Bundesliga·Regular Season - 10·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 10·Predicted match statistics
Goals
39%
25%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.441.392.83safe0.47–2.410.54–2.251.01–4.65safer0.22–2.660.31–2.470.53–5.13
Shots on target
50%
14%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction4.564.098.65safe2.70–6.422.34–5.835.04–12.25safer2.21–6.911.88–6.294.09–13.21
Total shots
65%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction13.8111.4325.24safe9.89–17.737.87–14.9917.75–32.73safer8.79–18.836.91–15.9515.70–34.78
Shots in box
54%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction8.137.2315.36safe5.19–11.074.55–9.919.74–20.99safer4.36–11.903.81–10.658.17–22.55
Blocked shots
60%
15%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction3.782.646.42safe1.90–5.660.99–4.292.89–9.96safer1.36–6.210.50–4.791.85–10.99
Corners
59%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction5.744.5110.25safe3.52–7.952.51–6.516.03–14.46safer2.95–8.521.98–7.054.93–15.57
Possession %
66%
30%
homeawayprediction54.2246.25safe47.43–61.0139.47–53.04safer45.76–62.6837.80–54.71
Passes
80%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction473371843safe405–540304–437710–977safer387–558287–455674–1013
Pass accuracy %
49%
45%
homeawayprediction67.2266.85safe63.19–71.2562.52–71.17safer61.90–72.5561.21–72.48
Fouls
31%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction10.7712.6523.41safe7.93–13.609.70–15.5917.63–29.19safer7.17–14.368.95–16.3416.12–30.70
Offsides
31%
22%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.581.993.57safe0.42–2.740.90–3.091.32–5.82safer0.11–3.040.61–3.380.73–6.41
Yellow cards
33%
20%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.942.294.22safe0.89–2.991.16–3.422.05–6.40safer0.62–3.250.87–3.711.49–6.96
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.130.21safe0.00–0.240.00–0.310.00–0.55safer0.00–0.390.00–0.450.00–0.84
GK saves
33%
17%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.653.195.84safe1.21–4.091.64–4.752.85–8.84safer0.83–4.471.21–5.172.04–9.65
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.44 0.47–2.41 0.22–2.66 | 1.39 0.54–2.25 0.31–2.47 | 2.83 1.01–4.65 0.53–5.13 | 39% 25% 36% |
| Shots on target | 4.56 2.70–6.42 2.21–6.91 | 4.09 2.34–5.83 1.88–6.29 | 8.65 5.04–12.25 4.09–13.21 | 50% 14% 37% |
| Total shots | 13.81 9.89–17.73 8.79–18.83 | 11.43 7.87–14.99 6.91–15.95 | 25.24 17.75–32.73 15.70–34.78 | 65% 28% |
| Shots in box | 8.13 5.19–11.07 4.36–11.90 | 7.23 4.55–9.91 3.81–10.65 | 15.36 9.74–20.99 8.17–22.55 | 54% 36% |
| Blocked shots | 3.78 1.90–5.66 1.36–6.21 | 2.64 0.99–4.29 0.50–4.79 | 6.42 2.89–9.96 1.85–10.99 | 60% 15% 26% |
| Corners | 5.74 3.52–7.95 2.95–8.52 | 4.51 2.51–6.51 1.98–7.05 | 10.25 6.03–14.46 4.93–15.57 | 59% 29% |
| Possession % | 54.22 47.43–61.01 45.76–62.68 | 46.25 39.47–53.04 37.80–54.71 | — | 66% 30% |
| Passes | 473 405–540 387–558 | 371 304–437 287–455 | 843 710–977 674–1013 | 80% 20% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.22 63.19–71.25 61.90–72.55 | 66.85 62.52–71.17 61.21–72.48 | — | 49% 45% |
| Fouls | 10.77 7.93–13.60 7.17–14.36 | 12.65 9.70–15.59 8.95–16.34 | 23.41 17.63–29.19 16.12–30.70 | 31% 61% |
| Offsides | 1.58 0.42–2.74 0.11–3.04 | 1.99 0.90–3.09 0.61–3.38 | 3.57 1.32–5.82 0.73–6.41 | 31% 22% 48% |
| Yellow cards | 1.94 0.89–2.99 0.62–3.25 | 2.29 1.16–3.42 0.87–3.71 | 4.22 2.05–6.40 1.49–6.96 | 33% 20% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.13 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.45 | 0.21 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.65 1.21–4.09 0.83–4.47 | 3.19 1.64–4.75 1.21–5.17 | 5.84 2.85–8.84 2.04–9.65 | 33% 17% 50% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.