.82–24.20
Blocked shots
44%
15%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction3.663.567.23safe1.78–5.551.91–5.223.69–10.76safer1.24–6.091.42–5.712.66–11.80
Corners
57%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction5.694.5910.28safe3.47–7.902.59–6.596.07–14.49safer2.90–8.472.06–7.134.96–15.60
Possession %
63%
33%
homeawayprediction53.8947.43safe47.10–60.6840.65–54.22safer45.43–62.3538.98–55.89
Passes
76%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction467380847safe400–534314–447713–981safer382–552296–464678–1016
Pass accuracy %
53%
42%
homeawayprediction69.4968.49safe65.46–73.5264.17–72.81safer64.16–74.8162.86–74.12
Fouls
50%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2411.7023.94safe9.40–15.088.76–14.6518.16–29.73safer8.65–15.838.01–15.4016.66–31.23
Offsides
45%
24%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.701.373.06safe0.53–2.860.27–2.460.81–5.31safer0.23–3.160.00–2.750.22–5.90
Yellow cards
34%
22%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.711.963.67safe0.66–2.760.83–3.091.49–5.85safer0.40–3.030.54–3.380.94–6.41
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.100.20safe0.00–0.260.00–0.290.00–0.54safer0.00–0.410.00–0.420.00–0.83
GK saves
32%
16%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction2.713.366.07safe1.28–4.151.80–4.913.08–9.06safer0.89–4.541.38–5.342.26–9.87
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.61 0.64–2.58 0.39–2.83 | 1.08 0.23–1.93 0.00–2.16 | 2.69 0.87–4.51 0.39–4.99 | 50% 25% 25% |
| Shots on target | 5.13 3.27–6.99 2.78–7.48 | 3.79 2.05–5.54 1.58–6.00 | 8.92 5.32–12.53 4.36–13.48 | 61% 27% |
| Total shots | 14.84 10.91–18.76 9.82–19.85 | 12.26 8.70–15.83 7.74–16.79 | 27.10 19.61–34.59 17.56–36.64 | 65% 28% |
| Shots in box | 9.76 6.81–12.70 5.99–13.53 | 7.25 4.57–9.93 3.83–10.67 | 17.01 11.38–22.63 9.82–24.20 | 69% 23% |
| Blocked shots | 3.66 1.78–5.55 1.24–6.09 | 3.56 1.91–5.22 1.42–5.71 | 7.23 3.69–10.76 2.66–11.80 | 44% 15% 41% |
| Corners | 5.69 3.47–7.90 2.90–8.47 | 4.59 2.59–6.59 2.06–7.13 | 10.28 6.07–14.49 4.96–15.60 | 57% 31% |
| Possession % | 53.89 47.10–60.68 45.43–62.35 | 47.43 40.65–54.22 38.98–55.89 | — | 63% 33% |
| Passes | 467 400–534 382–552 | 380 314–447 296–464 | 847 713–981 678–1016 | 76% 23% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.49 65.46–73.52 64.16–74.81 | 68.49 64.17–72.81 62.86–74.12 | — | 53% 42% |
| Fouls | 12.24 9.40–15.08 8.65–15.83 | 11.70 8.76–14.65 8.01–15.40 | 23.94 18.16–29.73 16.66–31.23 | 50% 42% |
| Offsides | 1.70 0.53–2.86 0.23–3.16 | 1.37 0.27–2.46 0.00–2.75 | 3.06 0.81–5.31 0.22–5.90 | 45% 24% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 1.71 0.66–2.76 0.40–3.03 | 1.96 0.83–3.09 0.54–3.38 | 3.67 1.49–5.85 0.94–6.41 | 34% 22% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.20 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.71 1.28–4.15 0.89–4.54 | 3.36 1.80–4.91 1.38–5.34 | 6.07 3.08–9.06 2.26–9.87 | 32% 16% 52% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+