Bundesliga·Regular Season - 13·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 13·Predicted match statistics
Goals
68%
18%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction2.350.983.32safe1.38–3.310.12–1.831.50–5.15safer1.13–3.560.00–2.061.02–5.63
Shots on target
86%
homeawaytotalprediction6.802.929.72safe4.94–8.661.18–4.666.12–13.33safer4.45–9.150.71–5.135.16–14.28
Total shots
98%
homeawaytotalprediction18.627.7926.41safe14.69–22.544.23–11.3518.92–33.90safer13.60–23.643.27–12.3116.87–35.95
Shots in box
96%
homeawaytotalprediction12.775.0517.82safe9.83–15.712.37–7.7312.19–23.44safer9.00–16.541.63–8.4710.63–25.01
Blocked shots
81%
homeawaytotalprediction5.242.367.60safe3.36–7.130.71–4.014.07–11.14safer2.82–7.670.21–4.503.03–12.17
Corners
89%
homeawaytotalprediction7.403.0410.44safe5.18–9.611.04–5.046.23–14.65safer4.61–10.180.51–5.585.12–15.76
Possession %
86%
homeawayprediction59.6740.09safe52.88–66.4633.31–46.88safer51.21–68.1331.64–48.55
Passes
94%
homeawaytotalprediction546358904safe479–614292–424771–1038safer461–632274–442735–1074
Pass accuracy %
84%
13%
homeawayprediction76.2168.11safe72.18–80.2463.78–72.43safer70.88–81.5362.47–73.74
Fouls
36%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction10.5611.7922.36safe7.73–13.408.85–14.7416.57–28.14safer6.97–14.168.10–15.4915.07–29.64
Offsides
30%
22%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.542.013.55safe0.38–2.700.92–3.101.29–5.80safer0.08–3.000.63–3.390.71–6.39
Yellow cards
22%
21%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction1.252.083.33safe0.20–2.300.96–3.211.15–5.51safer0.00–2.560.66–3.500.60–6.07
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.100.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.420.00–0.78
GK saves
77%
homeawaytotalprediction2.014.396.39safe0.57–3.442.83–5.943.40–9.39safer0.18–3.832.41–6.372.59–10.20
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.35 1.38–3.31 1.13–3.56 | 0.98 0.12–1.83 0.00–2.06 | 3.32 1.50–5.15 1.02–5.63 | 68% 18% 14% |
| Shots on target | 6.80 4.94–8.66 4.45–9.15 | 2.92 1.18–4.66 0.71–5.13 | 9.72 6.12–13.33 5.16–14.28 | 86% |
| Total shots | 18.62 14.69–22.54 13.60–23.64 | 7.79 4.23–11.35 3.27–12.31 | 26.41 18.92–33.90 16.87–35.95 | 98% |
| Shots in box | 12.77 9.83–15.71 9.00–16.54 | 5.05 2.37–7.73 1.63–8.47 | 17.82 12.19–23.44 10.63–25.01 | 96% |
| Blocked shots | 5.24 3.36–7.13 2.82–7.67 | 2.36 0.71–4.01 0.21–4.50 | 7.60 4.07–11.14 3.03–12.17 | 81% |
| Corners | 7.40 5.18–9.61 4.61–10.18 | 3.04 1.04–5.04 0.51–5.58 | 10.44 6.23–14.65 5.12–15.76 | 89% |
| Possession % | 59.67 52.88–66.46 51.21–68.13 | 40.09 33.31–46.88 31.64–48.55 | — | 86% |
| Passes | 546 479–614 461–632 | 358 292–424 274–442 | 904 771–1038 735–1074 | 94% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.21 72.18–80.24 70.88–81.53 | 68.11 63.78–72.43 62.47–73.74 | — | 84% 13% |
| Fouls | 10.56 7.73–13.40 6.97–14.16 | 11.79 8.85–14.74 8.10–15.49 | 22.36 16.57–28.14 15.07–29.64 | 36% 56% |
| Offsides | 1.54 0.38–2.70 0.08–3.00 | 2.01 0.92–3.10 0.63–3.39 | 3.55 1.29–5.80 0.71–6.39 | 30% 22% 49% |
| Yellow cards | 1.25 0.20–2.30 0.00–2.56 | 2.08 0.96–3.21 0.66–3.50 | 3.33 1.15–5.51 0.60–6.07 | 22% 21% 57% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.01 0.57–3.44 0.18–3.83 | 4.39 2.83–5.94 2.41–6.37 | 6.39 3.40–9.39 2.59–10.20 | 77% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+