Bundesliga·Regular Season - 21·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 21·Predicted match statistics
Goals
42%
24%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.631.443.07safe0.66–2.600.58–2.291.25–4.89safer0.41–2.850.36–2.520.77–5.37
Shots on target
45%
14%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction4.514.388.89safe2.65–6.372.64–6.125.28–12.49safer2.16–6.862.17–6.594.33–13.45
Total shots
57%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction13.7812.3926.17safe9.86–17.718.82–15.9518.68–33.65safer8.77–18.807.86–16.9116.63–35.71
Shots in box
54%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction8.627.6916.31safe5.68–11.575.01–10.3710.69–21.94safer4.85–12.404.27–11.119.12–23.50
Blocked shots
38%
16%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction3.263.516.77safe1.38–5.141.86–5.173.24–10.31safer0.83–5.681.37–5.662.20–11.34
Corners
48%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction5.535.1710.70safe3.32–7.753.17–7.176.49–14.92safer2.74–8.322.64–7.715.38–16.02
Possession %
48%
47%
homeawayprediction50.7050.52safe43.91–57.4943.74–57.31safer42.24–59.1642.07–58.98
Passes
57%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction462441903safe395–530374–507769–1037safer377–548357–525734–1072
Pass accuracy %
34%
61%
homeawayprediction69.9872.72safe65.95–74.0168.39–77.04safer64.66–75.3067.08–78.35
Fouls
59%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6810.0721.75safe8.84–14.517.13–13.0215.97–27.53safer8.08–15.276.38–13.7614.46–29.03
Offsides
52%
21%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction2.071.463.53safe0.91–3.230.36–2.551.27–5.78safer0.61–3.530.08–2.840.69–6.37
Yellow cards
34%
23%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.541.763.30safe0.49–2.590.63–2.881.12–5.47safer0.23–2.860.33–3.180.56–6.03
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.100.18safe0.00–0.240.00–0.290.00–0.52safer0.00–0.390.00–0.420.00–0.81
GK saves
39%
17%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction2.923.106.02safe1.49–4.361.54–4.663.03–9.01safer1.10–4.751.12–5.082.22–9.83
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.63 0.66–2.60 0.41–2.85 | 1.44 0.58–2.29 0.36–2.52 | 3.07 1.25–4.89 0.77–5.37 | 42% 24% 34% |
| Shots on target | 4.51 2.65–6.37 2.16–6.86 | 4.38 2.64–6.12 2.17–6.59 | 8.89 5.28–12.49 4.33–13.45 | 45% 14% 41% |
| Total shots | 13.78 9.86–17.71 8.77–18.80 | 12.39 8.82–15.95 7.86–16.91 | 26.17 18.68–33.65 16.63–35.71 | 57% 36% |
| Shots in box | 8.62 5.68–11.57 4.85–12.40 | 7.69 5.01–10.37 4.27–11.11 | 16.31 10.69–21.94 9.12–23.50 | 54% 36% |
| Blocked shots | 3.26 1.38–5.14 0.83–5.68 | 3.51 1.86–5.17 1.37–5.66 | 6.77 3.24–10.31 2.20–11.34 | 38% 16% 46% |
| Corners | 5.53 3.32–7.75 2.74–8.32 | 5.17 3.17–7.17 2.64–7.71 | 10.70 6.49–14.92 5.38–16.02 | 48% 40% |
| Possession % | 50.70 43.91–57.49 42.24–59.16 | 50.52 43.74–57.31 42.07–58.98 | — | 48% 47% |
| Passes | 462 395–530 377–548 | 441 374–507 357–525 | 903 769–1037 734–1072 | 57% 43% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.98 65.95–74.01 64.66–75.30 | 72.72 68.39–77.04 67.08–78.35 | — | 34% 61% |
| Fouls | 11.68 8.84–14.51 8.08–15.27 | 10.07 7.13–13.02 6.38–13.76 | 21.75 15.97–27.53 14.46–29.03 | 59% 33% |
| Offsides | 2.07 0.91–3.23 0.61–3.53 | 1.46 0.36–2.55 0.08–2.84 | 3.53 1.27–5.78 0.69–6.37 | 52% 21% 27% |
| Yellow cards | 1.54 0.49–2.59 0.23–2.86 | 1.76 0.63–2.88 0.33–3.18 | 3.30 1.12–5.47 0.56–6.03 | 34% 23% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.18 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.81 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.92 1.49–4.36 1.10–4.75 | 3.10 1.54–4.66 1.12–5.08 | 6.02 3.03–9.01 2.22–9.83 | 39% 17% 45% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.