Bundesliga·Regular Season - 10·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 10·Predicted match statistics
Goals
74%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction2.620.903.52safe1.65–3.590.05–1.761.70–5.35safer1.40–3.840.00–1.981.22–5.83
Shots on target
84%
homeawaytotalprediction7.203.4410.65safe5.34–9.071.70–5.187.04–14.25safer4.85–9.561.23–5.656.09–15.21
Total shots
96%
homeawaytotalprediction19.049.4728.51safe15.12–22.975.90–13.0321.02–36.00safer14.02–24.064.95–13.9918.97–38.05
Shots in box
92%
homeawaytotalprediction12.656.0618.72safe9.71–15.603.38–8.7413.09–24.34safer8.88–16.432.64–9.4811.53–25.91
Blocked shots
73%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction4.902.687.58safe3.02–6.781.03–4.334.04–11.11safer2.47–7.320.53–4.823.01–12.15
Corners
86%
homeawaytotalprediction7.343.3310.67safe5.13–9.551.33–5.336.45–14.88safer4.55–10.130.79–5.865.35–15.99
Possession %
92%
homeawayprediction62.3038.00safe55.51–69.0931.22–44.79safer53.84–70.7629.55–46.46
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction613350963safe546–680284–417829–1097safer527–698266–434794–1133
Pass accuracy %
86%
homeawayprediction76.7767.92safe72.74–80.8063.59–72.24safer71.44–82.0962.28–73.55
Fouls
29%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction10.4212.5322.95safe7.58–13.259.59–15.4817.17–28.73safer6.82–14.018.84–16.2315.66–30.24
Offsides
63%
17%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction2.841.634.47safe1.68–4.000.54–2.722.22–6.72safer1.38–4.300.25–3.011.63–7.31
Yellow cards
28%
21%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.502.083.58safe0.45–2.550.95–3.211.40–5.76safer0.19–2.820.66–3.500.84–6.32
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.110.16safe0.00–0.210.00–0.290.00–0.51safer0.00–0.360.00–0.430.00–0.79
GK saves
14%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction2.364.606.96safe0.92–3.793.04–6.163.97–9.95safer0.54–4.182.62–6.583.16–10.76
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.62 1.65–3.59 1.40–3.84 | 0.90 0.05–1.76 0.00–1.98 | 3.52 1.70–5.35 1.22–5.83 | 74% 15% |
| Shots on target | 7.20 5.34–9.07 4.85–9.56 | 3.44 1.70–5.18 1.23–5.65 | 10.65 7.04–14.25 6.09–15.21 | 84% |
| Total shots | 19.04 15.12–22.97 14.02–24.06 | 9.47 5.90–13.03 4.95–13.99 | 28.51 21.02–36.00 18.97–38.05 | 96% |
| Shots in box | 12.65 9.71–15.60 8.88–16.43 | 6.06 3.38–8.74 2.64–9.48 | 18.72 13.09–24.34 11.53–25.91 | 92% |
| Blocked shots | 4.90 3.02–6.78 2.47–7.32 | 2.68 1.03–4.33 0.53–4.82 | 7.58 4.04–11.11 3.01–12.15 | 73% 16% |
| Corners | 7.34 5.13–9.55 4.55–10.13 | 3.33 1.33–5.33 0.79–5.86 | 10.67 6.45–14.88 5.35–15.99 | 86% |
| Possession % | 62.30 55.51–69.09 53.84–70.76 | 38.00 31.22–44.79 29.55–46.46 | — | 92% |
| Passes | 613 546–680 527–698 | 350 284–417 266–434 | 963 829–1097 794–1133 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.77 72.74–80.80 71.44–82.09 | 67.92 63.59–72.24 62.28–73.55 | — | 86% |
| Fouls | 10.42 7.58–13.25 6.82–14.01 | 12.53 9.59–15.48 8.84–16.23 | 22.95 17.17–28.73 15.66–30.24 | 29% 63% |
| Offsides | 2.84 1.68–4.00 1.38–4.30 | 1.63 0.54–2.72 0.25–3.01 | 4.47 2.22–6.72 1.63–7.31 | 63% 17% 20% |
| Yellow cards | 1.50 0.45–2.55 0.19–2.82 | 2.08 0.95–3.21 0.66–3.50 | 3.58 1.40–5.76 0.84–6.32 | 28% 21% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.36 0.92–3.79 0.54–4.18 | 4.60 3.04–6.16 2.62–6.58 | 6.96 3.97–9.95 3.16–10.76 | 14% 75% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.