Bundesliga·Regular Season - 12·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 12·Predicted match statistics
Goals
72%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction2.460.883.34safe1.50–3.430.02–1.731.52–5.17safer1.24–3.680.00–1.961.04–5.65
Shots on target
84%
homeawaytotalprediction6.713.149.85safe4.84–8.571.40–4.886.24–13.45safer4.35–9.060.93–5.355.29–14.41
Total shots
94%
homeawaytotalprediction19.2810.5429.82safe15.35–23.206.98–14.1022.33–37.30safer14.26–24.296.02–15.0620.28–39.35
Shots in box
91%
homeawaytotalprediction12.786.4019.19safe9.84–15.733.72–9.0813.56–24.81safer9.01–16.562.99–9.8212.00–26.38
Blocked shots
74%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction5.353.018.37safe3.47–7.231.36–4.674.83–11.90safer2.93–7.780.87–5.163.80–12.94
Corners
87%
homeawaytotalprediction7.433.2410.68safe5.22–9.651.24–5.246.47–14.89safer4.65–10.220.71–5.785.36–16.00
Possession %
93%
homeawayprediction62.4437.00safe55.65–69.2330.21–43.78safer53.98–70.9028.54–45.46
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction601330931safe533–668264–397797–1065safer515–686246–414762–1100
Pass accuracy %
84%
homeawayprediction75.3667.11safe71.33–79.3962.78–71.43safer70.03–80.6861.48–72.74
Fouls
28%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction10.8713.2424.11safe8.03–13.7010.30–16.1918.33–29.89safer7.27–14.469.55–16.9316.82–31.39
Offsides
39%
22%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.741.733.47safe0.58–2.900.64–2.821.21–5.72safer0.28–3.200.35–3.110.63–6.31
Yellow cards
29%
21%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.652.173.82safe0.60–2.701.04–3.301.64–6.00safer0.33–2.960.75–3.591.09–6.56
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.110.17safe0.00–0.220.00–0.290.00–0.52safer0.00–0.370.00–0.430.00–0.80
GK saves
18%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction2.354.196.54safe0.91–3.782.64–5.753.55–9.53safer0.52–4.172.21–6.172.74–10.35
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.46 1.50–3.43 1.24–3.68 | 0.88 0.02–1.73 0.00–1.96 | 3.34 1.52–5.17 1.04–5.65 | 72% 16% |
| Shots on target | 6.71 4.84–8.57 4.35–9.06 | 3.14 1.40–4.88 0.93–5.35 | 9.85 6.24–13.45 5.29–14.41 | 84% |
| Total shots | 19.28 15.35–23.20 14.26–24.29 | 10.54 6.98–14.10 6.02–15.06 | 29.82 22.33–37.30 20.28–39.35 | 94% |
| Shots in box | 12.78 9.84–15.73 9.01–16.56 | 6.40 3.72–9.08 2.99–9.82 | 19.19 13.56–24.81 12.00–26.38 | 91% |
| Blocked shots | 5.35 3.47–7.23 2.93–7.78 | 3.01 1.36–4.67 0.87–5.16 | 8.37 4.83–11.90 3.80–12.94 | 74% 16% |
| Corners | 7.43 5.22–9.65 4.65–10.22 | 3.24 1.24–5.24 0.71–5.78 | 10.68 6.47–14.89 5.36–16.00 | 87% |
| Possession % | 62.44 55.65–69.23 53.98–70.90 | 37.00 30.21–43.78 28.54–45.46 | — | 93% |
| Passes | 601 533–668 515–686 | 330 264–397 246–414 | 931 797–1065 762–1100 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.36 71.33–79.39 70.03–80.68 | 67.11 62.78–71.43 61.48–72.74 | — | 84% |
| Fouls | 10.87 8.03–13.70 7.27–14.46 | 13.24 10.30–16.19 9.55–16.93 | 24.11 18.33–29.89 16.82–31.39 | 28% 65% |
| Offsides | 1.74 0.58–2.90 0.28–3.20 | 1.73 0.64–2.82 0.35–3.11 | 3.47 1.21–5.72 0.63–6.31 | 39% 22% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 1.65 0.60–2.70 0.33–2.96 | 2.17 1.04–3.30 0.75–3.59 | 3.82 1.64–6.00 1.09–6.56 | 29% 21% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.35 0.91–3.78 0.52–4.17 | 4.19 2.64–5.75 2.21–6.17 | 6.54 3.55–9.53 2.74–10.35 | 18% 70% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+