Bundesliga·Regular Season - 17·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 17·Predicted match statistics
Goals
48%
26%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction1.501.012.51safe0.53–2.470.16–1.870.69–4.34safer0.28–2.720.00–2.100.21–4.82
Shots on target
58%
13%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction4.603.518.10safe2.73–6.461.77–5.254.50–11.71safer2.25–6.951.30–5.723.54–12.67
Total shots
68%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8810.1022.98safe8.95–16.806.54–13.6615.49–30.46safer7.86–17.895.58–14.6213.44–32.51
Shots in box
71%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction9.046.3715.41safe6.10–11.983.69–9.059.79–21.03safer5.27–12.812.95–9.798.22–22.60
Blocked shots
64%
14%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction3.892.486.37safe2.01–5.770.83–4.132.84–9.91safer1.46–6.310.34–4.631.80–10.94
Corners
70%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction5.963.809.76safe3.74–8.171.80–5.805.55–13.97safer3.17–8.741.27–6.344.44–15.08
Possession %
70%
26%
homeawayprediction54.8545.18safe48.06–61.6438.39–51.96safer46.39–63.3136.72–53.63
Passes
83%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction482369851safe415–549302–435717–984safer397–568285–453681–1020
Pass accuracy %
49%
46%
homeawayprediction67.5167.15safe63.48–71.5462.82–71.47safer62.19–72.8361.51–72.78
Fouls
37%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3412.4223.76safe8.51–14.189.47–15.3617.98–29.54safer7.75–14.948.72–16.1116.47–31.05
Offsides
40%
24%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.541.463.00safe0.38–2.700.36–2.550.74–5.25safer0.08–3.000.07–2.840.15–5.84
Yellow cards
35%
20%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction2.002.274.27safe0.95–3.051.14–3.402.09–6.45safer0.68–3.310.85–3.691.53–7.00
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.110.19safe0.00–0.250.00–0.300.00–0.54safer0.00–0.400.00–0.430.00–0.82
GK saves
29%
16%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction2.393.215.59safe0.95–3.821.65–4.762.60–8.58safer0.56–4.211.22–5.191.79–9.40
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.50 0.53–2.47 0.28–2.72 | 1.01 0.16–1.87 0.00–2.10 | 2.51 0.69–4.34 0.21–4.82 | 48% 26% 26% |
| Shots on target | 4.60 2.73–6.46 2.25–6.95 | 3.51 1.77–5.25 1.30–5.72 | 8.10 4.50–11.71 3.54–12.67 | 58% 13% 29% |
| Total shots | 12.88 8.95–16.80 7.86–17.89 | 10.10 6.54–13.66 5.58–14.62 | 22.98 15.49–30.46 13.44–32.51 | 68% 25% |
| Shots in box | 9.04 6.10–11.98 5.27–12.81 | 6.37 3.69–9.05 2.95–9.79 | 15.41 9.79–21.03 8.22–22.60 | 71% 21% |
| Blocked shots | 3.89 2.01–5.77 1.46–6.31 | 2.48 0.83–4.13 0.34–4.63 | 6.37 2.84–9.91 1.80–10.94 | 64% 14% 22% |
| Corners | 5.96 3.74–8.17 3.17–8.74 | 3.80 1.80–5.80 1.27–6.34 | 9.76 5.55–13.97 4.44–15.08 | 70% 20% |
| Possession % | 54.85 48.06–61.64 46.39–63.31 | 45.18 38.39–51.96 36.72–53.63 | — | 70% 26% |
| Passes | 482 415–549 397–568 | 369 302–435 285–453 | 851 717–984 681–1020 | 83% 17% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.51 63.48–71.54 62.19–72.83 | 67.15 62.82–71.47 61.51–72.78 | — | 49% 46% |
| Fouls | 11.34 8.51–14.18 7.75–14.94 | 12.42 9.47–15.36 8.72–16.11 | 23.76 17.98–29.54 16.47–31.05 | 37% 55% |
| Offsides | 1.54 0.38–2.70 0.08–3.00 | 1.46 0.36–2.55 0.07–2.84 | 3.00 0.74–5.25 0.15–5.84 | 40% 24% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 2.00 0.95–3.05 0.68–3.31 | 2.27 1.14–3.40 0.85–3.69 | 4.27 2.09–6.45 1.53–7.00 | 35% 20% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.39 0.95–3.82 0.56–4.21 | 3.21 1.65–4.76 1.22–5.19 | 5.59 2.60–8.58 1.79–9.40 | 29% 16% 55% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.