Bundesliga·Regular Season - 18·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 18·Predicted match statistics
Goals
41%
26%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.371.202.57safe0.40–2.340.35–2.060.75–4.40safer0.15–2.590.12–2.280.27–4.88
Shots on target
47%
14%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction4.454.178.62safe2.59–6.312.43–5.915.01–12.22safer2.10–6.801.96–6.384.06–13.18
Total shots
57%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction13.3511.9125.27safe9.43–17.288.35–15.4717.78–32.75safer8.34–18.377.39–16.4315.73–34.80
Shots in box
58%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction8.547.2815.82safe5.60–11.484.60–9.9610.20–21.44safer4.77–12.313.86–10.708.63–23.01
Blocked shots
38%
16%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction3.253.556.80safe1.37–5.131.89–5.203.26–10.34safer0.83–5.681.40–5.692.23–11.37
Corners
46%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction5.064.889.95safe2.85–7.282.88–6.885.73–14.16safer2.28–7.852.35–7.424.63–15.27
Possession %
34%
61%
homeawayprediction47.4053.16safe40.61–54.1946.37–59.94safer38.94–55.8644.70–61.61
Passes
37%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction407447855safe340–475381–514721–988safer322–493363–531685–1024
Pass accuracy %
18%
78%
homeawayprediction64.0370.49safe60.00–68.0666.17–74.82safer58.71–69.3664.86–76.13
Fouls
50%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6412.1524.80safe9.81–15.489.21–15.1019.01–30.58safer9.05–16.248.46–15.8417.51–32.08
Offsides
50%
22%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.981.433.41safe0.82–3.140.34–2.521.16–5.67safer0.52–3.440.05–2.810.57–6.26
Yellow cards
36%
20%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.952.164.11safe0.90–3.001.03–3.291.93–6.29safer0.64–3.270.74–3.581.37–6.85
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.140.23safe0.00–0.260.00–0.320.00–0.58safer0.00–0.410.00–0.460.00–0.86
GK saves
40%
17%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction2.983.096.07safe1.55–4.421.53–4.643.08–9.06safer1.16–4.811.10–5.072.27–9.87
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.37 0.40–2.34 0.15–2.59 | 1.20 0.35–2.06 0.12–2.28 | 2.57 0.75–4.40 0.27–4.88 | 41% 26% 33% |
| Shots on target | 4.45 2.59–6.31 2.10–6.80 | 4.17 2.43–5.91 1.96–6.38 | 8.62 5.01–12.22 4.06–13.18 | 47% 14% 39% |
| Total shots | 13.35 9.43–17.28 8.34–18.37 | 11.91 8.35–15.47 7.39–16.43 | 25.27 17.78–32.75 15.73–34.80 | 57% 35% |
| Shots in box | 8.54 5.60–11.48 4.77–12.31 | 7.28 4.60–9.96 3.86–10.70 | 15.82 10.20–21.44 8.63–23.01 | 58% 33% |
| Blocked shots | 3.25 1.37–5.13 0.83–5.68 | 3.55 1.89–5.20 1.40–5.69 | 6.80 3.26–10.34 2.23–11.37 | 38% 16% 47% |
| Corners | 5.06 2.85–7.28 2.28–7.85 | 4.88 2.88–6.88 2.35–7.42 | 9.95 5.73–14.16 4.63–15.27 | 46% 41% |
| Possession % | 47.40 40.61–54.19 38.94–55.86 | 53.16 46.37–59.94 44.70–61.61 | — | 34% 61% |
| Passes | 407 340–475 322–493 | 447 381–514 363–531 | 855 721–988 685–1024 | 37% 63% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.03 60.00–68.06 58.71–69.36 | 70.49 66.17–74.82 64.86–76.13 | — | 18% 78% |
| Fouls | 12.64 9.81–15.48 9.05–16.24 | 12.15 9.21–15.10 8.46–15.84 | 24.80 19.01–30.58 17.51–32.08 | 50% 42% |
| Offsides | 1.98 0.82–3.14 0.52–3.44 | 1.43 0.34–2.52 0.05–2.81 | 3.41 1.16–5.67 0.57–6.26 | 50% 22% 28% |
| Yellow cards | 1.95 0.90–3.00 0.64–3.27 | 2.16 1.03–3.29 0.74–3.58 | 4.11 1.93–6.29 1.37–6.85 | 36% 20% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.46 | 0.23 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.86 | 80% |
| GK saves | 2.98 1.55–4.42 1.16–4.81 | 3.09 1.53–4.64 1.10–5.07 | 6.07 3.08–9.06 2.27–9.87 | 40% 17% 43% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+