Bundesliga·Regular Season - 12·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 12·Predicted match statistics
Goals
32%
25%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.321.552.87safe0.35–2.290.70–2.411.05–4.69safer0.10–2.540.47–2.630.57–5.17
Shots on target
40%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction4.775.059.82safe2.91–6.633.31–6.796.21–13.42safer2.42–7.122.84–7.265.26–14.38
Total shots
55%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction15.2514.1229.36safe11.32–19.1710.55–17.6821.88–36.85safer10.23–20.269.59–18.6419.82–38.90
Shots in box
41%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction8.969.4518.41safe6.02–11.906.77–12.1312.79–24.03safer5.19–12.736.03–12.8711.22–25.60
Blocked shots
43%
14%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction4.164.188.34safe2.28–6.042.52–5.834.80–11.87safer1.73–6.592.03–6.323.77–12.91
Corners
50%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction5.494.9910.48safe3.28–7.712.99–6.996.27–14.69safer2.71–8.282.45–7.525.16–15.80
Possession %
22%
74%
homeawayprediction44.4856.37safe37.69–51.2749.59–63.16safer36.02–52.9447.92–64.83
Passes
20%
80%
homeawaytotalprediction374476850safe307–441409–542716–983safer288–459392–560680–1019
Pass accuracy %
14%
83%
homeawayprediction64.6972.67safe60.66–68.7268.34–76.99safer59.37–70.0167.03–78.30
Fouls
49%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1111.7523.87safe9.28–14.958.81–14.7018.08–29.65safer8.52–15.718.06–15.4516.58–31.15
Offsides
36%
23%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.621.753.37safe0.46–2.780.66–2.851.12–5.62safer0.16–3.080.37–3.130.53–6.21
Yellow cards
38%
20%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction2.002.114.11safe0.95–3.050.98–3.241.93–6.28safer0.68–3.310.69–3.531.37–6.84
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.100.20safe0.00–0.260.00–0.290.00–0.55safer0.00–0.410.00–0.420.00–0.83
GK saves
47%
16%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction3.443.116.56safe2.01–4.881.56–4.673.56–9.55safer1.62–5.271.13–5.102.75–10.36
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.32 0.35–2.29 0.10–2.54 | 1.55 0.70–2.41 0.47–2.63 | 2.87 1.05–4.69 0.57–5.17 | 32% 25% 43% |
| Shots on target | 4.77 2.91–6.63 2.42–7.12 | 5.05 3.31–6.79 2.84–7.26 | 9.82 6.21–13.42 5.26–14.38 | 40% 47% |
| Total shots | 15.25 11.32–19.17 10.23–20.26 | 14.12 10.55–17.68 9.59–18.64 | 29.36 21.88–36.85 19.82–38.90 | 55% 38% |
| Shots in box | 8.96 6.02–11.90 5.19–12.73 | 9.45 6.77–12.13 6.03–12.87 | 18.41 12.79–24.03 11.22–25.60 | 41% 50% |
| Blocked shots | 4.16 2.28–6.04 1.73–6.59 | 4.18 2.52–5.83 2.03–6.32 | 8.34 4.80–11.87 3.77–12.91 | 43% 14% 43% |
| Corners | 5.49 3.28–7.71 2.71–8.28 | 4.99 2.99–6.99 2.45–7.52 | 10.48 6.27–14.69 5.16–15.80 | 50% 38% |
| Possession % | 44.48 37.69–51.27 36.02–52.94 | 56.37 49.59–63.16 47.92–64.83 | — | 22% 74% |
| Passes | 374 307–441 288–459 | 476 409–542 392–560 | 850 716–983 680–1019 | 20% 80% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.69 60.66–68.72 59.37–70.01 | 72.67 68.34–76.99 67.03–78.30 | — | 14% 83% |
| Fouls | 12.11 9.28–14.95 8.52–15.71 | 11.75 8.81–14.70 8.06–15.45 | 23.87 18.08–29.65 16.58–31.15 | 49% 43% |
| Offsides | 1.62 0.46–2.78 0.16–3.08 | 1.75 0.66–2.85 0.37–3.13 | 3.37 1.12–5.62 0.53–6.21 | 36% 23% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 2.00 0.95–3.05 0.68–3.31 | 2.11 0.98–3.24 0.69–3.53 | 4.11 1.93–6.28 1.37–6.84 | 38% 20% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 82% |
| GK saves | 3.44 2.01–4.88 1.62–5.27 | 3.11 1.56–4.67 1.13–5.10 | 6.56 3.56–9.55 2.75–10.36 | 47% 16% 37% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+