Bundesliga·Regular Season - 17·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 17·Predicted match statistics
Goals
19%
20%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction1.122.183.30safe0.16–2.091.32–3.031.48–5.12safer0.00–2.341.10–3.261.00–5.60
Shots on target
23%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction3.665.379.03safe1.80–5.523.63–7.125.43–12.64safer1.31–6.013.17–7.584.47–13.59
Total shots
15%
79%
homeawaytotalprediction10.8515.5426.39safe6.92–14.7711.98–19.1018.90–33.88safer5.83–15.8711.02–20.0616.85–35.93
Shots in box
84%
homeawaytotalprediction6.0810.6816.75safe3.13–9.028.00–13.3611.13–22.37safer2.30–9.857.26–14.099.56–23.94
Blocked shots
21%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction2.854.517.36safe0.97–4.732.86–6.163.83–10.90safer0.43–5.282.36–6.652.79–11.93
Corners
18%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction3.926.3310.25safe1.71–6.134.33–8.336.04–14.47safer1.13–6.713.80–8.874.93–15.57
Possession %
23%
73%
homeawayprediction45.0756.50safe38.28–51.8649.71–63.28safer36.61–53.5348.04–64.95
Passes
21%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction404499903safe337–471433–565770–1037safer319–490415–583734–1073
Pass accuracy %
94%
homeawayprediction64.1276.46safe60.09–68.1572.13–80.78safer58.80–69.4470.82–82.09
Fouls
37%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction10.3111.4121.73safe7.48–13.158.47–14.3615.94–27.51safer6.72–13.917.72–15.1114.44–29.01
Offsides
41%
20%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction2.172.094.27safe1.01–3.331.00–3.192.01–6.52safer0.71–3.630.71–3.471.42–7.11
Yellow cards
41%
22%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.791.693.47safe0.74–2.840.56–2.811.30–5.65safer0.47–3.100.27–3.110.74–6.21
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.100.22safe0.00–0.280.00–0.280.00–0.56safer0.00–0.430.00–0.420.00–0.85
GK saves
61%
15%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction3.692.496.19safe2.26–5.130.94–4.053.19–9.18safer1.87–5.520.51–4.482.38–9.99
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.12 0.16–2.09 0.00–2.34 | 2.18 1.32–3.03 1.10–3.26 | 3.30 1.48–5.12 1.00–5.60 | 19% 20% 61% |
| Shots on target | 3.66 1.80–5.52 1.31–6.01 | 5.37 3.63–7.12 3.17–7.58 | 9.03 5.43–12.64 4.47–13.59 | 23% 66% |
| Total shots | 10.85 6.92–14.77 5.83–15.87 | 15.54 11.98–19.10 11.02–20.06 | 26.39 18.90–33.88 16.85–35.93 | 15% 79% |
| Shots in box | 6.08 3.13–9.02 2.30–9.85 | 10.68 8.00–13.36 7.26–14.09 | 16.75 11.13–22.37 9.56–23.94 | 84% |
| Blocked shots | 2.85 0.97–4.73 0.43–5.28 | 4.51 2.86–6.16 2.36–6.65 | 7.36 3.83–10.90 2.79–11.93 | 21% 66% |
| Corners | 3.92 1.71–6.13 1.13–6.71 | 6.33 4.33–8.33 3.80–8.87 | 10.25 6.04–14.47 4.93–15.57 | 18% 73% |
| Possession % | 45.07 38.28–51.86 36.61–53.53 | 56.50 49.71–63.28 48.04–64.95 | — | 23% 73% |
| Passes | 404 337–471 319–490 | 499 433–565 415–583 | 903 770–1037 734–1073 | 21% 78% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.12 60.09–68.15 58.80–69.44 | 76.46 72.13–80.78 70.82–82.09 | — | 94% |
| Fouls | 10.31 7.48–13.15 6.72–13.91 | 11.41 8.47–14.36 7.72–15.11 | 21.73 15.94–27.51 14.44–29.01 | 37% 55% |
| Offsides | 2.17 1.01–3.33 0.71–3.63 | 2.09 1.00–3.19 0.71–3.47 | 4.27 2.01–6.52 1.42–7.11 | 41% 20% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 1.79 0.74–2.84 0.47–3.10 | 1.69 0.56–2.81 0.27–3.11 | 3.47 1.30–5.65 0.74–6.21 | 41% 22% 37% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.22 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.85 | 82% |
| GK saves | 3.69 2.26–5.13 1.87–5.52 | 2.49 0.94–4.05 0.51–4.48 | 6.19 3.19–9.18 2.38–9.99 | 61% 15% 24% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.