Bundesliga·Regular Season - 18·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 18·Predicted match statistics
Goals
52%
24%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction1.751.122.87safe0.78–2.720.27–1.981.05–4.70safer0.53–2.970.04–2.210.57–5.18
Shots on target
67%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction5.523.669.18safe3.66–7.381.92–5.415.58–12.79safer3.17–7.871.46–5.874.62–13.74
Total shots
83%
homeawaytotalprediction15.8910.5826.47safe11.97–19.827.02–14.1418.98–33.96safer10.87–20.916.06–15.1016.93–36.01
Shots in box
74%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction10.317.0717.37safe7.36–13.254.39–9.7511.75–23.00safer6.53–14.083.65–10.4910.18–24.56
Blocked shots
64%
13%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction4.332.877.20safe2.45–6.211.21–4.523.66–10.73safer1.90–6.760.72–5.012.63–11.77
Corners
66%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction5.603.859.46safe3.39–7.821.85–5.855.24–13.67safer2.82–8.391.32–6.394.14–14.78
Possession %
80%
17%
homeawayprediction58.0942.67safe51.30–64.8835.89–49.46safer49.63–66.5534.21–51.13
Passes
94%
homeawaytotalprediction583397981safe516–651331–464847–1115safer498–669313–481811–1150
Pass accuracy %
70%
25%
homeawayprediction74.4369.80safe70.40–78.4665.48–74.13safer69.11–79.7564.17–75.43
Fouls
26%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction10.0612.6822.74safe7.22–12.909.74–15.6316.96–28.52safer6.47–13.658.99–16.3715.45–30.03
Offsides
36%
22%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.691.833.52safe0.53–2.850.74–2.931.27–5.77safer0.22–3.150.45–3.210.68–6.36
Yellow cards
28%
20%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.642.243.88safe0.59–2.691.11–3.371.70–6.06safer0.33–2.960.82–3.661.15–6.62
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.110.17safe0.00–0.220.00–0.300.00–0.52safer0.00–0.370.00–0.430.00–0.80
GK saves
26%
15%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction2.463.495.95safe1.02–3.891.93–5.052.95–8.94safer0.63–4.281.51–5.472.14–9.75
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.75 0.78–2.72 0.53–2.97 | 1.12 0.27–1.98 0.04–2.21 | 2.87 1.05–4.70 0.57–5.18 | 52% 24% 24% |
| Shots on target | 5.52 3.66–7.38 3.17–7.87 | 3.66 1.92–5.41 1.46–5.87 | 9.18 5.58–12.79 4.62–13.74 | 67% 22% |
| Total shots | 15.89 11.97–19.82 10.87–20.91 | 10.58 7.02–14.14 6.06–15.10 | 26.47 18.98–33.96 16.93–36.01 | 83% |
| Shots in box | 10.31 7.36–13.25 6.53–14.08 | 7.07 4.39–9.75 3.65–10.49 | 17.37 11.75–23.00 10.18–24.56 | 74% 18% |
| Blocked shots | 4.33 2.45–6.21 1.90–6.76 | 2.87 1.21–4.52 0.72–5.01 | 7.20 3.66–10.73 2.63–11.77 | 64% 13% 23% |
| Corners | 5.60 3.39–7.82 2.82–8.39 | 3.85 1.85–5.85 1.32–6.39 | 9.46 5.24–13.67 4.14–14.78 | 66% 23% |
| Possession % | 58.09 51.30–64.88 49.63–66.55 | 42.67 35.89–49.46 34.21–51.13 | — | 80% 17% |
| Passes | 583 516–651 498–669 | 397 331–464 313–481 | 981 847–1115 811–1150 | 94% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.43 70.40–78.46 69.11–79.75 | 69.80 65.48–74.13 64.17–75.43 | — | 70% 25% |
| Fouls | 10.06 7.22–12.90 6.47–13.65 | 12.68 9.74–15.63 8.99–16.37 | 22.74 16.96–28.52 15.45–30.03 | 26% 67% |
| Offsides | 1.69 0.53–2.85 0.22–3.15 | 1.83 0.74–2.93 0.45–3.21 | 3.52 1.27–5.77 0.68–6.36 | 36% 22% 42% |
| Yellow cards | 1.64 0.59–2.69 0.33–2.96 | 2.24 1.11–3.37 0.82–3.66 | 3.88 1.70–6.06 1.15–6.62 | 28% 20% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.46 1.02–3.89 0.63–4.28 | 3.49 1.93–5.05 1.51–5.47 | 5.95 2.95–8.94 2.14–9.75 | 26% 15% 58% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+