Championship·Regular Season - 6·
Championship·Regular Season - 6·Predicted match statistics
Goals
52%
24%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction1.681.052.74safe0.71–2.650.20–1.910.91–4.56safer0.46–2.900.00–2.140.43–5.04
Shots on target
71%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction5.523.358.86safe3.65–7.381.61–5.095.26–12.47safer3.16–7.871.14–5.564.30–13.43
Total shots
89%
homeawaytotalprediction16.219.4225.63safe12.29–20.135.86–12.9818.14–33.12safer11.19–21.234.90–13.9416.09–35.17
Shots in box
82%
homeawaytotalprediction10.896.5917.47safe7.94–13.833.90–9.2711.85–23.10safer7.11–14.663.17–10.0010.28–24.66
Blocked shots
69%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction4.442.617.06safe2.56–6.320.96–4.273.52–10.59safer2.02–6.870.47–4.762.48–11.63
Corners
72%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction6.223.9110.12safe4.00–8.431.91–5.915.91–14.34safer3.43–9.001.37–6.444.80–15.44
Possession %
75%
22%
homeawayprediction56.1343.98safe49.34–62.9237.20–50.77safer47.67–64.5935.53–52.44
Passes
82%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction459347806safe391–526281–413672–939safer373–544263–431636–975
Pass accuracy %
54%
41%
homeawayprediction71.8070.59safe67.77–75.8366.27–74.92safer66.47–77.1264.96–76.23
Fouls
40%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0812.9024.98safe9.25–14.929.95–15.8419.20–30.76safer8.49–15.689.20–16.5917.69–32.27
Offsides
36%
19%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction2.152.384.53safe0.99–3.311.29–3.472.28–6.78safer0.69–3.611.00–3.761.69–7.37
Yellow cards
29%
20%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.732.324.05safe0.69–2.781.19–3.451.88–6.23safer0.42–3.050.90–3.741.32–6.79
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.110.16safe0.00–0.210.00–0.300.00–0.51safer0.00–0.360.00–0.430.00–0.79
GK saves
22%
15%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction2.143.405.54safe0.70–3.571.85–4.962.55–8.53safer0.31–3.961.42–5.381.74–9.35
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.68 0.71–2.65 0.46–2.90 | 1.05 0.20–1.91 0.00–2.14 | 2.74 0.91–4.56 0.43–5.04 | 52% 24% 24% |
| Shots on target | 5.52 3.65–7.38 3.16–7.87 | 3.35 1.61–5.09 1.14–5.56 | 8.86 5.26–12.47 4.30–13.43 | 71% 18% |
| Total shots | 16.21 12.29–20.13 11.19–21.23 | 9.42 5.86–12.98 4.90–13.94 | 25.63 18.14–33.12 16.09–35.17 | 89% |
| Shots in box | 10.89 7.94–13.83 7.11–14.66 | 6.59 3.90–9.27 3.17–10.00 | 17.47 11.85–23.10 10.28–24.66 | 82% |
| Blocked shots | 4.44 2.56–6.32 2.02–6.87 | 2.61 0.96–4.27 0.47–4.76 | 7.06 3.52–10.59 2.48–11.63 | 69% 19% |
| Corners | 6.22 4.00–8.43 3.43–9.00 | 3.91 1.91–5.91 1.37–6.44 | 10.12 5.91–14.34 4.80–15.44 | 72% 19% |
| Possession % | 56.13 49.34–62.92 47.67–64.59 | 43.98 37.20–50.77 35.53–52.44 | — | 75% 22% |
| Passes | 459 391–526 373–544 | 347 281–413 263–431 | 806 672–939 636–975 | 82% 17% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.80 67.77–75.83 66.47–77.12 | 70.59 66.27–74.92 64.96–76.23 | — | 54% 41% |
| Fouls | 12.08 9.25–14.92 8.49–15.68 | 12.90 9.95–15.84 9.20–16.59 | 24.98 19.20–30.76 17.69–32.27 | 40% 52% |
| Offsides | 2.15 0.99–3.31 0.69–3.61 | 2.38 1.29–3.47 1.00–3.76 | 4.53 2.28–6.78 1.69–7.37 | 36% 19% 45% |
| Yellow cards | 1.73 0.69–2.78 0.42–3.05 | 2.32 1.19–3.45 0.90–3.74 | 4.05 1.88–6.23 1.32–6.79 | 29% 20% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.14 0.70–3.57 0.31–3.96 | 3.40 1.85–4.96 1.42–5.38 | 5.54 2.55–8.53 1.74–9.35 | 22% 15% 63% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.