Bundesliga·Regular Season - 21·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 21·Predicted match statistics
Goals
36%
25%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.411.502.91safe0.44–2.380.65–2.351.09–4.73safer0.19–2.630.42–2.580.61–5.21
Shots on target
37%
13%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction4.194.638.83safe2.33–6.062.89–6.375.22–12.43safer1.84–6.552.42–6.844.27–13.39
Total shots
43%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction13.6414.1327.77safe9.71–17.5610.57–17.6920.28–35.25safer8.62–18.659.61–18.6518.23–37.30
Shots in box
42%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction8.699.0917.78safe5.75–11.646.40–11.7712.16–23.40safer4.92–12.465.67–12.5010.59–24.97
Blocked shots
56%
14%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction4.253.367.61safe2.37–6.141.70–5.014.07–11.14safer1.83–6.681.21–5.503.04–12.18
Corners
38%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction4.805.2510.05safe2.59–7.013.25–7.255.84–14.27safer2.01–7.592.72–7.794.73–15.38
Possession %
45%
50%
homeawayprediction49.8750.94safe43.08–56.6644.16–57.73safer41.41–58.3342.49–59.40
Passes
48%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction407413820safe340–474346–479686–954safer322–493329–497651–989
Pass accuracy %
27%
69%
homeawayprediction66.6971.00safe62.66–70.7266.68–75.33safer61.37–72.0165.37–76.64
Fouls
54%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction12.4211.4523.87safe9.58–15.258.51–14.4018.09–29.65safer8.82–16.017.76–15.1516.58–31.16
Offsides
33%
23%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.461.733.19safe0.30–2.620.64–2.820.94–5.44safer0.00–2.920.35–3.110.35–6.03
Yellow cards
39%
22%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.821.853.67safe0.77–2.870.72–2.981.49–5.85safer0.50–3.140.43–3.270.94–6.41
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.110.19safe0.00–0.240.00–0.290.00–0.53safer0.00–0.390.00–0.430.00–0.82
GK saves
41%
17%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction2.963.005.95safe1.52–4.391.44–4.552.96–8.95safer1.13–4.781.02–4.982.15–9.76
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.41 0.44–2.38 0.19–2.63 | 1.50 0.65–2.35 0.42–2.58 | 2.91 1.09–4.73 0.61–5.21 | 36% 25% 40% |
| Shots on target | 4.19 2.33–6.06 1.84–6.55 | 4.63 2.89–6.37 2.42–6.84 | 8.83 5.22–12.43 4.27–13.39 | 37% 13% 49% |
| Total shots | 13.64 9.71–17.56 8.62–18.65 | 14.13 10.57–17.69 9.61–18.65 | 27.77 20.28–35.25 18.23–37.30 | 43% 50% |
| Shots in box | 8.69 5.75–11.64 4.92–12.46 | 9.09 6.40–11.77 5.67–12.50 | 17.78 12.16–23.40 10.59–24.97 | 42% 49% |
| Blocked shots | 4.25 2.37–6.14 1.83–6.68 | 3.36 1.70–5.01 1.21–5.50 | 7.61 4.07–11.14 3.04–12.18 | 56% 14% 30% |
| Corners | 4.80 2.59–7.01 2.01–7.59 | 5.25 3.25–7.25 2.72–7.79 | 10.05 5.84–14.27 4.73–15.38 | 38% 49% |
| Possession % | 49.87 43.08–56.66 41.41–58.33 | 50.94 44.16–57.73 42.49–59.40 | — | 45% 50% |
| Passes | 407 340–474 322–493 | 413 346–479 329–497 | 820 686–954 651–989 | 48% 52% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.69 62.66–70.72 61.37–72.01 | 71.00 66.68–75.33 65.37–76.64 | — | 27% 69% |
| Fouls | 12.42 9.58–15.25 8.82–16.01 | 11.45 8.51–14.40 7.76–15.15 | 23.87 18.09–29.65 16.58–31.16 | 54% 38% |
| Offsides | 1.46 0.30–2.62 0.00–2.92 | 1.73 0.64–2.82 0.35–3.11 | 3.19 0.94–5.44 0.35–6.03 | 33% 23% 44% |
| Yellow cards | 1.82 0.77–2.87 0.50–3.14 | 1.85 0.72–2.98 0.43–3.27 | 3.67 1.49–5.85 0.94–6.41 | 39% 22% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.19 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.96 1.52–4.39 1.13–4.78 | 3.00 1.44–4.55 1.02–4.98 | 5.95 2.96–8.95 2.15–9.76 | 41% 17% 42% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.