Bundesliga·Regular Season - 14·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 14·Predicted match statistics
Goals
38%
24%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.551.533.08safe0.58–2.520.67–2.381.25–4.90safer0.33–2.770.45–2.610.77–5.38
Shots on target
49%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction5.074.629.69safe3.20–6.932.88–6.376.08–13.29safer2.71–7.422.42–6.835.13–14.25
Total shots
45%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction13.7913.9527.74safe9.86–17.7110.39–17.5120.25–35.22safer8.77–18.809.43–18.4718.20–37.28
Shots in box
38%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction8.689.4918.17safe5.74–11.626.81–12.1712.55–23.80safer4.91–12.456.07–12.9110.98–25.36
Blocked shots
39%
14%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction3.824.107.92safe1.94–5.702.45–5.764.39–11.46safer1.40–6.251.96–6.253.35–12.49
Corners
44%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction5.135.0810.21safe2.92–7.353.08–7.086.00–14.42safer2.35–7.922.54–7.614.89–15.53
Possession %
60%
35%
homeawayprediction52.9147.42safe46.12–59.7040.64–54.21safer44.45–61.3738.97–55.88
Passes
72%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction501432933safe434–568366–499799–1067safer415–586348–516764–1102
Pass accuracy %
30%
65%
homeawayprediction70.4473.96safe66.41–74.4769.64–78.29safer65.12–75.7668.33–79.59
Fouls
37%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction10.8511.9322.78safe8.02–13.698.98–14.8717.00–28.56safer7.26–14.458.23–15.6215.49–30.07
Offsides
53%
21%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction2.111.433.54safe0.95–3.270.34–2.521.29–5.79safer0.65–3.570.05–2.810.70–6.38
Yellow cards
35%
22%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.661.833.49safe0.61–2.700.70–2.961.31–5.66safer0.34–2.970.41–3.250.75–6.22
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.080.17safe0.00–0.250.00–0.270.00–0.52safer0.00–0.400.00–0.400.00–0.80
GK saves
43%
16%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction3.243.186.42safe1.80–4.681.62–4.743.43–9.41safer1.42–5.061.20–5.162.62–10.22
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.55 0.58–2.52 0.33–2.77 | 1.53 0.67–2.38 0.45–2.61 | 3.08 1.25–4.90 0.77–5.38 | 38% 24% 38% |
| Shots on target | 5.07 3.20–6.93 2.71–7.42 | 4.62 2.88–6.37 2.42–6.83 | 9.69 6.08–13.29 5.13–14.25 | 49% 38% |
| Total shots | 13.79 9.86–17.71 8.77–18.80 | 13.95 10.39–17.51 9.43–18.47 | 27.74 20.25–35.22 18.20–37.28 | 45% 47% |
| Shots in box | 8.68 5.74–11.62 4.91–12.45 | 9.49 6.81–12.17 6.07–12.91 | 18.17 12.55–23.80 10.98–25.36 | 38% 53% |
| Blocked shots | 3.82 1.94–5.70 1.40–6.25 | 4.10 2.45–5.76 1.96–6.25 | 7.92 4.39–11.46 3.35–12.49 | 39% 14% 47% |
| Corners | 5.13 2.92–7.35 2.35–7.92 | 5.08 3.08–7.08 2.54–7.61 | 10.21 6.00–14.42 4.89–15.53 | 44% 43% |
| Possession % | 52.91 46.12–59.70 44.45–61.37 | 47.42 40.64–54.21 38.97–55.88 | — | 60% 35% |
| Passes | 501 434–568 415–586 | 432 366–499 348–516 | 933 799–1067 764–1102 | 72% 28% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.44 66.41–74.47 65.12–75.76 | 73.96 69.64–78.29 68.33–79.59 | — | 30% 65% |
| Fouls | 10.85 8.02–13.69 7.26–14.45 | 11.93 8.98–14.87 8.23–15.62 | 22.78 17.00–28.56 15.49–30.07 | 37% 55% |
| Offsides | 2.11 0.95–3.27 0.65–3.57 | 1.43 0.34–2.52 0.05–2.81 | 3.54 1.29–5.79 0.70–6.38 | 53% 21% 26% |
| Yellow cards | 1.66 0.61–2.70 0.34–2.97 | 1.83 0.70–2.96 0.41–3.25 | 3.49 1.31–5.66 0.75–6.22 | 35% 22% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.24 1.80–4.68 1.42–5.06 | 3.18 1.62–4.74 1.20–5.16 | 6.42 3.43–9.41 2.62–10.22 | 43% 16% 41% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+