Bundesliga·Regular Season - 15·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 15·Predicted match statistics
Goals
40%
25%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.491.392.88safe0.52–2.460.53–2.241.06–4.70safer0.27–2.710.31–2.470.58–5.18
Shots on target
51%
14%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction4.614.068.67safe2.75–6.482.32–5.805.07–12.28safer2.26–6.971.85–6.274.11–13.23
Total shots
57%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction13.1911.8124.99safe9.26–17.118.24–15.3717.51–32.48safer8.17–18.207.28–16.3315.46–34.53
Shots in box
55%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction8.567.5816.13safe5.62–11.504.89–10.2610.51–21.76safer4.79–12.334.16–10.998.94–23.32
Blocked shots
54%
15%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction3.732.946.67safe1.85–5.611.29–4.593.14–10.21safer1.31–6.160.79–5.082.10–11.24
Corners
56%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction5.474.499.96safe3.25–7.682.49–6.495.75–14.17safer2.68–8.251.96–7.034.64–15.28
Possession %
68%
28%
homeawayprediction54.9146.02safe48.12–61.7039.24–52.81safer46.45–63.3737.56–54.48
Passes
82%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction479368847safe412–546301–434713–981safer394–565284–452678–1017
Pass accuracy %
59%
36%
homeawayprediction70.0767.85safe66.05–74.1063.53–72.18safer64.75–75.4062.22–73.49
Fouls
44%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6911.9523.64safe8.86–14.539.00–14.8917.86–29.42safer8.10–15.298.26–15.6416.36–30.93
Offsides
43%
24%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.581.362.94safe0.42–2.740.26–2.450.69–5.19safer0.12–3.040.00–2.740.10–5.78
Yellow cards
35%
21%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.792.033.82safe0.74–2.840.91–3.161.64–6.00safer0.47–3.100.61–3.451.09–6.56
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.100.19safe0.00–0.250.00–0.280.00–0.53safer0.00–0.400.00–0.420.00–0.82
GK saves
36%
17%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction2.763.115.87safe1.32–4.201.55–4.672.88–8.86safer0.94–4.581.13–5.092.06–9.67
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.49 0.52–2.46 0.27–2.71 | 1.39 0.53–2.24 0.31–2.47 | 2.88 1.06–4.70 0.58–5.18 | 40% 25% 35% |
| Shots on target | 4.61 2.75–6.48 2.26–6.97 | 4.06 2.32–5.80 1.85–6.27 | 8.67 5.07–12.28 4.11–13.23 | 51% 14% 36% |
| Total shots | 13.19 9.26–17.11 8.17–18.20 | 11.81 8.24–15.37 7.28–16.33 | 24.99 17.51–32.48 15.46–34.53 | 57% 35% |
| Shots in box | 8.56 5.62–11.50 4.79–12.33 | 7.58 4.89–10.26 4.16–10.99 | 16.13 10.51–21.76 8.94–23.32 | 55% 36% |
| Blocked shots | 3.73 1.85–5.61 1.31–6.16 | 2.94 1.29–4.59 0.79–5.08 | 6.67 3.14–10.21 2.10–11.24 | 54% 15% 31% |
| Corners | 5.47 3.25–7.68 2.68–8.25 | 4.49 2.49–6.49 1.96–7.03 | 9.96 5.75–14.17 4.64–15.28 | 56% 32% |
| Possession % | 54.91 48.12–61.70 46.45–63.37 | 46.02 39.24–52.81 37.56–54.48 | — | 68% 28% |
| Passes | 479 412–546 394–565 | 368 301–434 284–452 | 847 713–981 678–1017 | 82% 18% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.07 66.05–74.10 64.75–75.40 | 67.85 63.53–72.18 62.22–73.49 | — | 59% 36% |
| Fouls | 11.69 8.86–14.53 8.10–15.29 | 11.95 9.00–14.89 8.26–15.64 | 23.64 17.86–29.42 16.36–30.93 | 44% 48% |
| Offsides | 1.58 0.42–2.74 0.12–3.04 | 1.36 0.26–2.45 0.00–2.74 | 2.94 0.69–5.19 0.10–5.78 | 43% 24% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.79 0.74–2.84 0.47–3.10 | 2.03 0.91–3.16 0.61–3.45 | 3.82 1.64–6.00 1.09–6.56 | 35% 21% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.19 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.76 1.32–4.20 0.94–4.58 | 3.11 1.55–4.67 1.13–5.09 | 5.87 2.88–8.86 2.06–9.67 | 36% 17% 47% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+