Bundesliga·Regular Season - 11·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 11·Predicted match statistics
Goals
33%
26%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.231.402.63safe0.26–2.200.55–2.260.81–4.45safer0.01–2.450.32–2.480.33–4.93
Shots on target
38%
13%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction4.414.839.24safe2.55–6.273.09–6.575.64–12.85safer2.06–6.762.62–7.044.68–13.80
Total shots
41%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction13.8414.5528.39safe9.91–17.7610.99–18.1120.90–35.88safer8.82–18.8610.03–19.0718.85–37.93
Shots in box
37%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction8.529.3817.89safe5.58–11.466.69–12.0612.27–23.52safer4.75–12.295.96–12.7910.70–25.08
Blocked shots
41%
15%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction3.843.957.79safe1.96–5.722.29–5.604.25–11.32safer1.41–6.271.80–6.093.22–12.36
Corners
35%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction4.785.4610.24safe2.56–6.993.46–7.466.02–14.45safer1.99–7.562.93–7.994.92–15.56
Possession %
37%
58%
homeawayprediction47.8252.33safe41.03–54.6145.54–59.11safer39.36–56.2843.87–60.78
Passes
44%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction380400780safe313–448333–466646–914safer295–466316–484611–949
Pass accuracy %
21%
75%
homeawayprediction63.4169.17safe59.38–67.4464.85–73.50safer58.09–68.7363.54–74.81
Fouls
35%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7613.2024.95safe8.92–14.5910.25–16.1419.17–30.73safer8.16–15.359.50–16.8917.67–32.24
Offsides
39%
22%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.741.713.45safe0.58–2.900.62–2.811.20–5.71safer0.28–3.200.33–3.100.61–6.30
Yellow cards
35%
20%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.942.194.13safe0.89–2.991.06–3.321.95–6.31safer0.63–3.260.77–3.611.39–6.86
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.140.24safe0.00–0.260.00–0.330.00–0.59safer0.00–0.410.00–0.460.00–0.87
GK saves
49%
16%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction3.553.086.63safe2.11–4.981.53–4.643.64–9.62safer1.72–5.371.10–5.062.83–10.44
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.23 0.26–2.20 0.01–2.45 | 1.40 0.55–2.26 0.32–2.48 | 2.63 0.81–4.45 0.33–4.93 | 33% 26% 41% |
| Shots on target | 4.41 2.55–6.27 2.06–6.76 | 4.83 3.09–6.57 2.62–7.04 | 9.24 5.64–12.85 4.68–13.80 | 38% 13% 49% |
| Total shots | 13.84 9.91–17.76 8.82–18.86 | 14.55 10.99–18.11 10.03–19.07 | 28.39 20.90–35.88 18.85–37.93 | 41% 52% |
| Shots in box | 8.52 5.58–11.46 4.75–12.29 | 9.38 6.69–12.06 5.96–12.79 | 17.89 12.27–23.52 10.70–25.08 | 37% 53% |
| Blocked shots | 3.84 1.96–5.72 1.41–6.27 | 3.95 2.29–5.60 1.80–6.09 | 7.79 4.25–11.32 3.22–12.36 | 41% 15% 44% |
| Corners | 4.78 2.56–6.99 1.99–7.56 | 5.46 3.46–7.46 2.93–7.99 | 10.24 6.02–14.45 4.92–15.56 | 35% 52% |
| Possession % | 47.82 41.03–54.61 39.36–56.28 | 52.33 45.54–59.11 43.87–60.78 | — | 37% 58% |
| Passes | 380 313–448 295–466 | 400 333–466 316–484 | 780 646–914 611–949 | 44% 56% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.41 59.38–67.44 58.09–68.73 | 69.17 64.85–73.50 63.54–74.81 | — | 21% 75% |
| Fouls | 11.76 8.92–14.59 8.16–15.35 | 13.20 10.25–16.14 9.50–16.89 | 24.95 19.17–30.73 17.67–32.24 | 35% 57% |
| Offsides | 1.74 0.58–2.90 0.28–3.20 | 1.71 0.62–2.81 0.33–3.10 | 3.45 1.20–5.71 0.61–6.30 | 39% 22% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.94 0.89–2.99 0.63–3.26 | 2.19 1.06–3.32 0.77–3.61 | 4.13 1.95–6.31 1.39–6.86 | 35% 20% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.46 | 0.24 0.00–0.59 0.00–0.87 | 80% |
| GK saves | 3.55 2.11–4.98 1.72–5.37 | 3.08 1.53–4.64 1.10–5.06 | 6.63 3.64–9.62 2.83–10.44 | 49% 16% 35% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.