Bundesliga·Regular Season - 14·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 14·Predicted match statistics
Goals
18%
20%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction1.052.133.18safe0.08–2.011.28–2.991.36–5.00safer0.00–2.261.05–3.220.88–5.48
Shots on target
18%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction4.046.4710.52safe2.18–5.914.73–8.226.91–14.12safer1.69–6.404.26–8.685.96–15.08
Total shots
18%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1516.5528.70safe8.22–16.0712.99–20.1121.21–36.18safer7.13–17.1612.03–21.0719.16–38.23
Shots in box
17%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction7.3010.8718.16safe4.35–10.248.19–13.5512.54–23.79safer3.53–11.077.45–14.2910.97–25.35
Blocked shots
30%
15%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction3.033.886.91safe1.14–4.912.23–5.533.37–10.44safer0.60–5.451.73–6.022.33–11.48
Corners
20%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction4.406.7111.11safe2.19–6.624.71–8.716.90–15.33safer1.62–7.194.18–9.245.79–16.43
Possession %
92%
homeawayprediction37.3462.65safe30.55–44.1355.87–69.44safer28.88–45.8054.20–71.11
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction348575922safe280–415508–641789–1056safer262–433491–659753–1092
Pass accuracy %
96%
homeawayprediction63.6277.54safe59.59–67.6573.22–81.86safer58.30–68.9571.91–83.17
Fouls
58%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9410.5122.45safe9.10–14.777.56–13.4516.66–28.23safer8.34–15.536.82–14.2015.16–29.73
Offsides
21%
16%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction1.803.044.84safe0.64–2.961.95–4.132.59–7.10safer0.34–3.261.66–4.422.00–7.69
Yellow cards
51%
21%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction2.151.563.70safe1.10–3.200.43–2.691.53–5.88safer0.83–3.460.14–2.980.97–6.44
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.130.090.22safe0.00–0.290.00–0.280.00–0.57safer0.00–0.440.00–0.410.00–0.85
GK saves
61%
14%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction4.012.786.80safe2.57–5.451.23–4.343.80–9.79safer2.19–5.830.80–4.772.99–10.60
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.05 0.08–2.01 0.00–2.26 | 2.13 1.28–2.99 1.05–3.22 | 3.18 1.36–5.00 0.88–5.48 | 18% 20% 62% |
| Shots on target | 4.04 2.18–5.91 1.69–6.40 | 6.47 4.73–8.22 4.26–8.68 | 10.52 6.91–14.12 5.96–15.08 | 18% 72% |
| Total shots | 12.15 8.22–16.07 7.13–17.16 | 16.55 12.99–20.11 12.03–21.07 | 28.70 21.21–36.18 19.16–38.23 | 18% 77% |
| Shots in box | 7.30 4.35–10.24 3.53–11.07 | 10.87 8.19–13.55 7.45–14.29 | 18.16 12.54–23.79 10.97–25.35 | 17% 76% |
| Blocked shots | 3.03 1.14–4.91 0.60–5.45 | 3.88 2.23–5.53 1.73–6.02 | 6.91 3.37–10.44 2.33–11.48 | 30% 15% 55% |
| Corners | 4.40 2.19–6.62 1.62–7.19 | 6.71 4.71–8.71 4.18–9.24 | 11.11 6.90–15.33 5.79–16.43 | 20% 71% |
| Possession % | 37.34 30.55–44.13 28.88–45.80 | 62.65 55.87–69.44 54.20–71.11 | — | 92% |
| Passes | 348 280–415 262–433 | 575 508–641 491–659 | 922 789–1056 753–1092 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.62 59.59–67.65 58.30–68.95 | 77.54 73.22–81.86 71.91–83.17 | — | 96% |
| Fouls | 11.94 9.10–14.77 8.34–15.53 | 10.51 7.56–13.45 6.82–14.20 | 22.45 16.66–28.23 15.16–29.73 | 58% 34% |
| Offsides | 1.80 0.64–2.96 0.34–3.26 | 3.04 1.95–4.13 1.66–4.42 | 4.84 2.59–7.10 2.00–7.69 | 21% 16% 63% |
| Yellow cards | 2.15 1.10–3.20 0.83–3.46 | 1.56 0.43–2.69 0.14–2.98 | 3.70 1.53–5.88 0.97–6.44 | 51% 21% 28% |
| Red cards | 0.13 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.44 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.22 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 4.01 2.57–5.45 2.19–5.83 | 2.78 1.23–4.34 0.80–4.77 | 6.80 3.80–9.79 2.99–10.60 | 61% 14% 25% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+