Bundesliga·Regular Season - 11·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 11·Predicted match statistics
Goals
73%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction2.540.903.44safe1.57–3.510.05–1.751.62–5.27safer1.32–3.760.00–1.981.14–5.75
Shots on target
83%
homeawaytotalprediction6.703.229.91safe4.83–8.561.47–4.966.31–13.52safer4.34–9.051.01–5.425.35–14.47
Total shots
97%
homeawaytotalprediction18.948.6527.59safe15.01–22.865.09–12.2120.10–35.07safer13.92–23.954.13–13.1718.05–37.12
Shots in box
95%
homeawaytotalprediction12.275.1417.41safe9.33–15.212.46–7.8211.79–23.03safer8.50–16.041.72–8.5610.22–24.60
Blocked shots
70%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction4.552.667.20safe2.66–6.431.00–4.313.67–10.74safer2.12–6.970.51–4.802.63–11.77
Corners
86%
homeawaytotalprediction7.203.3010.49safe4.98–9.411.30–5.306.28–14.71safer4.41–9.980.77–5.835.17–15.82
Possession %
85%
homeawayprediction58.8440.58safe52.05–65.6333.80–47.37safer50.38–67.3032.13–49.04
Passes
92%
homeawaytotalprediction550381931safe483–617314–447797–1064safer465–635297–465761–1100
Pass accuracy %
80%
17%
homeawayprediction75.6768.65safe71.64–79.7064.33–72.98safer70.35–80.9963.02–74.28
Fouls
47%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5611.4122.96safe8.72–14.398.46–14.3517.18–28.74safer7.96–15.157.71–15.1015.68–30.25
Offsides
40%
20%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.072.084.15safe0.91–3.230.98–3.171.90–6.41safer0.61–3.540.70–3.461.31–6.99
Yellow cards
22%
20%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction1.332.223.55safe0.28–2.381.09–3.351.37–5.73safer0.02–2.650.80–3.640.82–6.29
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.110.17safe0.00–0.220.00–0.300.00–0.52safer0.00–0.370.00–0.430.00–0.80
GK saves
16%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction2.184.096.27safe0.75–3.622.53–5.643.28–9.26safer0.36–4.012.11–6.072.47–10.08
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.54 1.57–3.51 1.32–3.76 | 0.90 0.05–1.75 0.00–1.98 | 3.44 1.62–5.27 1.14–5.75 | 73% 16% |
| Shots on target | 6.70 4.83–8.56 4.34–9.05 | 3.22 1.47–4.96 1.01–5.42 | 9.91 6.31–13.52 5.35–14.47 | 83% |
| Total shots | 18.94 15.01–22.86 13.92–23.95 | 8.65 5.09–12.21 4.13–13.17 | 27.59 20.10–35.07 18.05–37.12 | 97% |
| Shots in box | 12.27 9.33–15.21 8.50–16.04 | 5.14 2.46–7.82 1.72–8.56 | 17.41 11.79–23.03 10.22–24.60 | 95% |
| Blocked shots | 4.55 2.66–6.43 2.12–6.97 | 2.66 1.00–4.31 0.51–4.80 | 7.20 3.67–10.74 2.63–11.77 | 70% 18% |
| Corners | 7.20 4.98–9.41 4.41–9.98 | 3.30 1.30–5.30 0.77–5.83 | 10.49 6.28–14.71 5.17–15.82 | 86% |
| Possession % | 58.84 52.05–65.63 50.38–67.30 | 40.58 33.80–47.37 32.13–49.04 | — | 85% |
| Passes | 550 483–617 465–635 | 381 314–447 297–465 | 931 797–1064 761–1100 | 92% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.67 71.64–79.70 70.35–80.99 | 68.65 64.33–72.98 63.02–74.28 | — | 80% 17% |
| Fouls | 11.56 8.72–14.39 7.96–15.15 | 11.41 8.46–14.35 7.71–15.10 | 22.96 17.18–28.74 15.68–30.25 | 47% 45% |
| Offsides | 2.07 0.91–3.23 0.61–3.54 | 2.08 0.98–3.17 0.70–3.46 | 4.15 1.90–6.41 1.31–6.99 | 40% 20% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 1.33 0.28–2.38 0.02–2.65 | 2.22 1.09–3.35 0.80–3.64 | 3.55 1.37–5.73 0.82–6.29 | 22% 20% 58% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.18 0.75–3.62 0.36–4.01 | 4.09 2.53–5.64 2.11–6.07 | 6.27 3.28–9.26 2.47–10.08 | 16% 71% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.