Bundesliga·Regular Season - 17·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 17·Predicted match statistics
Goals
38%
26%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.371.332.69safe0.40–2.340.47–2.180.87–4.52safer0.15–2.590.24–2.410.39–5.00
Shots on target
49%
13%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction4.684.258.93safe2.82–6.542.51–5.995.33–12.54safer2.33–7.032.04–6.464.37–13.49
Total shots
46%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction13.5613.5827.13safe9.63–17.4810.01–17.1419.65–34.62safer8.54–18.579.05–18.1017.60–36.67
Shots in box
52%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction9.098.4217.52safe6.15–12.045.74–11.1011.89–23.14safer5.32–12.875.00–11.8410.33–24.71
Blocked shots
50%
14%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction4.133.647.77safe2.25–6.011.99–5.294.23–11.30safer1.70–6.551.49–5.783.20–12.34
Corners
49%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction5.344.9410.27safe3.12–7.552.93–6.946.06–14.48safer2.55–8.122.40–7.474.95–15.59
Possession %
49%
46%
homeawayprediction50.5749.92safe43.78–57.3643.13–56.70safer42.11–59.0341.46–58.38
Passes
58%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction444421865safe377–511354–487731–999safer359–530337–505695–1034
Pass accuracy %
33%
62%
homeawayprediction68.1371.07safe64.10–72.1666.75–75.40safer62.81–73.4565.44–76.71
Fouls
54%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2411.2023.44safe9.41–15.088.26–14.1517.66–29.23safer8.65–15.847.51–14.8916.16–30.73
Offsides
28%
22%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.421.923.34safe0.26–2.580.83–3.011.08–5.59safer0.00–2.880.54–3.300.49–6.18
Yellow cards
34%
21%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.822.113.93safe0.77–2.870.98–3.241.75–6.11safer0.50–3.130.69–3.531.19–6.67
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.090.17safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.52safer0.00–0.390.00–0.410.00–0.80
GK saves
37%
16%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction2.903.226.11safe1.46–4.331.66–4.773.12–9.11safer1.07–4.721.24–5.202.31–9.92
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.37 0.40–2.34 0.15–2.59 | 1.33 0.47–2.18 0.24–2.41 | 2.69 0.87–4.52 0.39–5.00 | 38% 26% 36% |
| Shots on target | 4.68 2.82–6.54 2.33–7.03 | 4.25 2.51–5.99 2.04–6.46 | 8.93 5.33–12.54 4.37–13.49 | 49% 13% 38% |
| Total shots | 13.56 9.63–17.48 8.54–18.57 | 13.58 10.01–17.14 9.05–18.10 | 27.13 19.65–34.62 17.60–36.67 | 46% 46% |
| Shots in box | 9.09 6.15–12.04 5.32–12.87 | 8.42 5.74–11.10 5.00–11.84 | 17.52 11.89–23.14 10.33–24.71 | 52% 39% |
| Blocked shots | 4.13 2.25–6.01 1.70–6.55 | 3.64 1.99–5.29 1.49–5.78 | 7.77 4.23–11.30 3.20–12.34 | 50% 14% 36% |
| Corners | 5.34 3.12–7.55 2.55–8.12 | 4.94 2.93–6.94 2.40–7.47 | 10.27 6.06–14.48 4.95–15.59 | 49% 39% |
| Possession % | 50.57 43.78–57.36 42.11–59.03 | 49.92 43.13–56.70 41.46–58.38 | — | 49% 46% |
| Passes | 444 377–511 359–530 | 421 354–487 337–505 | 865 731–999 695–1034 | 58% 42% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.13 64.10–72.16 62.81–73.45 | 71.07 66.75–75.40 65.44–76.71 | — | 33% 62% |
| Fouls | 12.24 9.41–15.08 8.65–15.84 | 11.20 8.26–14.15 7.51–14.89 | 23.44 17.66–29.23 16.16–30.73 | 54% 37% |
| Offsides | 1.42 0.26–2.58 0.00–2.88 | 1.92 0.83–3.01 0.54–3.30 | 3.34 1.08–5.59 0.49–6.18 | 28% 22% 49% |
| Yellow cards | 1.82 0.77–2.87 0.50–3.13 | 2.11 0.98–3.24 0.69–3.53 | 3.93 1.75–6.11 1.19–6.67 | 34% 21% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.90 1.46–4.33 1.07–4.72 | 3.22 1.66–4.77 1.24–5.20 | 6.11 3.12–9.11 2.31–9.92 | 37% 16% 47% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.