Bundesliga·Regular Season - 10·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 10·Predicted match statistics
Goals
53%
23%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction1.771.102.87safe0.80–2.730.25–1.961.04–4.69safer0.55–2.980.02–2.180.56–5.17
Shots on target
68%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction5.843.909.74safe3.98–7.702.16–5.646.13–13.34safer3.49–8.191.69–6.115.18–14.30
Total shots
85%
homeawaytotalprediction17.5011.5129.01safe13.57–21.427.95–15.0821.52–36.50safer12.48–22.526.99–16.0319.47–38.55
Shots in box
75%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction10.957.5618.51safe8.00–13.894.88–10.2412.89–24.13safer7.17–14.724.14–10.9811.32–25.70
Blocked shots
62%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction4.773.408.17safe2.89–6.651.74–5.054.63–11.70safer2.34–7.201.25–5.543.59–12.74
Corners
69%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction6.354.2310.57safe4.14–8.562.23–6.236.36–14.79safer3.56–9.141.69–6.765.25–15.89
Possession %
66%
30%
homeawayprediction54.0146.07safe47.22–60.8039.28–52.85safer45.55–62.4737.61–54.52
Passes
72%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction452383835safe385–519316–449701–968safer366–537299–467665–1004
Pass accuracy %
59%
36%
homeawayprediction69.5067.15safe65.47–73.5362.82–71.47safer64.18–74.8261.52–72.78
Fouls
51%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6411.0022.64safe8.80–14.488.05–13.9416.85–28.42safer8.05–15.237.30–14.6915.35–29.92
Offsides
43%
22%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.921.733.65safe0.76–3.080.64–2.831.40–5.90safer0.46–3.380.35–3.110.81–6.49
Yellow cards
36%
20%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.102.324.42safe1.05–3.151.20–3.452.25–6.60safer0.78–3.420.90–3.741.69–7.16
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.120.22safe0.00–0.260.00–0.310.00–0.57safer0.00–0.410.00–0.440.00–0.85
GK saves
26%
14%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction2.753.876.63safe1.32–4.192.32–5.433.64–9.62safer0.93–4.581.89–5.852.82–10.43
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.77 0.80–2.73 0.55–2.98 | 1.10 0.25–1.96 0.02–2.18 | 2.87 1.04–4.69 0.56–5.17 | 53% 23% 24% |
| Shots on target | 5.84 3.98–7.70 3.49–8.19 | 3.90 2.16–5.64 1.69–6.11 | 9.74 6.13–13.34 5.18–14.30 | 68% 21% |
| Total shots | 17.50 13.57–21.42 12.48–22.52 | 11.51 7.95–15.08 6.99–16.03 | 29.01 21.52–36.50 19.47–38.55 | 85% |
| Shots in box | 10.95 8.00–13.89 7.17–14.72 | 7.56 4.88–10.24 4.14–10.98 | 18.51 12.89–24.13 11.32–25.70 | 75% 18% |
| Blocked shots | 4.77 2.89–6.65 2.34–7.20 | 3.40 1.74–5.05 1.25–5.54 | 8.17 4.63–11.70 3.59–12.74 | 62% 25% |
| Corners | 6.35 4.14–8.56 3.56–9.14 | 4.23 2.23–6.23 1.69–6.76 | 10.57 6.36–14.79 5.25–15.89 | 69% 21% |
| Possession % | 54.01 47.22–60.80 45.55–62.47 | 46.07 39.28–52.85 37.61–54.52 | — | 66% 30% |
| Passes | 452 385–519 366–537 | 383 316–449 299–467 | 835 701–968 665–1004 | 72% 28% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.50 65.47–73.53 64.18–74.82 | 67.15 62.82–71.47 61.52–72.78 | — | 59% 36% |
| Fouls | 11.64 8.80–14.48 8.05–15.23 | 11.00 8.05–13.94 7.30–14.69 | 22.64 16.85–28.42 15.35–29.92 | 51% 40% |
| Offsides | 1.92 0.76–3.08 0.46–3.38 | 1.73 0.64–2.83 0.35–3.11 | 3.65 1.40–5.90 0.81–6.49 | 43% 22% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 2.10 1.05–3.15 0.78–3.42 | 2.32 1.20–3.45 0.90–3.74 | 4.42 2.25–6.60 1.69–7.16 | 36% 20% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.22 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.75 1.32–4.19 0.93–4.58 | 3.87 2.32–5.43 1.89–5.85 | 6.63 3.64–9.62 2.82–10.43 | 26% 14% 59% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.