Bundesliga·Regular Season - 11·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 11·Predicted match statistics
Goals
34%
25%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.341.472.81safe0.37–2.310.62–2.320.99–4.63safer0.12–2.560.39–2.550.51–5.11
Shots on target
40%
13%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction4.614.879.48safe2.75–6.473.13–6.615.87–13.08safer2.26–6.962.66–7.084.92–14.04
Total shots
35%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3113.8426.16safe8.39–16.2410.28–17.4118.67–33.64safer7.30–17.339.32–18.3616.62–35.70
Shots in box
46%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction8.378.3216.69safe5.43–11.315.64–11.0011.06–22.31safer4.60–12.144.90–11.749.50–23.88
Blocked shots
35%
15%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction3.193.716.90safe1.30–5.072.06–5.363.36–10.43safer0.76–5.611.56–5.852.33–11.47
Corners
39%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction4.925.2910.21safe2.71–7.143.29–7.295.99–14.42safer2.13–7.712.75–7.824.89–15.53
Possession %
17%
79%
homeawayprediction42.7957.61safe36.00–49.5850.82–64.39safer34.33–51.2549.15–66.07
Passes
88%
homeawaytotalprediction416556972safe349–483490–623838–1106safer330–501472–640803–1141
Pass accuracy %
93%
homeawayprediction65.5577.51safe61.52–69.5773.18–81.83safer60.22–70.8771.88–83.14
Fouls
60%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1610.4722.63safe9.32–15.007.52–13.4116.85–28.41safer8.57–15.756.77–14.1615.34–29.92
Offsides
48%
21%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction2.041.593.63safe0.88–3.200.49–2.681.38–5.88safer0.58–3.500.21–2.970.79–6.47
Yellow cards
45%
20%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction2.281.994.27safe1.23–3.330.86–3.122.09–6.45safer0.96–3.590.57–3.411.53–7.00
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.100.21safe0.00–0.280.00–0.280.00–0.56safer0.00–0.430.00–0.420.00–0.84
GK saves
43%
16%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction3.143.086.23safe1.71–4.581.53–4.643.23–9.22safer1.32–4.971.10–5.062.42–10.03
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.34 0.37–2.31 0.12–2.56 | 1.47 0.62–2.32 0.39–2.55 | 2.81 0.99–4.63 0.51–5.11 | 34% 25% 40% |
| Shots on target | 4.61 2.75–6.47 2.26–6.96 | 4.87 3.13–6.61 2.66–7.08 | 9.48 5.87–13.08 4.92–14.04 | 40% 13% 47% |
| Total shots | 12.31 8.39–16.24 7.30–17.33 | 13.84 10.28–17.41 9.32–18.36 | 26.16 18.67–33.64 16.62–35.70 | 35% 58% |
| Shots in box | 8.37 5.43–11.31 4.60–12.14 | 8.32 5.64–11.00 4.90–11.74 | 16.69 11.06–22.31 9.50–23.88 | 46% 45% |
| Blocked shots | 3.19 1.30–5.07 0.76–5.61 | 3.71 2.06–5.36 1.56–5.85 | 6.90 3.36–10.43 2.33–11.47 | 35% 15% 50% |
| Corners | 4.92 2.71–7.14 2.13–7.71 | 5.29 3.29–7.29 2.75–7.82 | 10.21 5.99–14.42 4.89–15.53 | 39% 48% |
| Possession % | 42.79 36.00–49.58 34.33–51.25 | 57.61 50.82–64.39 49.15–66.07 | — | 17% 79% |
| Passes | 416 349–483 330–501 | 556 490–623 472–640 | 972 838–1106 803–1141 | 88% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.55 61.52–69.57 60.22–70.87 | 77.51 73.18–81.83 71.88–83.14 | — | 93% |
| Fouls | 12.16 9.32–15.00 8.57–15.75 | 10.47 7.52–13.41 6.77–14.16 | 22.63 16.85–28.41 15.34–29.92 | 60% 32% |
| Offsides | 2.04 0.88–3.20 0.58–3.50 | 1.59 0.49–2.68 0.21–2.97 | 3.63 1.38–5.88 0.79–6.47 | 48% 21% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 2.28 1.23–3.33 0.96–3.59 | 1.99 0.86–3.12 0.57–3.41 | 4.27 2.09–6.45 1.53–7.00 | 45% 20% 35% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 3.14 1.71–4.58 1.32–4.97 | 3.08 1.53–4.64 1.10–5.06 | 6.23 3.23–9.22 2.42–10.03 | 43% 16% 41% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.