Bundesliga·Regular Season - 21·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 21·Predicted match statistics
Goals
26%
24%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.151.682.83safe0.19–2.120.82–2.531.01–4.65safer0.00–2.370.59–2.760.53–5.13
Shots on target
34%
14%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction3.844.498.33safe1.98–5.702.75–6.234.72–11.93safer1.49–6.192.28–6.703.77–12.89
Total shots
47%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8212.6525.47safe8.89–16.749.09–16.2217.99–32.96safer7.80–17.848.13–17.1815.93–35.01
Shots in box
32%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction7.328.7216.04safe4.37–10.266.04–11.4010.42–21.66safer3.54–11.095.31–12.148.85–23.23
Blocked shots
41%
16%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction3.053.086.13safe1.17–4.931.43–4.742.60–9.67safer0.63–5.480.94–5.231.56–10.71
Corners
33%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction4.455.349.79safe2.24–6.673.34–7.345.58–14.01safer1.66–7.242.81–7.874.47–15.11
Possession %
31%
64%
homeawayprediction46.3353.54safe39.54–53.1246.75–60.32safer37.87–54.7945.08–61.99
Passes
37%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction405443849safe338–473377–510715–982safer320–491359–527679–1018
Pass accuracy %
19%
78%
homeawayprediction65.0271.46safe60.99–69.0567.14–75.78safer59.69–70.3465.83–77.09
Fouls
33%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction10.4312.0122.44safe7.59–13.279.06–14.9516.65–28.22safer6.84–14.028.31–15.7015.15–29.72
Offsides
16%
15%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction1.432.994.42safe0.27–2.591.90–4.092.17–6.68safer0.00–2.891.61–4.381.58–7.27
Yellow cards
38%
21%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.861.943.80safe0.81–2.910.81–3.071.62–5.98safer0.54–3.170.52–3.361.06–6.53
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.120.23safe0.00–0.270.00–0.300.00–0.58safer0.00–0.420.00–0.440.00–0.86
GK saves
45%
17%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction2.942.705.63safe1.50–4.371.14–4.252.64–8.62safer1.11–4.760.72–4.681.83–9.44
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.15 0.19–2.12 0.00–2.37 | 1.68 0.82–2.53 0.59–2.76 | 2.83 1.01–4.65 0.53–5.13 | 26% 24% 50% |
| Shots on target | 3.84 1.98–5.70 1.49–6.19 | 4.49 2.75–6.23 2.28–6.70 | 8.33 4.72–11.93 3.77–12.89 | 34% 14% 52% |
| Total shots | 12.82 8.89–16.74 7.80–17.84 | 12.65 9.09–16.22 8.13–17.18 | 25.47 17.99–32.96 15.93–35.01 | 47% 45% |
| Shots in box | 7.32 4.37–10.26 3.54–11.09 | 8.72 6.04–11.40 5.31–12.14 | 16.04 10.42–21.66 8.85–23.23 | 32% 59% |
| Blocked shots | 3.05 1.17–4.93 0.63–5.48 | 3.08 1.43–4.74 0.94–5.23 | 6.13 2.60–9.67 1.56–10.71 | 41% 16% 42% |
| Corners | 4.45 2.24–6.67 1.66–7.24 | 5.34 3.34–7.34 2.81–7.87 | 9.79 5.58–14.01 4.47–15.11 | 33% 55% |
| Possession % | 46.33 39.54–53.12 37.87–54.79 | 53.54 46.75–60.32 45.08–61.99 | — | 31% 64% |
| Passes | 405 338–473 320–491 | 443 377–510 359–527 | 849 715–982 679–1018 | 37% 62% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.02 60.99–69.05 59.69–70.34 | 71.46 67.14–75.78 65.83–77.09 | — | 19% 78% |
| Fouls | 10.43 7.59–13.27 6.84–14.02 | 12.01 9.06–14.95 8.31–15.70 | 22.44 16.65–28.22 15.15–29.72 | 33% 59% |
| Offsides | 1.43 0.27–2.59 0.00–2.89 | 2.99 1.90–4.09 1.61–4.38 | 4.42 2.17–6.68 1.58–7.27 | 16% 15% 69% |
| Yellow cards | 1.86 0.81–2.91 0.54–3.17 | 1.94 0.81–3.07 0.52–3.36 | 3.80 1.62–5.98 1.06–6.53 | 38% 21% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.23 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.86 | 80% |
| GK saves | 2.94 1.50–4.37 1.11–4.76 | 2.70 1.14–4.25 0.72–4.68 | 5.63 2.64–8.62 1.83–9.44 | 45% 17% 37% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.