Predicted match statistics
Goals
43%
26%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.481.232.71safe0.51–2.440.38–2.090.89–4.53safer0.26–2.700.15–2.320.41–5.01
Shots on target
51%
13%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction4.704.138.82safe2.83–6.562.38–5.875.22–12.43safer2.34–7.051.92–6.344.26–13.38
Total shots
62%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction14.6812.5927.27safe10.75–18.609.03–16.1519.78–34.75safer9.66–19.698.07–17.1117.73–36.80
Shots in box
56%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction9.228.1117.33safe6.28–12.165.43–10.7911.71–22.95safer5.45–12.994.69–11.5310.14–24.52
Blocked shots
48%
15%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction3.793.417.21safe1.91–5.681.76–5.073.67–10.74safer1.37–6.221.27–5.562.64–11.78
Corners
49%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction5.124.719.83safe2.91–7.332.71–6.715.62–14.05safer2.33–7.912.18–7.254.51–15.16
Possession %
46%
50%
homeawayprediction49.5650.42safe42.77–56.3543.64–57.21safer41.10–58.0241.96–58.88
Passes
48%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction420424844safe353–487358–491710–978safer334–505340–508675–1013
Pass accuracy %
35%
60%
homeawayprediction66.4868.92safe62.45–70.5164.59–73.24safer61.16–71.8063.28–74.55
Fouls
43%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5911.9023.49safe8.76–14.438.95–14.8417.71–29.27safer8.00–15.198.21–15.5916.20–30.78
Offsides
48%
23%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.761.293.05safe0.60–2.920.20–2.390.80–5.30safer0.30–3.220.00–2.680.21–5.89
Yellow cards
42%
19%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction2.312.214.53safe1.27–3.361.08–3.342.35–6.71safer1.00–3.630.79–3.631.79–7.26
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.140.24safe0.00–0.260.00–0.320.00–0.59safer0.00–0.410.00–0.460.00–0.87
GK saves
38%
16%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction3.063.316.37safe1.62–4.491.76–4.873.38–9.36safer1.23–4.881.33–5.292.57–10.18
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.48 0.51–2.44 0.26–2.70 | 1.23 0.38–2.09 0.15–2.32 | 2.71 0.89–4.53 0.41–5.01 | 43% 26% 32% |
| Shots on target | 4.70 2.83–6.56 2.34–7.05 | 4.13 2.38–5.87 1.92–6.34 | 8.82 5.22–12.43 4.26–13.38 | 51% 13% 36% |
| Total shots | 14.68 10.75–18.60 9.66–19.69 | 12.59 9.03–16.15 8.07–17.11 | 27.27 19.78–34.75 17.73–36.80 | 62% 31% |
| Shots in box | 9.22 6.28–12.16 5.45–12.99 | 8.11 5.43–10.79 4.69–11.53 | 17.33 11.71–22.95 10.14–24.52 | 56% 35% |
| Blocked shots | 3.79 1.91–5.68 1.37–6.22 | 3.41 1.76–5.07 1.27–5.56 | 7.21 3.67–10.74 2.64–11.78 | 48% 15% 37% |
| Corners | 5.12 2.91–7.33 2.33–7.91 | 4.71 2.71–6.71 2.18–7.25 | 9.83 5.62–14.05 4.51–15.16 | 49% 39% |
| Possession % | 49.56 42.77–56.35 41.10–58.02 | 50.42 43.64–57.21 41.96–58.88 | — | 46% 50% |
| Passes | 420 353–487 334–505 | 424 358–491 340–508 | 844 710–978 675–1013 | 48% 51% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.48 62.45–70.51 61.16–71.80 | 68.92 64.59–73.24 63.28–74.55 | — | 35% 60% |
| Fouls | 11.59 8.76–14.43 8.00–15.19 | 11.90 8.95–14.84 8.21–15.59 | 23.49 17.71–29.27 16.20–30.78 | 43% 48% |
| Offsides | 1.76 0.60–2.92 0.30–3.22 | 1.29 0.20–2.39 0.00–2.68 | 3.05 0.80–5.30 0.21–5.89 | 48% 23% 28% |
| Yellow cards | 2.31 1.27–3.36 1.00–3.63 | 2.21 1.08–3.34 0.79–3.63 | 4.53 2.35–6.71 1.79–7.26 | 42% 19% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.46 | 0.24 0.00–0.59 0.00–0.87 | 80% |
| GK saves | 3.06 1.62–4.49 1.23–4.88 | 3.31 1.76–4.87 1.33–5.29 | 6.37 3.38–9.36 2.57–10.18 | 38% 16% 46% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+