Bundesliga·Regular Season - 18·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 18·Predicted match statistics
Goals
51%
25%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction1.631.032.66safe0.66–2.600.17–1.880.84–4.48safer0.41–2.850.00–2.110.36–4.96
Shots on target
61%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction4.913.618.52safe3.05–6.771.86–5.354.91–12.12safer2.56–7.261.40–5.813.96–13.08
Total shots
75%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction14.9911.0626.05safe11.06–18.917.50–14.6218.56–33.54safer9.97–20.016.54–15.5816.51–35.59
Shots in box
71%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction9.616.8816.49safe6.67–12.554.20–9.5610.87–22.12safer5.84–13.383.46–10.309.30–23.68
Blocked shots
47%
15%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction3.663.336.99safe1.78–5.541.68–4.983.46–10.53safer1.23–6.081.19–5.482.42–11.56
Corners
64%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction6.064.3710.43safe3.85–8.282.37–6.376.22–14.64safer3.28–8.851.83–6.905.11–15.75
Possession %
66%
29%
homeawayprediction54.1245.96safe47.33–60.9139.17–52.74safer45.66–62.5837.50–54.41
Passes
69%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction449389838safe382–517323–456705–972safer364–535305–473669–1008
Pass accuracy %
46%
49%
homeawayprediction70.1870.40safe66.15–74.2166.07–74.72safer64.86–75.5064.76–76.03
Fouls
35%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction10.5111.8522.35safe7.67–13.358.90–14.7916.57–28.14safer6.91–14.108.15–15.5415.07–29.64
Offsides
68%
16%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction2.751.324.07safe1.59–3.910.22–2.411.81–6.32safer1.29–4.210.00–2.701.22–6.91
Yellow cards
35%
22%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.671.853.52safe0.62–2.720.72–2.981.34–5.70safer0.36–2.990.43–3.270.79–6.26
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.130.22safe0.00–0.250.00–0.320.00–0.57safer0.00–0.400.00–0.450.00–0.85
GK saves
27%
15%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction2.513.496.00safe1.07–3.951.93–5.043.00–8.99safer0.69–4.331.51–5.472.19–9.80
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.63 0.66–2.60 0.41–2.85 | 1.03 0.17–1.88 0.00–2.11 | 2.66 0.84–4.48 0.36–4.96 | 51% 25% 24% |
| Shots on target | 4.91 3.05–6.77 2.56–7.26 | 3.61 1.86–5.35 1.40–5.81 | 8.52 4.91–12.12 3.96–13.08 | 61% 27% |
| Total shots | 14.99 11.06–18.91 9.97–20.01 | 11.06 7.50–14.62 6.54–15.58 | 26.05 18.56–33.54 16.51–35.59 | 75% 19% |
| Shots in box | 9.61 6.67–12.55 5.84–13.38 | 6.88 4.20–9.56 3.46–10.30 | 16.49 10.87–22.12 9.30–23.68 | 71% 21% |
| Blocked shots | 3.66 1.78–5.54 1.23–6.08 | 3.33 1.68–4.98 1.19–5.48 | 6.99 3.46–10.53 2.42–11.56 | 47% 15% 38% |
| Corners | 6.06 3.85–8.28 3.28–8.85 | 4.37 2.37–6.37 1.83–6.90 | 10.43 6.22–14.64 5.11–15.75 | 64% 25% |
| Possession % | 54.12 47.33–60.91 45.66–62.58 | 45.96 39.17–52.74 37.50–54.41 | — | 66% 29% |
| Passes | 449 382–517 364–535 | 389 323–456 305–473 | 838 705–972 669–1008 | 69% 31% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.18 66.15–74.21 64.86–75.50 | 70.40 66.07–74.72 64.76–76.03 | — | 46% 49% |
| Fouls | 10.51 7.67–13.35 6.91–14.10 | 11.85 8.90–14.79 8.15–15.54 | 22.35 16.57–28.14 15.07–29.64 | 35% 57% |
| Offsides | 2.75 1.59–3.91 1.29–4.21 | 1.32 0.22–2.41 0.00–2.70 | 4.07 1.81–6.32 1.22–6.91 | 68% 16% 16% |
| Yellow cards | 1.67 0.62–2.72 0.36–2.99 | 1.85 0.72–2.98 0.43–3.27 | 3.52 1.34–5.70 0.79–6.26 | 35% 22% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.22 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.51 1.07–3.95 0.69–4.33 | 3.49 1.93–5.04 1.51–5.47 | 6.00 3.00–8.99 2.19–9.80 | 27% 15% 57% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+