Bundesliga·Regular Season - 13·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 13·Predicted match statistics
Goals
35%
25%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.351.462.81safe0.38–2.320.61–2.310.99–4.63safer0.13–2.570.38–2.540.51–5.11
Shots on target
46%
13%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction4.784.609.38safe2.92–6.652.86–6.345.78–12.99safer2.43–7.132.39–6.814.82–13.94
Total shots
64%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction15.1112.7727.88safe11.19–19.049.21–16.3320.40–35.37safer10.10–20.138.25–17.2918.35–37.42
Shots in box
47%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction9.259.1018.35safe6.31–12.196.42–11.7812.73–23.98safer5.48–13.025.68–12.5211.16–25.54
Blocked shots
51%
14%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction4.183.637.81safe2.30–6.061.98–5.284.27–11.34safer1.76–6.611.48–5.773.24–12.38
Corners
44%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction5.035.0310.06safe2.81–7.243.03–7.035.85–14.27safer2.24–7.812.50–7.574.74–15.38
Possession %
43%
52%
homeawayprediction48.8850.91safe42.09–55.6744.13–57.70safer40.42–57.3442.46–59.37
Passes
44%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction411430841safe344–478363–496707–975safer326–497346–514672–1010
Pass accuracy %
37%
58%
homeawayprediction66.3968.51safe62.36–70.4264.19–72.84safer61.07–71.7162.88–74.15
Fouls
46%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7211.6823.41safe8.88–14.568.74–14.6317.62–29.19safer8.13–15.327.99–15.3816.12–30.69
Offsides
41%
23%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.761.663.42safe0.60–2.920.57–2.751.16–5.67safer0.30–3.220.28–3.040.58–6.26
Yellow cards
40%
20%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.132.144.27safe1.08–3.181.01–3.272.09–6.45safer0.81–3.440.72–3.561.53–7.00
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.130.23safe0.00–0.260.00–0.320.00–0.58safer0.00–0.410.00–0.450.00–0.86
GK saves
43%
16%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction3.243.176.41safe1.80–4.671.61–4.733.42–9.40safer1.41–5.061.19–5.152.60–10.21
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.35 0.38–2.32 0.13–2.57 | 1.46 0.61–2.31 0.38–2.54 | 2.81 0.99–4.63 0.51–5.11 | 35% 25% 40% |
| Shots on target | 4.78 2.92–6.65 2.43–7.13 | 4.60 2.86–6.34 2.39–6.81 | 9.38 5.78–12.99 4.82–13.94 | 46% 13% 41% |
| Total shots | 15.11 11.19–19.04 10.10–20.13 | 12.77 9.21–16.33 8.25–17.29 | 27.88 20.40–35.37 18.35–37.42 | 64% 29% |
| Shots in box | 9.25 6.31–12.19 5.48–13.02 | 9.10 6.42–11.78 5.68–12.52 | 18.35 12.73–23.98 11.16–25.54 | 47% 44% |
| Blocked shots | 4.18 2.30–6.06 1.76–6.61 | 3.63 1.98–5.28 1.48–5.77 | 7.81 4.27–11.34 3.24–12.38 | 51% 14% 35% |
| Corners | 5.03 2.81–7.24 2.24–7.81 | 5.03 3.03–7.03 2.50–7.57 | 10.06 5.85–14.27 4.74–15.38 | 44% 44% |
| Possession % | 48.88 42.09–55.67 40.42–57.34 | 50.91 44.13–57.70 42.46–59.37 | — | 43% 52% |
| Passes | 411 344–478 326–497 | 430 363–496 346–514 | 841 707–975 672–1010 | 44% 56% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.39 62.36–70.42 61.07–71.71 | 68.51 64.19–72.84 62.88–74.15 | — | 37% 58% |
| Fouls | 11.72 8.88–14.56 8.13–15.32 | 11.68 8.74–14.63 7.99–15.38 | 23.41 17.62–29.19 16.12–30.69 | 46% 46% |
| Offsides | 1.76 0.60–2.92 0.30–3.22 | 1.66 0.57–2.75 0.28–3.04 | 3.42 1.16–5.67 0.58–6.26 | 41% 23% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 2.13 1.08–3.18 0.81–3.44 | 2.14 1.01–3.27 0.72–3.56 | 4.27 2.09–6.45 1.53–7.00 | 40% 20% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.23 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.86 | 81% |
| GK saves | 3.24 1.80–4.67 1.41–5.06 | 3.17 1.61–4.73 1.19–5.15 | 6.41 3.42–9.40 2.60–10.21 | 43% 16% 41% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.