Bundesliga·Regular Season - 17·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 17·Predicted match statistics
Goals
17%
19%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction1.072.233.31safe0.11–2.041.38–3.091.48–5.13safer0.00–2.291.15–3.311.00–5.61
Shots on target
20%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction3.835.959.79safe1.97–5.704.21–7.706.18–13.39safer1.48–6.193.74–8.165.23–14.35
Total shots
23%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6216.0728.69safe8.70–16.5512.51–19.6321.21–36.18safer7.61–17.6411.55–20.5919.16–38.23
Shots in box
82%
homeawaytotalprediction6.8611.1618.02safe3.92–9.818.48–13.8412.40–23.64safer3.09–10.637.74–14.5810.83–25.21
Blocked shots
33%
15%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction3.313.977.28safe1.43–5.192.32–5.633.75–10.82safer0.88–5.741.83–6.122.71–11.85
Corners
25%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction4.386.0510.43safe2.16–6.594.05–8.056.21–14.64safer1.59–7.163.52–8.585.11–15.75
Possession %
91%
homeawayprediction38.5162.24safe31.72–45.3055.45–69.02safer30.05–46.9753.78–70.69
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction335530865safe268–402464–597731–999safer250–420446–614696–1034
Pass accuracy %
96%
homeawayprediction61.7875.70safe57.75–65.8171.37–80.02safer56.46–67.1170.06–81.33
Fouls
39%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0511.8722.92safe8.22–13.898.92–14.8117.14–28.70safer7.46–14.658.17–15.5615.63–30.21
Offsides
14%
14%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction1.393.124.51safe0.23–2.552.02–4.212.26–6.77safer0.00–2.861.74–4.501.67–7.35
Yellow cards
40%
22%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.791.723.51safe0.74–2.840.59–2.851.33–5.68safer0.47–3.100.30–3.140.77–6.24
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.090.19safe0.00–0.260.00–0.270.00–0.53safer0.00–0.410.00–0.410.00–0.82
GK saves
61%
15%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction3.792.566.35safe2.35–5.221.01–4.123.36–9.34safer1.96–5.610.58–4.542.54–10.15
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.07 0.11–2.04 0.00–2.29 | 2.23 1.38–3.09 1.15–3.31 | 3.31 1.48–5.13 1.00–5.61 | 17% 19% 64% |
| Shots on target | 3.83 1.97–5.70 1.48–6.19 | 5.95 4.21–7.70 3.74–8.16 | 9.79 6.18–13.39 5.23–14.35 | 20% 70% |
| Total shots | 12.62 8.70–16.55 7.61–17.64 | 16.07 12.51–19.63 11.55–20.59 | 28.69 21.21–36.18 19.16–38.23 | 23% 71% |
| Shots in box | 6.86 3.92–9.81 3.09–10.63 | 11.16 8.48–13.84 7.74–14.58 | 18.02 12.40–23.64 10.83–25.21 | 82% |
| Blocked shots | 3.31 1.43–5.19 0.88–5.74 | 3.97 2.32–5.63 1.83–6.12 | 7.28 3.75–10.82 2.71–11.85 | 33% 15% 52% |
| Corners | 4.38 2.16–6.59 1.59–7.16 | 6.05 4.05–8.05 3.52–8.58 | 10.43 6.21–14.64 5.11–15.75 | 25% 64% |
| Possession % | 38.51 31.72–45.30 30.05–46.97 | 62.24 55.45–69.02 53.78–70.69 | — | 91% |
| Passes | 335 268–402 250–420 | 530 464–597 446–614 | 865 731–999 696–1034 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 61.78 57.75–65.81 56.46–67.11 | 75.70 71.37–80.02 70.06–81.33 | — | 96% |
| Fouls | 11.05 8.22–13.89 7.46–14.65 | 11.87 8.92–14.81 8.17–15.56 | 22.92 17.14–28.70 15.63–30.21 | 39% 53% |
| Offsides | 1.39 0.23–2.55 0.00–2.86 | 3.12 2.02–4.21 1.74–4.50 | 4.51 2.26–6.77 1.67–7.35 | 14% 14% 72% |
| Yellow cards | 1.79 0.74–2.84 0.47–3.10 | 1.72 0.59–2.85 0.30–3.14 | 3.51 1.33–5.68 0.77–6.24 | 40% 22% 37% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.19 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.79 2.35–5.22 1.96–5.61 | 2.56 1.01–4.12 0.58–4.54 | 6.35 3.36–9.34 2.54–10.15 | 61% 15% 24% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.