Bundesliga·Regular Season - 18·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 18·Predicted match statistics
Goals
62%
21%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction2.030.983.01safe1.06–3.000.13–1.831.19–4.83safer0.81–3.250.00–2.060.71–5.31
Shots on target
70%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction5.993.839.82safe4.13–7.852.09–5.586.22–13.43safer3.64–8.341.62–6.045.26–14.39
Total shots
90%
homeawaytotalprediction18.1110.8328.95safe14.19–22.047.27–14.3921.46–36.43safer13.10–23.136.31–15.3519.41–38.49
Shots in box
83%
homeawaytotalprediction11.436.8118.24safe8.49–14.374.13–9.4912.61–23.86safer7.66–15.203.39–10.2311.05–25.43
Blocked shots
70%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction4.922.957.87safe3.04–6.811.29–4.604.33–11.41safer2.50–7.350.80–5.093.30–12.44
Corners
74%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction6.493.8910.38safe4.28–8.701.89–5.896.16–14.59safer3.70–9.281.35–6.425.05–15.70
Possession %
80%
17%
homeawayprediction57.8242.36safe51.02–64.6135.57–49.14safer49.36–66.2833.90–50.81
Passes
88%
homeawaytotalprediction482341824safe415–550275–408690–957safer397–568257–425654–993
Pass accuracy %
74%
22%
homeawayprediction73.9568.39safe69.92–77.9864.07–72.72safer68.63–79.2762.76–74.03
Fouls
31%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0012.9223.92safe8.16–13.839.98–15.8718.14–29.70safer7.40–14.599.23–16.6116.63–31.20
Offsides
34%
21%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.772.063.83safe0.60–2.930.97–3.161.57–6.08safer0.30–3.230.68–3.440.99–6.67
Yellow cards
28%
20%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.612.233.84safe0.56–2.661.10–3.361.66–6.02safer0.30–2.930.81–3.651.11–6.58
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.120.19safe0.00–0.230.00–0.300.00–0.54safer0.00–0.380.00–0.440.00–0.82
GK saves
25%
15%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction2.603.766.36safe1.17–4.042.21–5.323.37–9.36safer0.78–4.431.78–5.742.56–10.17
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.03 1.06–3.00 0.81–3.25 | 0.98 0.13–1.83 0.00–2.06 | 3.01 1.19–4.83 0.71–5.31 | 62% 21% 17% |
| Shots on target | 5.99 4.13–7.85 3.64–8.34 | 3.83 2.09–5.58 1.62–6.04 | 9.82 6.22–13.43 5.26–14.39 | 70% 20% |
| Total shots | 18.11 14.19–22.04 13.10–23.13 | 10.83 7.27–14.39 6.31–15.35 | 28.95 21.46–36.43 19.41–38.49 | 90% |
| Shots in box | 11.43 8.49–14.37 7.66–15.20 | 6.81 4.13–9.49 3.39–10.23 | 18.24 12.61–23.86 11.05–25.43 | 83% |
| Blocked shots | 4.92 3.04–6.81 2.50–7.35 | 2.95 1.29–4.60 0.80–5.09 | 7.87 4.33–11.41 3.30–12.44 | 70% 19% |
| Corners | 6.49 4.28–8.70 3.70–9.28 | 3.89 1.89–5.89 1.35–6.42 | 10.38 6.16–14.59 5.05–15.70 | 74% 16% |
| Possession % | 57.82 51.02–64.61 49.36–66.28 | 42.36 35.57–49.14 33.90–50.81 | — | 80% 17% |
| Passes | 482 415–550 397–568 | 341 275–408 257–425 | 824 690–957 654–993 | 88% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.95 69.92–77.98 68.63–79.27 | 68.39 64.07–72.72 62.76–74.03 | — | 74% 22% |
| Fouls | 11.00 8.16–13.83 7.40–14.59 | 12.92 9.98–15.87 9.23–16.61 | 23.92 18.14–29.70 16.63–31.20 | 31% 61% |
| Offsides | 1.77 0.60–2.93 0.30–3.23 | 2.06 0.97–3.16 0.68–3.44 | 3.83 1.57–6.08 0.99–6.67 | 34% 21% 45% |
| Yellow cards | 1.61 0.56–2.66 0.30–2.93 | 2.23 1.10–3.36 0.81–3.65 | 3.84 1.66–6.02 1.11–6.58 | 28% 20% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.60 1.17–4.04 0.78–4.43 | 3.76 2.21–5.32 1.78–5.74 | 6.36 3.37–9.36 2.56–10.17 | 25% 15% 60% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.