Bundesliga·Regular Season - 11·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 11·Predicted match statistics
Goals
45%
25%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.521.172.69safe0.55–2.490.31–2.020.87–4.51safer0.30–2.740.09–2.250.39–4.99
Shots on target
54%
13%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction4.773.948.71safe2.91–6.642.19–5.685.11–12.32safer2.42–7.131.73–6.154.15–13.27
Total shots
72%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction15.0811.6426.71safe11.15–19.008.07–15.2019.23–34.20safer10.06–20.097.11–16.1617.18–36.25
Shots in box
63%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction9.487.5917.07safe6.54–12.434.90–10.2711.45–22.69safer5.71–13.264.17–11.009.88–24.26
Blocked shots
50%
15%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction4.003.497.50safe2.12–5.891.84–5.153.96–11.03safer1.58–6.431.35–5.642.93–12.07
Corners
62%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction5.954.4710.42safe3.74–8.162.47–6.476.20–14.63safer3.16–8.741.94–7.005.10–15.74
Possession %
58%
37%
homeawayprediction52.3347.73safe45.54–59.1240.95–54.52safer43.87–60.7939.28–56.19
Passes
56%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction444424868safe377–511358–491734–1002safer358–529340–508699–1037
Pass accuracy %
45%
50%
homeawayprediction70.4670.88safe66.43–74.4966.55–75.20safer65.13–75.7865.24–76.51
Fouls
35%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction10.4511.8222.27safe7.61–13.298.88–14.7616.49–28.05safer6.86–14.048.13–15.5114.98–29.56
Offsides
49%
23%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.851.343.19safe0.69–3.010.25–2.430.93–5.44safer0.38–3.310.00–2.720.34–6.03
Yellow cards
37%
20%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction2.052.204.24safe1.00–3.091.07–3.332.06–6.42safer0.73–3.360.78–3.621.51–6.98
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.130.22safe0.00–0.250.00–0.310.00–0.56safer0.00–0.400.00–0.450.00–0.85
GK saves
34%
16%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction2.763.245.99safe1.32–4.191.68–4.793.00–8.99safer0.93–4.581.26–5.222.19–9.80
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.52 0.55–2.49 0.30–2.74 | 1.17 0.31–2.02 0.09–2.25 | 2.69 0.87–4.51 0.39–4.99 | 45% 25% 29% |
| Shots on target | 4.77 2.91–6.64 2.42–7.13 | 3.94 2.19–5.68 1.73–6.15 | 8.71 5.11–12.32 4.15–13.27 | 54% 13% 32% |
| Total shots | 15.08 11.15–19.00 10.06–20.09 | 11.64 8.07–15.20 7.11–16.16 | 26.71 19.23–34.20 17.18–36.25 | 72% 22% |
| Shots in box | 9.48 6.54–12.43 5.71–13.26 | 7.59 4.90–10.27 4.17–11.00 | 17.07 11.45–22.69 9.88–24.26 | 63% 28% |
| Blocked shots | 4.00 2.12–5.89 1.58–6.43 | 3.49 1.84–5.15 1.35–5.64 | 7.50 3.96–11.03 2.93–12.07 | 50% 15% 35% |
| Corners | 5.95 3.74–8.16 3.16–8.74 | 4.47 2.47–6.47 1.94–7.00 | 10.42 6.20–14.63 5.10–15.74 | 62% 27% |
| Possession % | 52.33 45.54–59.12 43.87–60.79 | 47.73 40.95–54.52 39.28–56.19 | — | 58% 37% |
| Passes | 444 377–511 358–529 | 424 358–491 340–508 | 868 734–1002 699–1037 | 56% 43% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.46 66.43–74.49 65.13–75.78 | 70.88 66.55–75.20 65.24–76.51 | — | 45% 50% |
| Fouls | 10.45 7.61–13.29 6.86–14.04 | 11.82 8.88–14.76 8.13–15.51 | 22.27 16.49–28.05 14.98–29.56 | 35% 57% |
| Offsides | 1.85 0.69–3.01 0.38–3.31 | 1.34 0.25–2.43 0.00–2.72 | 3.19 0.93–5.44 0.34–6.03 | 49% 23% 28% |
| Yellow cards | 2.05 1.00–3.09 0.73–3.36 | 2.20 1.07–3.33 0.78–3.62 | 4.24 2.06–6.42 1.51–6.98 | 37% 20% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.13 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.45 | 0.22 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.76 1.32–4.19 0.93–4.58 | 3.24 1.68–4.79 1.26–5.22 | 5.99 3.00–8.99 2.19–9.80 | 34% 16% 49% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.