Bundesliga·Regular Season - 11·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 11·Predicted match statistics
Goals
77%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction2.710.833.54safe1.74–3.680.00–1.691.72–5.36safer1.49–3.930.00–1.911.24–5.84
Shots on target
87%
homeawaytotalprediction7.203.0810.27safe5.34–9.061.33–4.826.67–13.88safer4.85–9.550.87–5.285.71–14.83
Total shots
96%
homeawaytotalprediction18.969.2928.25safe15.03–22.885.73–12.8520.76–35.74safer13.94–23.974.77–13.8118.71–37.79
Shots in box
94%
homeawaytotalprediction12.735.6418.37safe9.79–15.672.96–8.3212.75–24.00safer8.96–16.502.22–9.0611.18–25.56
Blocked shots
68%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction4.522.757.27safe2.64–6.401.10–4.403.73–10.80safer2.09–6.940.60–4.902.70–11.84
Corners
86%
homeawaytotalprediction7.663.6411.30safe5.44–9.871.64–5.647.09–15.51safer4.87–10.441.11–6.185.98–16.62
Possession %
94%
homeawayprediction63.7936.74safe57.00–70.5829.96–43.53safer55.33–72.2528.29–45.20
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction605335940safe538–672268–401806–1073safer520–691251–418770–1109
Pass accuracy %
83%
14%
homeawayprediction74.7066.88safe70.67–78.7362.56–71.21safer69.38–80.0261.25–72.52
Fouls
39%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6111.3721.98safe7.77–13.448.43–14.3216.20–27.76safer7.01–14.207.68–15.0714.69–29.27
Offsides
67%
17%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction2.631.243.87safe1.47–3.790.15–2.331.61–6.12safer1.17–4.090.00–2.621.02–6.71
Yellow cards
26%
23%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.271.853.12safe0.22–2.310.72–2.980.94–5.29safer0.00–2.580.43–3.270.38–5.85
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.110.16safe0.00–0.210.00–0.290.00–0.51safer0.00–0.360.00–0.430.00–0.79
GK saves
14%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction2.264.486.75safe0.83–3.702.93–6.043.75–9.74safer0.44–4.092.50–6.462.94–10.55
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.71 1.74–3.68 1.49–3.93 | 0.83 0.00–1.69 0.00–1.91 | 3.54 1.72–5.36 1.24–5.84 | 77% 14% |
| Shots on target | 7.20 5.34–9.06 4.85–9.55 | 3.08 1.33–4.82 0.87–5.28 | 10.27 6.67–13.88 5.71–14.83 | 87% |
| Total shots | 18.96 15.03–22.88 13.94–23.97 | 9.29 5.73–12.85 4.77–13.81 | 28.25 20.76–35.74 18.71–37.79 | 96% |
| Shots in box | 12.73 9.79–15.67 8.96–16.50 | 5.64 2.96–8.32 2.22–9.06 | 18.37 12.75–24.00 11.18–25.56 | 94% |
| Blocked shots | 4.52 2.64–6.40 2.09–6.94 | 2.75 1.10–4.40 0.60–4.90 | 7.27 3.73–10.80 2.70–11.84 | 68% 20% |
| Corners | 7.66 5.44–9.87 4.87–10.44 | 3.64 1.64–5.64 1.11–6.18 | 11.30 7.09–15.51 5.98–16.62 | 86% |
| Possession % | 63.79 57.00–70.58 55.33–72.25 | 36.74 29.96–43.53 28.29–45.20 | — | 94% |
| Passes | 605 538–672 520–691 | 335 268–401 251–418 | 940 806–1073 770–1109 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.70 70.67–78.73 69.38–80.02 | 66.88 62.56–71.21 61.25–72.52 | — | 83% 14% |
| Fouls | 10.61 7.77–13.44 7.01–14.20 | 11.37 8.43–14.32 7.68–15.07 | 21.98 16.20–27.76 14.69–29.27 | 39% 52% |
| Offsides | 2.63 1.47–3.79 1.17–4.09 | 1.24 0.15–2.33 0.00–2.62 | 3.87 1.61–6.12 1.02–6.71 | 67% 17% 16% |
| Yellow cards | 1.27 0.22–2.31 0.00–2.58 | 1.85 0.72–2.98 0.43–3.27 | 3.12 0.94–5.29 0.38–5.85 | 26% 23% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.26 0.83–3.70 0.44–4.09 | 4.48 2.93–6.04 2.50–6.46 | 6.75 3.75–9.74 2.94–10.55 | 14% 75% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.