Bundesliga·Regular Season - 17·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 17·Predicted match statistics
Goals
50%
25%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.651.082.73safe0.68–2.610.23–1.940.91–4.55safer0.43–2.870.00–2.170.43–5.03
Shots on target
66%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction5.503.779.27safe3.64–7.362.02–5.515.66–12.87safer3.15–7.851.56–5.974.71–13.83
Total shots
82%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction17.6912.2029.88safe13.76–21.618.63–15.7622.40–37.37safer12.67–22.707.67–16.7220.35–39.42
Shots in box
78%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction11.217.4218.63safe8.27–14.154.74–10.1013.00–24.25safer7.44–14.984.00–10.8411.44–25.82
Blocked shots
56%
13%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction4.573.608.17safe2.69–6.451.95–5.254.63–11.71safer2.14–6.991.46–5.753.60–12.74
Corners
66%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction6.194.3410.53safe3.98–8.402.34–6.346.32–14.74safer3.40–8.981.81–6.875.21–15.85
Possession %
68%
27%
homeawayprediction54.6845.57safe47.89–61.4738.79–52.36safer46.22–63.1437.11–54.03
Passes
76%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction428342770safe361–495275–408636–904safer343–513258–426601–939
Pass accuracy %
60%
35%
homeawayprediction67.2964.78safe63.26–71.3260.45–69.10safer61.97–72.6159.14–70.41
Fouls
50%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction12.4711.9824.45safe9.63–15.309.04–14.9318.67–30.23safer8.87–16.068.29–15.6717.16–31.73
Offsides
40%
22%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.781.743.52safe0.62–2.940.65–2.841.27–5.78safer0.32–3.240.36–3.120.68–6.37
Yellow cards
36%
20%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.012.244.25safe0.96–3.061.11–3.362.07–6.43safer0.70–3.330.82–3.661.51–6.98
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.130.24safe0.00–0.280.00–0.310.00–0.59safer0.00–0.430.00–0.450.00–0.87
GK saves
26%
15%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction2.603.686.28safe1.16–4.032.12–5.243.28–9.27safer0.77–4.421.70–5.662.47–10.08
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.65 0.68–2.61 0.43–2.87 | 1.08 0.23–1.94 0.00–2.17 | 2.73 0.91–4.55 0.43–5.03 | 50% 25% 25% |
| Shots on target | 5.50 3.64–7.36 3.15–7.85 | 3.77 2.02–5.51 1.56–5.97 | 9.27 5.66–12.87 4.71–13.83 | 66% 23% |
| Total shots | 17.69 13.76–21.61 12.67–22.70 | 12.20 8.63–15.76 7.67–16.72 | 29.88 22.40–37.37 20.35–39.42 | 82% 14% |
| Shots in box | 11.21 8.27–14.15 7.44–14.98 | 7.42 4.74–10.10 4.00–10.84 | 18.63 13.00–24.25 11.44–25.82 | 78% 16% |
| Blocked shots | 4.57 2.69–6.45 2.14–6.99 | 3.60 1.95–5.25 1.46–5.75 | 8.17 4.63–11.71 3.60–12.74 | 56% 13% 30% |
| Corners | 6.19 3.98–8.40 3.40–8.98 | 4.34 2.34–6.34 1.81–6.87 | 10.53 6.32–14.74 5.21–15.85 | 66% 23% |
| Possession % | 54.68 47.89–61.47 46.22–63.14 | 45.57 38.79–52.36 37.11–54.03 | — | 68% 27% |
| Passes | 428 361–495 343–513 | 342 275–408 258–426 | 770 636–904 601–939 | 76% 23% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.29 63.26–71.32 61.97–72.61 | 64.78 60.45–69.10 59.14–70.41 | — | 60% 35% |
| Fouls | 12.47 9.63–15.30 8.87–16.06 | 11.98 9.04–14.93 8.29–15.67 | 24.45 18.67–30.23 17.16–31.73 | 50% 42% |
| Offsides | 1.78 0.62–2.94 0.32–3.24 | 1.74 0.65–2.84 0.36–3.12 | 3.52 1.27–5.78 0.68–6.37 | 40% 22% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 2.01 0.96–3.06 0.70–3.33 | 2.24 1.11–3.36 0.82–3.66 | 4.25 2.07–6.43 1.51–6.98 | 36% 20% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.13 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.45 | 0.24 0.00–0.59 0.00–0.87 | 80% |
| GK saves | 2.60 1.16–4.03 0.77–4.42 | 3.68 2.12–5.24 1.70–5.66 | 6.28 3.28–9.27 2.47–10.08 | 26% 15% 59% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.