Bundesliga·Regular Season - 14·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 14·Predicted match statistics
Goals
40%
27%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.321.192.51safe0.35–2.290.33–2.040.68–4.33safer0.10–2.540.10–2.270.20–4.81
Shots on target
48%
14%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction4.173.817.99safe2.31–6.042.07–5.564.38–11.59safer1.82–6.531.61–6.023.43–12.55
Total shots
50%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2211.6823.90safe8.30–16.158.12–15.2416.42–31.39safer7.20–17.247.16–16.2014.36–33.44
Shots in box
52%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction8.307.5515.85safe5.36–11.244.87–10.2310.23–21.48safer4.53–12.074.13–10.978.66–23.04
Blocked shots
52%
15%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction3.663.056.71safe1.78–5.551.40–4.703.18–10.25safer1.24–6.090.91–5.202.14–11.29
Corners
41%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction4.835.009.84safe2.62–7.053.00–7.005.62–14.05safer2.05–7.622.47–7.544.52–15.16
Possession %
41%
55%
homeawayprediction49.1052.12safe42.31–55.8945.33–58.90safer40.64–57.5643.66–60.57
Passes
43%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction395417812safe328–462351–483678–946safer309–480333–501643–981
Pass accuracy %
25%
71%
homeawayprediction65.6270.32safe61.59–69.6565.99–74.64safer60.30–70.9464.69–75.95
Fouls
54%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction13.1712.1925.35safe10.33–16.009.24–15.1319.57–31.14safer9.57–16.768.49–15.8818.07–32.64
Offsides
39%
25%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.461.422.88safe0.30–2.620.32–2.510.63–5.13safer0.00–2.930.03–2.800.04–5.72
Yellow cards
44%
20%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction2.302.114.42safe1.25–3.350.98–3.242.24–6.59safer0.99–3.620.69–3.531.68–7.15
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.100.19safe0.00–0.250.00–0.290.00–0.54safer0.00–0.400.00–0.420.00–0.82
GK saves
37%
17%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction2.692.995.68safe1.26–4.131.44–4.552.69–8.68safer0.87–4.521.01–4.971.88–9.49
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.32 0.35–2.29 0.10–2.54 | 1.19 0.33–2.04 0.10–2.27 | 2.51 0.68–4.33 0.20–4.81 | 40% 27% 33% |
| Shots on target | 4.17 2.31–6.04 1.82–6.53 | 3.81 2.07–5.56 1.61–6.02 | 7.99 4.38–11.59 3.43–12.55 | 48% 14% 38% |
| Total shots | 12.22 8.30–16.15 7.20–17.24 | 11.68 8.12–15.24 7.16–16.20 | 23.90 16.42–31.39 14.36–33.44 | 50% 42% |
| Shots in box | 8.30 5.36–11.24 4.53–12.07 | 7.55 4.87–10.23 4.13–10.97 | 15.85 10.23–21.48 8.66–23.04 | 52% 38% |
| Blocked shots | 3.66 1.78–5.55 1.24–6.09 | 3.05 1.40–4.70 0.91–5.20 | 6.71 3.18–10.25 2.14–11.29 | 52% 15% 33% |
| Corners | 4.83 2.62–7.05 2.05–7.62 | 5.00 3.00–7.00 2.47–7.54 | 9.84 5.62–14.05 4.52–15.16 | 41% 46% |
| Possession % | 49.10 42.31–55.89 40.64–57.56 | 52.12 45.33–58.90 43.66–60.57 | — | 41% 55% |
| Passes | 395 328–462 309–480 | 417 351–483 333–501 | 812 678–946 643–981 | 43% 57% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.62 61.59–69.65 60.30–70.94 | 70.32 65.99–74.64 64.69–75.95 | — | 25% 71% |
| Fouls | 13.17 10.33–16.00 9.57–16.76 | 12.19 9.24–15.13 8.49–15.88 | 25.35 19.57–31.14 18.07–32.64 | 54% 38% |
| Offsides | 1.46 0.30–2.62 0.00–2.93 | 1.42 0.32–2.51 0.03–2.80 | 2.88 0.63–5.13 0.04–5.72 | 39% 25% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 2.30 1.25–3.35 0.99–3.62 | 2.11 0.98–3.24 0.69–3.53 | 4.42 2.24–6.59 1.68–7.15 | 44% 20% 37% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.69 1.26–4.13 0.87–4.52 | 2.99 1.44–4.55 1.01–4.97 | 5.68 2.69–8.68 1.88–9.49 | 37% 17% 46% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+