Bundesliga·Regular Season - 19·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 19·Predicted match statistics
Goals
22%
21%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.192.013.21safe0.22–2.161.16–2.871.38–5.03safer0.00–2.410.93–3.100.90–5.51
Shots on target
25%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction4.235.8510.08safe2.37–6.104.11–7.596.48–13.69safer1.88–6.593.64–8.065.52–14.64
Total shots
24%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9715.1927.16safe8.04–15.8911.63–18.7519.67–34.64safer6.95–16.9810.67–19.7117.62–36.70
Shots in box
25%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction7.569.8217.38safe4.62–10.507.14–12.5011.76–23.00safer3.79–11.336.40–13.2410.19–24.57
Blocked shots
30%
14%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction3.214.087.29safe1.33–5.092.42–5.733.75–10.82safer0.79–5.641.93–6.222.72–11.86
Corners
24%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction4.586.4511.03safe2.37–6.794.45–8.456.81–15.24safer1.79–7.373.91–8.985.71–16.35
Possession %
15%
83%
homeawayprediction41.7258.55safe34.93–48.5251.77–65.34safer33.26–50.1850.09–67.01
Passes
91%
homeawaytotalprediction405566971safe338–473499–632837–1105safer320–491482–650802–1140
Pass accuracy %
93%
homeawayprediction65.4777.17safe61.44–69.5072.84–81.49safer60.15–70.7971.53–82.80
Fouls
52%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3510.6421.99safe8.52–14.197.69–13.5816.21–27.77safer7.76–14.956.94–14.3314.70–29.28
Offsides
39%
20%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction2.162.244.40safe1.00–3.321.15–3.342.15–6.66safer0.70–3.620.86–3.621.56–7.25
Yellow cards
47%
21%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction2.021.653.66safe0.97–3.070.52–2.781.49–5.84safer0.70–3.330.23–3.070.93–6.40
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.100.22safe0.00–0.270.00–0.290.00–0.56safer0.00–0.420.00–0.420.00–0.85
GK saves
52%
16%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction3.542.896.43safe2.11–4.981.33–4.453.44–9.43safer1.72–5.370.91–4.872.63–10.24
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.19 0.22–2.16 0.00–2.41 | 2.01 1.16–2.87 0.93–3.10 | 3.21 1.38–5.03 0.90–5.51 | 22% 21% 56% |
| Shots on target | 4.23 2.37–6.10 1.88–6.59 | 5.85 4.11–7.59 3.64–8.06 | 10.08 6.48–13.69 5.52–14.64 | 25% 64% |
| Total shots | 11.97 8.04–15.89 6.95–16.98 | 15.19 11.63–18.75 10.67–19.71 | 27.16 19.67–34.64 17.62–36.70 | 24% 70% |
| Shots in box | 7.56 4.62–10.50 3.79–11.33 | 9.82 7.14–12.50 6.40–13.24 | 17.38 11.76–23.00 10.19–24.57 | 25% 66% |
| Blocked shots | 3.21 1.33–5.09 0.79–5.64 | 4.08 2.42–5.73 1.93–6.22 | 7.29 3.75–10.82 2.72–11.86 | 30% 14% 55% |
| Corners | 4.58 2.37–6.79 1.79–7.37 | 6.45 4.45–8.45 3.91–8.98 | 11.03 6.81–15.24 5.71–16.35 | 24% 66% |
| Possession % | 41.72 34.93–48.52 33.26–50.18 | 58.55 51.77–65.34 50.09–67.01 | — | 15% 83% |
| Passes | 405 338–473 320–491 | 566 499–632 482–650 | 971 837–1105 802–1140 | 91% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.47 61.44–69.50 60.15–70.79 | 77.17 72.84–81.49 71.53–82.80 | — | 93% |
| Fouls | 11.35 8.52–14.19 7.76–14.95 | 10.64 7.69–13.58 6.94–14.33 | 21.99 16.21–27.77 14.70–29.28 | 52% 40% |
| Offsides | 2.16 1.00–3.32 0.70–3.62 | 2.24 1.15–3.34 0.86–3.62 | 4.40 2.15–6.66 1.56–7.25 | 39% 20% 42% |
| Yellow cards | 2.02 0.97–3.07 0.70–3.33 | 1.65 0.52–2.78 0.23–3.07 | 3.66 1.49–5.84 0.93–6.40 | 47% 21% 32% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.22 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.85 | 82% |
| GK saves | 3.54 2.11–4.98 1.72–5.37 | 2.89 1.33–4.45 0.91–4.87 | 6.43 3.44–9.43 2.63–10.24 | 52% 16% 32% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.