Bundesliga·Regular Season - 10·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 10·Predicted match statistics
Goals
53%
21%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction2.061.393.45safe1.09–3.030.54–2.251.63–5.28safer0.84–3.280.31–2.481.15–5.76
Shots on target
65%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction5.984.2310.22safe4.12–7.852.49–5.976.61–13.82safer3.63–8.342.02–6.445.65–14.78
Total shots
81%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction16.5911.4728.06safe12.66–20.517.91–15.0320.57–35.55safer11.57–21.606.95–15.9918.52–37.60
Shots in box
79%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction11.487.5419.02safe8.54–14.434.86–10.2213.40–24.65safer7.71–15.264.12–10.9611.83–26.21
Blocked shots
62%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction4.713.338.03safe2.82–6.591.67–4.984.50–11.57safer2.28–7.131.18–5.473.46–12.60
Corners
71%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction6.324.0710.39safe4.11–8.532.07–6.076.18–14.60safer3.53–9.111.54–6.615.07–15.71
Possession %
55%
40%
homeawayprediction51.4848.39safe44.69–58.2741.61–55.18safer43.02–59.9439.94–56.85
Passes
55%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction452437889safe385–520371–504756–1023safer367–538353–521720–1059
Pass accuracy %
46%
49%
homeawayprediction72.2972.62safe68.26–76.3268.29–76.94safer66.97–77.6166.98–78.25
Fouls
39%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4512.3523.80safe8.61–14.299.41–15.3018.02–29.59safer7.86–15.058.66–16.0416.52–31.09
Offsides
31%
22%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.561.943.50safe0.40–2.720.84–3.031.24–5.75safer0.10–3.020.55–3.320.65–6.34
Yellow cards
26%
20%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.602.333.92safe0.55–2.651.20–3.451.75–6.10safer0.28–2.910.91–3.751.19–6.66
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
27%
15%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction2.683.696.37safe1.24–4.122.14–5.253.38–9.37safer0.86–4.501.71–5.672.57–10.18
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.06 1.09–3.03 0.84–3.28 | 1.39 0.54–2.25 0.31–2.48 | 3.45 1.63–5.28 1.15–5.76 | 53% 21% 26% |
| Shots on target | 5.98 4.12–7.85 3.63–8.34 | 4.23 2.49–5.97 2.02–6.44 | 10.22 6.61–13.82 5.65–14.78 | 65% 24% |
| Total shots | 16.59 12.66–20.51 11.57–21.60 | 11.47 7.91–15.03 6.95–15.99 | 28.06 20.57–35.55 18.52–37.60 | 81% 14% |
| Shots in box | 11.48 8.54–14.43 7.71–15.26 | 7.54 4.86–10.22 4.12–10.96 | 19.02 13.40–24.65 11.83–26.21 | 79% 15% |
| Blocked shots | 4.71 2.82–6.59 2.28–7.13 | 3.33 1.67–4.98 1.18–5.47 | 8.03 4.50–11.57 3.46–12.60 | 62% 25% |
| Corners | 6.32 4.11–8.53 3.53–9.11 | 4.07 2.07–6.07 1.54–6.61 | 10.39 6.18–14.60 5.07–15.71 | 71% 19% |
| Possession % | 51.48 44.69–58.27 43.02–59.94 | 48.39 41.61–55.18 39.94–56.85 | — | 55% 40% |
| Passes | 452 385–520 367–538 | 437 371–504 353–521 | 889 756–1023 720–1059 | 55% 45% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.29 68.26–76.32 66.97–77.61 | 72.62 68.29–76.94 66.98–78.25 | — | 46% 49% |
| Fouls | 11.45 8.61–14.29 7.86–15.05 | 12.35 9.41–15.30 8.66–16.04 | 23.80 18.02–29.59 16.52–31.09 | 39% 53% |
| Offsides | 1.56 0.40–2.72 0.10–3.02 | 1.94 0.84–3.03 0.55–3.32 | 3.50 1.24–5.75 0.65–6.34 | 31% 22% 47% |
| Yellow cards | 1.60 0.55–2.65 0.28–2.91 | 2.33 1.20–3.45 0.91–3.75 | 3.92 1.75–6.10 1.19–6.66 | 26% 20% 54% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.68 1.24–4.12 0.86–4.50 | 3.69 2.14–5.25 1.71–5.67 | 6.37 3.38–9.37 2.57–10.18 | 27% 15% 58% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.