Bundesliga·Regular Season - 21·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 21·Predicted match statistics
Goals
37%
25%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.441.452.89safe0.47–2.410.60–2.311.07–4.72safer0.22–2.660.37–2.540.59–5.20
Shots on target
34%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction4.605.389.98safe2.74–6.473.64–7.126.38–13.59safer2.25–6.963.17–7.595.42–14.54
Total shots
36%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction14.6816.1930.87safe10.76–18.6112.62–19.7523.38–38.35safer9.66–19.7011.66–20.7121.33–40.41
Shots in box
39%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction9.279.9819.25safe6.33–12.217.30–12.6613.62–24.87safer5.50–13.046.56–13.4012.06–26.44
Blocked shots
34%
14%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction3.734.368.08safe1.85–5.612.70–6.014.55–11.62safer1.30–6.152.21–6.503.51–12.65
Corners
37%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction5.035.6110.64safe2.82–7.253.61–7.616.43–14.85safer2.25–7.823.07–8.145.32–15.96
Possession %
41%
54%
homeawayprediction48.9251.57safe42.13–55.7144.79–58.36safer40.46–57.3843.12–60.03
Passes
54%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction420408828safe352–487342–475694–961safer334–505324–492658–997
Pass accuracy %
22%
74%
homeawayprediction66.1771.64safe62.14–70.2067.31–75.96safer60.85–71.4966.00–77.27
Fouls
36%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9312.1223.05safe8.09–13.779.18–15.0717.27–28.84safer7.34–14.528.43–15.8215.77–30.34
Offsides
34%
22%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.701.953.65safe0.54–2.860.85–3.041.39–5.90safer0.24–3.160.57–3.330.81–6.49
Yellow cards
38%
21%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.932.003.93safe0.88–2.980.87–3.131.75–6.11safer0.61–3.240.58–3.421.19–6.66
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.120.24safe0.00–0.280.00–0.300.00–0.58safer0.00–0.430.00–0.440.00–0.87
GK saves
50%
15%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction3.593.066.65safe2.15–5.031.50–4.623.66–9.64safer1.77–5.411.08–5.042.84–10.45
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.44 0.47–2.41 0.22–2.66 | 1.45 0.60–2.31 0.37–2.54 | 2.89 1.07–4.72 0.59–5.20 | 37% 25% 38% |
| Shots on target | 4.60 2.74–6.47 2.25–6.96 | 5.38 3.64–7.12 3.17–7.59 | 9.98 6.38–13.59 5.42–14.54 | 34% 53% |
| Total shots | 14.68 10.76–18.61 9.66–19.70 | 16.19 12.62–19.75 11.66–20.71 | 30.87 23.38–38.35 21.33–40.41 | 36% 57% |
| Shots in box | 9.27 6.33–12.21 5.50–13.04 | 9.98 7.30–12.66 6.56–13.40 | 19.25 13.62–24.87 12.06–26.44 | 39% 52% |
| Blocked shots | 3.73 1.85–5.61 1.30–6.15 | 4.36 2.70–6.01 2.21–6.50 | 8.08 4.55–11.62 3.51–12.65 | 34% 14% 52% |
| Corners | 5.03 2.82–7.25 2.25–7.82 | 5.61 3.61–7.61 3.07–8.14 | 10.64 6.43–14.85 5.32–15.96 | 37% 51% |
| Possession % | 48.92 42.13–55.71 40.46–57.38 | 51.57 44.79–58.36 43.12–60.03 | — | 41% 54% |
| Passes | 420 352–487 334–505 | 408 342–475 324–492 | 828 694–961 658–997 | 54% 46% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.17 62.14–70.20 60.85–71.49 | 71.64 67.31–75.96 66.00–77.27 | — | 22% 74% |
| Fouls | 10.93 8.09–13.77 7.34–14.52 | 12.12 9.18–15.07 8.43–15.82 | 23.05 17.27–28.84 15.77–30.34 | 36% 56% |
| Offsides | 1.70 0.54–2.86 0.24–3.16 | 1.95 0.85–3.04 0.57–3.33 | 3.65 1.39–5.90 0.81–6.49 | 34% 22% 44% |
| Yellow cards | 1.93 0.88–2.98 0.61–3.24 | 2.00 0.87–3.13 0.58–3.42 | 3.93 1.75–6.11 1.19–6.66 | 38% 21% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.24 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.87 | 80% |
| GK saves | 3.59 2.15–5.03 1.77–5.41 | 3.06 1.50–4.62 1.08–5.04 | 6.65 3.66–9.64 2.84–10.45 | 50% 15% 34% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+