Bundesliga·Regular Season - 18·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 18·Predicted match statistics
Goals
36%
25%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.441.502.94safe0.47–2.410.64–2.351.11–4.76safer0.22–2.660.41–2.580.63–5.24
Shots on target
43%
13%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction4.514.519.02safe2.65–6.372.76–6.255.41–12.62safer2.16–6.862.30–6.714.45–13.58
Total shots
61%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction14.8312.8327.67safe10.91–18.769.27–16.4020.18–35.15safer9.82–19.858.31–17.3518.13–37.20
Shots in box
53%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction8.968.1117.07safe6.02–11.905.43–10.7911.45–22.70safer5.19–12.734.69–11.539.88–24.26
Blocked shots
51%
15%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction3.963.417.37safe2.08–5.851.76–5.063.84–10.91safer1.54–6.391.27–5.562.80–11.94
Corners
53%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction5.444.6710.11safe3.23–7.652.67–6.675.89–14.32safer2.65–8.232.13–7.204.79–15.43
Possession %
45%
50%
homeawayprediction49.3650.51safe42.57–56.1543.72–57.29safer40.90–57.8242.05–58.96
Passes
48%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction412416828safe344–479350–483694–962safer326–497332–500659–997
Pass accuracy %
29%
66%
homeawayprediction65.6969.42safe61.66–69.7265.10–73.74safer60.36–71.0163.79–75.05
Fouls
40%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6112.3323.94safe8.77–14.459.38–15.2718.15–29.72safer8.02–15.208.63–16.0216.65–31.22
Offsides
34%
23%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.481.693.17safe0.32–2.640.60–2.780.92–5.43safer0.02–2.940.31–3.070.33–6.02
Yellow cards
32%
22%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.601.933.53safe0.55–2.650.80–3.061.36–5.71safer0.29–2.920.51–3.350.80–6.27
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.100.20safe0.00–0.260.00–0.290.00–0.54safer0.00–0.410.00–0.420.00–0.83
GK saves
36%
16%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.923.286.20safe1.48–4.351.73–4.843.21–9.19safer1.09–4.741.30–5.262.40–10.01
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.44 0.47–2.41 0.22–2.66 | 1.50 0.64–2.35 0.41–2.58 | 2.94 1.11–4.76 0.63–5.24 | 36% 25% 39% |
| Shots on target | 4.51 2.65–6.37 2.16–6.86 | 4.51 2.76–6.25 2.30–6.71 | 9.02 5.41–12.62 4.45–13.58 | 43% 13% 43% |
| Total shots | 14.83 10.91–18.76 9.82–19.85 | 12.83 9.27–16.40 8.31–17.35 | 27.67 20.18–35.15 18.13–37.20 | 61% 32% |
| Shots in box | 8.96 6.02–11.90 5.19–12.73 | 8.11 5.43–10.79 4.69–11.53 | 17.07 11.45–22.70 9.88–24.26 | 53% 37% |
| Blocked shots | 3.96 2.08–5.85 1.54–6.39 | 3.41 1.76–5.06 1.27–5.56 | 7.37 3.84–10.91 2.80–11.94 | 51% 15% 35% |
| Corners | 5.44 3.23–7.65 2.65–8.23 | 4.67 2.67–6.67 2.13–7.20 | 10.11 5.89–14.32 4.79–15.43 | 53% 34% |
| Possession % | 49.36 42.57–56.15 40.90–57.82 | 50.51 43.72–57.29 42.05–58.96 | — | 45% 50% |
| Passes | 412 344–479 326–497 | 416 350–483 332–500 | 828 694–962 659–997 | 48% 51% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.69 61.66–69.72 60.36–71.01 | 69.42 65.10–73.74 63.79–75.05 | — | 29% 66% |
| Fouls | 11.61 8.77–14.45 8.02–15.20 | 12.33 9.38–15.27 8.63–16.02 | 23.94 18.15–29.72 16.65–31.22 | 40% 52% |
| Offsides | 1.48 0.32–2.64 0.02–2.94 | 1.69 0.60–2.78 0.31–3.07 | 3.17 0.92–5.43 0.33–6.02 | 34% 23% 43% |
| Yellow cards | 1.60 0.55–2.65 0.29–2.92 | 1.93 0.80–3.06 0.51–3.35 | 3.53 1.36–5.71 0.80–6.27 | 32% 22% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.20 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.92 1.48–4.35 1.09–4.74 | 3.28 1.73–4.84 1.30–5.26 | 6.20 3.21–9.19 2.40–10.01 | 36% 16% 48% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.