Bundesliga·Regular Season - 18·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 18·Predicted match statistics
Goals
69%
17%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction2.461.013.47safe1.50–3.430.15–1.861.65–5.29safer1.24–3.680.00–2.091.17–5.77
Shots on target
80%
homeawaytotalprediction6.813.6510.46safe4.94–8.671.91–5.396.85–14.06safer4.45–9.161.44–5.865.90–15.02
Total shots
95%
homeawaytotalprediction19.6610.3329.99safe15.73–23.586.76–13.8922.50–37.47safer14.64–24.675.80–14.8520.45–39.52
Shots in box
86%
homeawaytotalprediction11.876.7418.61safe8.93–14.814.06–9.4212.99–24.24safer8.10–15.643.32–10.1611.42–25.80
Blocked shots
72%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction5.193.018.21safe3.31–7.081.36–4.674.67–11.74safer2.77–7.620.87–5.163.64–12.78
Corners
79%
homeawaytotalprediction7.123.9011.02safe4.90–9.331.90–5.906.81–15.23safer4.33–9.901.37–6.445.70–16.34
Possession %
91%
homeawayprediction61.4737.95safe54.68–68.2631.17–44.74safer53.01–69.9329.50–46.41
Passes
96%
homeawaytotalprediction583369953safe516–651303–436819–1086safer498–669285–453783–1122
Pass accuracy %
78%
18%
homeawayprediction75.0668.53safe71.03–79.0964.20–72.85safer69.74–80.3862.89–74.16
Fouls
35%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction10.1611.4421.61safe7.33–13.008.50–14.3915.82–27.39safer6.57–13.767.75–15.1414.32–28.89
Offsides
48%
23%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.821.373.19safe0.66–2.980.28–2.470.94–5.45safer0.36–3.280.00–2.750.35–6.03
Yellow cards
30%
22%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.541.973.52safe0.49–2.590.85–3.101.34–5.70safer0.23–2.860.55–3.390.78–6.25
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.110.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.52safer0.00–0.380.00–0.430.00–0.80
GK saves
21%
14%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction2.464.006.46safe1.03–3.902.44–5.563.47–9.46safer0.64–4.292.02–5.982.66–10.27
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.46 1.50–3.43 1.24–3.68 | 1.01 0.15–1.86 0.00–2.09 | 3.47 1.65–5.29 1.17–5.77 | 69% 17% 14% |
| Shots on target | 6.81 4.94–8.67 4.45–9.16 | 3.65 1.91–5.39 1.44–5.86 | 10.46 6.85–14.06 5.90–15.02 | 80% |
| Total shots | 19.66 15.73–23.58 14.64–24.67 | 10.33 6.76–13.89 5.80–14.85 | 29.99 22.50–37.47 20.45–39.52 | 95% |
| Shots in box | 11.87 8.93–14.81 8.10–15.64 | 6.74 4.06–9.42 3.32–10.16 | 18.61 12.99–24.24 11.42–25.80 | 86% |
| Blocked shots | 5.19 3.31–7.08 2.77–7.62 | 3.01 1.36–4.67 0.87–5.16 | 8.21 4.67–11.74 3.64–12.78 | 72% 17% |
| Corners | 7.12 4.90–9.33 4.33–9.90 | 3.90 1.90–5.90 1.37–6.44 | 11.02 6.81–15.23 5.70–16.34 | 79% |
| Possession % | 61.47 54.68–68.26 53.01–69.93 | 37.95 31.17–44.74 29.50–46.41 | — | 91% |
| Passes | 583 516–651 498–669 | 369 303–436 285–453 | 953 819–1086 783–1122 | 96% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.06 71.03–79.09 69.74–80.38 | 68.53 64.20–72.85 62.89–74.16 | — | 78% 18% |
| Fouls | 10.16 7.33–13.00 6.57–13.76 | 11.44 8.50–14.39 7.75–15.14 | 21.61 15.82–27.39 14.32–28.89 | 35% 57% |
| Offsides | 1.82 0.66–2.98 0.36–3.28 | 1.37 0.28–2.47 0.00–2.75 | 3.19 0.94–5.45 0.35–6.03 | 48% 23% 29% |
| Yellow cards | 1.54 0.49–2.59 0.23–2.86 | 1.97 0.85–3.10 0.55–3.39 | 3.52 1.34–5.70 0.78–6.25 | 30% 22% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.46 1.03–3.90 0.64–4.29 | 4.00 2.44–5.56 2.02–5.98 | 6.46 3.47–9.46 2.66–10.27 | 21% 14% 66% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.